Gameweek in Review
Every round, we go back over what we called — the pick that came off, the one that missed, and the players who actually decided it.
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16
Austin and LAFC gave MLS Round 16 its clearest answers, while San Jose made a mess of the rest
Five correct calls is respectable enough, but this round was really about the model getting the right teams for the wrong reasons in places, then being properly mugged by San Jose and Houston. The cleanest hits came from Austin, Nashville, Sporting Kansas City, Colorado and LAFC; the ugliest miss was San Jose, where Orlando City SC’s scorers were all off the pre-match sheet.
0 STAR · 5 TICK · 6 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 24
Rafael Navarro and Nikolas Tsakiris made Round 24 harder work than Fipster expected
Three STARs were enough to keep the week respectable, but the round’s real story was how often the model trusted familiar scorers and got ambushed by the names it had not priced in. Portland, San Diego and Chicago all found that out the awkward way.
3 STAR · 4 TICK · 6 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27
Milan Iloski, Hany Mukhtar and a late surge gave MLS Round 27 its clearest answers
Fipster found one perfect result and seven more that were close enough to count, but the round was really about where the goals came from: Milan Iloski, Hany Mukhtar and a few uninvited names doing the damage. The model was strongest when it trusted established scorers in open games, and weakest when it leaned too hard on familiar attacking patterns that never quite arrived.
1 STAR · 7 TICK · 7 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26
Anders Laustrup Dreyer and the late equaliser made a mess of tidy forecasts in MLS Round 26
Fipster found five correct calls in Major League Soccer’s 26th round, but the bigger story was how often the model trusted familiar scorers and got nudged aside by the names it had not weighted enough. Inter Miami, Houston and San Jose all supplied useful lessons; Philadelphia, St. Louis and Vancouver supplied the cleaner hits.
+ 0 STAR · 5 TICK · 10 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 25
Samuel Surridge and Cavan Sullivan gave the round its best arguments, while the model spent too much time admiring the wrong forwards
Four correct calls from fifteen is not a disaster so much as a reminder to be choosy. The model found Samuel Surridge, Cavan Sullivan, Marco Reus and Christian Ramirez, but it leaned too hard on several familiar scorers and missed the players who actually bent the week.
0 STAR · 4 TICK · 11 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23
Vincent Janssen and Maren Haile-Selassie turned Round 23 into a warning label for tidy forecasts
Fipster found five correct calls in Major League Soccer Round 23, but the round kept slipping away from the model wherever late goals, penalty drama and unexpected scorers took over. The cleanest reads were on the games that stayed close to the pre-match script; the ugliest misses came where individual finishing mattered more than the broader shape of the contest.
0 STAR · 5 TICK · 9 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 21
St. Louis City saved the round; Vancouver and San Jose made the model look far too tidy
One exact call landed, a few sensible home wins came through, and then Vancouver and San Jose spent the afternoon tearing up the neatest bits of the sheet. The round’s lesson was simple enough: trust form when it is real, but do not get sentimental about it.
1 STAR · 5 TICK · 9 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 20
Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi stole the round while Fipster kept looking elsewhere
Three correct calls from fifteen is not a flattering line, but the round was not short on clues. Fipster found Evander, Prince-Osei Owusu and Dániel Sallói; it missed the bigger twist in New England, where Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi turned a routine away win into the loudest individual performance of the week.
0 STAR · 3 TICK · 12 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18
Luis Suárez Díaz was the bright spot; the rest of Round 18 kept slipping past the model
Fipster found one perfect call in Major League Soccer Round 18, but too many of the expected home wins turned into draws or away results. The round’s clearest lesson was simple enough: the model still saw the right scorers in a few places, yet it overtrusted home control and missed how often late goals, stubborn keepers and a couple of unexpected names would decide things.
1 STAR · 6 TICK · 13 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 22
Messi did his bit, but Round 22 belonged to the names Fipster never quite had down
Inter Miami’s rout and a few tidy scoreline reads gave the model some credit, yet the round was really decided by the gaps: a scorer nobody called in Columbus, a flat miss in Atlanta, and several games where the right team was identified for the wrong reasons.
0 STAR · 6 TICK · 9 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19
A round that split neatly between the obvious and the awkward
Fipster came out of MLS Regular Season - 19 with two perfect calls, a handful of tidy reads, and enough misses to remind everyone that football still enjoys a joke at the model’s expense. The best hits came where the pre-match logic held up cleanly; the worst came when the goals arrived from places the model had not properly budgeted for.
2 STAR · 6 TICK · 7 MISS
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17
MLS Round 17 mostly did what the model asked — until a few teams decided to improvise
Fipster came out of Regular Season - 17 with 15 correct calls and five misses, which is tidy enough for a league that rarely behaves itself. The round rewarded the stronger attacking reads, but it also punished overconfidence in a couple of home sides and reminded us that one unexpected scorer can ruin a very respectable afternoon.
0 STAR · 15 TICK · 5 MISS