Süper Lig · 2026-27 · Regular Season - 5

Gift Orban’s hat-trick and a stubborn Konyaspor upset gave Fipster a bruising week

The round had one clean hit in Beşiktaş, but the bigger story was how often the model leaned on familiar away wins and tidy scorelines only to be undone by early goals, late swings and a few players it never had in view.

1Star

4Tick

4Miss

The round started neatly enough, then spent the rest of the weekend arguing with itself

Fipster found one perfect call and four decent ones, which is not nothing, but the misses were the sort that change the mood of a recap. The model kept leaning towards away wins and controlled scorelines; the round kept producing early shocks, late finishes and a couple of home sides that were plainly not in the mood to be polite. That left us with one star turn, four ticks and four misses, plus a useful reminder that a good read on direction is not the same thing as reading the match itself.

Beşiktaş against Erzurumspor FK was the one call that landed cleanly

This was the round’s proper hit because Fipster did not just get the result right; it got the manner of it right as well. The 3-0 prediction matched the actual scoreline exactly, which matters because this was not a case of stumbling into the right side by accident. The model had seen a home win with room to spare, and Beşiktaş delivered precisely that kind of afternoon. In a week where several other favourites either stalled or overreached, this was the one fixture where the pre-match read held its shape from first whistle to last. A rare bit of housekeeping done properly.

Konyaspor was where the model got too comfortable with away logic

The miss that stung most was Konyaspor against Trabzonspor. Fipster backed an away win and built around a fairly standard 1-2 shape, but Konyaspor scored inside two minutes through Tóth Rajmund and then spent the rest of the game making that lead awkward to chase. That is where the model over-weighted expectation and under-weighted game state: once an early goal lands, especially at home, the whole rhythm changes. André Onana’s four saves for Trabzonspor tell you they were not absent from proceedings; they were simply chasing a match that had already tilted away from their preferred script. The model saw pressure coming from one side. It did not see how quickly Konyaspor would force it onto the back foot.

The names that actually owned the round were mostly not on our sheet beforehand

Gift Orban was the loudest individual performance of the lot. He scored three for Amed in a 5-0 win over Başakşehir, and none of those goals were part of Fipster’s pre-match scorer calls because there were no scorer calls there at all. That is exactly why his night matters to this page: it was not just a big haul, it was an unpriced one. Mbaye Diagne also turned up on the scoresheet for Amed, while Cengiz Ünder and Jesús Ramírez Díaz each scored twice for Çorum FK in their 5-1 win at Samsunspor. Again, neither had been flagged before kick-off. Logi Tómasson added another for Samsunspor in that same game, which only deepened how far off-centre that contest became.

'The rest of the round belonged to players Fipster never called out beforehand: Ali Sowe for Rizespor, Abdülkerim Bardakcı for Galatasaray, Ousmane Diabate and Adrian Benedyczak for Kasımpaşa, plus Rhaldney and Gaïus Makouta in Alanyaspor's draw with Göztepe.'

Model record 1 STAR · 4 TICK · 4 MISS