The model's report card
Daily Day in Review recaps and round-by-round Game Week in Review write-ups — how Fipster's match predictions stacked up across every watched league, what the model got right, and what surprised it.
- Reviews
- 55
- Updated
- Mon 31 Aug
- Cadence
- Per round
Game Week in Review
One review per league, per round — the pick that came off, the one that missed, and the players who actually decided it.
- Primeira LigaMon 31 Aug
Santa Clara’s late rescue and a round that punished tidy 2-1 guesses
Fipster found four correct calls in Primeira Liga’s opening round, but the misses were loud: too many home wins were priced as neat 2-1s, and several matches turned on scorers the model did not see coming. Santa Clara’s draw with Nacional was the cleanest hit; Benfica, Sporting CP and Guimaraes all slipped away from the script.
Regular Season - 1Model record 0 STAR · 4 TICK · 5 MISSRead review - PremiershipMon 31 Aug
Kevin Nisbet and Killian Phillips made a messy opening round look more readable than it was
Fipster found two correct calls in a six-match Premiership opener, but the bigger lesson was sharper: the model was happiest when it trusted narrow home wins and least comfortable when the goals came from names it had not put on the page.
Regular Season - 1Model record 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 4 MISSRead review - Czech LigaMon 31 Aug
Tom Slončík and Mojmír Chytil did the damage while the model spent too long admiring the wrong names
Czech Liga’s third round gave Fipster three clean hits, but the bigger lesson was that the goals kept coming from players it had not backed. The wins for Hradec Králové, Sigma Olomouc and Slavia Praha made sense in different ways; the misses in Teplice and Zlín were less polite.
Regular Season - 3Model record 3 STAR · 2 TICK · 3 MISSRead review - Serie AMon 31 Aug
Pedro did the obvious thing; the rest of Serie A spent the round arguing back
Fipster found three correct calls in a noisy Round 23, with Pedro and Gabriel Barbosa doing their part, but several narrow home-win reads were undone by late goals, surprise scorers and one very lively 3-3 in Chapecoense-sc.
Regular Season - 23Model record 0 STAR · 3 TICK · 7 MISSRead review - Serie AMon 31 Aug
Kaio Jorge landed one call, Palmeiras left the rest of the round in a fog
Cruzeiro and Flamengo did enough to reward the model’s home-win reads, but Palmeiras’ blank against Internacional was the costly miss. The round’s real story was less about scorelines than about which pre-match ideas held up and which player calls were simply overtaken by events.
Regular Season - 22Model record 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 1 MISSRead review - Major League SoccerMon 31 Aug
Luis Suárez Díaz was the bright spot; the rest of Round 18 kept slipping past the model
Fipster found one perfect call in Major League Soccer Round 18, but too many of the expected home wins turned into draws or away results. The round’s clearest lesson was simple enough: the model still saw the right scorers in a few places, yet it overtrusted home control and missed how often late goals, stubborn keepers and a couple of unexpected names would decide things.
Regular Season - 18Model record 1 STAR · 6 TICK · 13 MISSRead review - K League 1Mon 31 Aug
Wanderson and Jeju’s late equaliser spoiled a tidy K League 1 read
Fipster landed the Gimcheon–Jeju draw and FC Seoul’s narrow home win, but the round was mostly ruled by the names it did not fancy: Wanderson, Matheus Oliveira, Lee Tae-Hee and Jeong Seung-Won all turned up where the model had looked elsewhere.
Regular Season - 16Model record 2 STAR · 0 TICK · 4 MISSRead review - ChampionshipMon 31 Aug
Championship Round 1: Fipster found four clean calls, but the goals came from elsewhere
The opening Championship round gave the model four exact scoreline hits, yet the bigger story was how many of the decisive names were not on its pre-match list. That is a useful sort of wrong: close enough to show the read was there, loose enough to remind us where the gaps still live.
Regular Season - 1Model record 4 STAR · 0 TICK · 8 MISSRead review - AllsvenskanMon 31 Aug
Robert Ure’s four and one clean call gave Allsvenskan a very odd afternoon
Fipster landed the 1-2 in IFK Goteborg v AIK Stockholm, but the round mostly belonged to the forwards who were not supposed to be this troublesome. Robert Ure ran riot for Sirius, while several of the model’s neatest scorer ideas were left staring at the wrong end of the scoreline.
Regular Season - 11Model record 1 STAR · 2 TICK · 5 MISSRead review - PremiershipMon 31 Aug
Kasper Waarts Thenza Høgh and Josh Campbell made the round awkward in all the right places
Fipster landed four of six in Premiership Round 2, but the two misses were the noisy ones: Rangers were turned over late by Hibernian, while Celtic’s trip to Kilmarnock became a lesson in underestimating a scorer who arrived with a hat-trick and no pre-match warning.
Regular Season - 2Model record 0 STAR · 4 TICK · 2 MISSRead review - EredivisieMon 31 Aug
Ajax were the only away side to make the model look tidy
Three calls landed, six did not, and the round’s clearest lesson was that home advantage was a poor guide in a week when Excelsior, Telstar and Ajax all left with something more useful than politeness. The model found a few narrow home wins, but it missed the scale of the damage in some places and failed to spot where late goals would matter most.
Regular Season - 1Model record 0 STAR · 3 TICK · 6 MISSRead review - Czech LigaMon 31 Aug
Andrew Irving gave Sparta Praha the round’s only clean hit, while the rest of the sheet went looking for familiar names and found trouble
One correct call out of eight is not a flattering line, but it does tell a clear story: Sparta Praha’s win was read properly, while several other games turned on scorers Fipster had not backed and one very ordinary 0-0 in Bohemians 1905 v Hradec Králové quietly did the damage to the round.
Regular Season - 2Model record 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 7 MISSRead review