Gameweek in Review
Every round, we go back over what we called — the pick that came off, the one that missed, and the players who actually decided it.
Serie A · Regular Season - 21
Serie A Regular Season - 21 — 0 STAR · 3 TICK · 6 MISS
How Fipster's calls held up across Serie A Regular Season - 21: 0 STAR · 3 TICK · 6 MISS.
0 STAR · 3 TICK · 6 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 28
Eduardo, Hulk and a few late bruises: Serie A Round 28 was kinder to the model than the scorecard first looked
Five correct calls out of ten is not a triumph, but it was enough to show where Fipster had the right read: on obvious scorers in the right sort of game, and on a handful of home wins that never really needed dressing up. The misses came when the model leaned too hard on familiar names and missed the players who actually took over.
0 STAR · 5 TICK · 5 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 24
José López and Kevin Viveros Rodallega did the heavy lifting; Serie A Round 24 mostly argued back
Fipster found five correct calls in Serie A Round 24, but the misses were loud enough to matter: a clean read on Palmeiras, a sharp call on Atlético Paranaense, and then several games where the model trusted familiar scorers a little too much. The round’s lesson was simple enough. The right names were often in the frame; the wrong ones were often the ones who actually finished the job.
0 STAR · 5 TICK · 5 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 20
Remo were the clean read; Neymar and the late noise did the rest
Fipster found one proper home win in Round 20 and got Remo exactly right, but the rest of Serie A spent the weekend punishing overconfidence in scorelines. The useful part is not that the model missed often; it is that the misses came from different places — a flat 0-0, a late away winner, a couple of draws that refused to sit still, and one very expensive underestimation of who would actually score.
1 STAR · 1 TICK · 8 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 23
Pedro did the obvious thing; the rest of Serie A spent the round arguing back
Fipster found three correct calls in a noisy Round 23, with Pedro and Gabriel Barbosa doing their part, but several narrow home-win reads were undone by late goals, surprise scorers and one very lively 3-3 in Chapecoense-sc.
0 STAR · 3 TICK · 7 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 22
Kaio Jorge landed one call, Palmeiras left the rest of the round in a fog
Cruzeiro and Flamengo did enough to reward the model’s home-win reads, but Palmeiras’ blank against Internacional was the costly miss. The round’s real story was less about scorelines than about which pre-match ideas held up and which player calls were simply overtaken by events.
0 STAR · 2 TICK · 1 MISS
Serie A · Regular Season - 19
Serie A’s 19th round punished the tidy call and rewarded the awkward one
Fipster finished the round with four correct calls and six misses, which is a polite way of saying the model found some of the right winners but kept tripping over who would actually do the scoring. The cleanest reads were on Flamengo, Corinthians, Palmeiras and Vitória; the bigger errors came when the goals arrived from names the model had not properly priced in.
0 STAR · 4 TICK · 6 MISS