UEFA Nations League · 2026-09-27

Nations League day serves up a mixed bag for Fipster's crystal ball

Eight fixtures, two TICKs, and six MISSES — the model had its moments but mostly found itself outfoxed on September 27th. BTTS calls showed some flair, but exact scores and outcomes proved trickier than expected.

Day gradeC+Report card
0Star
2Tick
6Miss
Markets called right12/36

Today’s Nations League action was a bit of a rollercoaster for the Fipster prediction model. Out of eight matches, it managed to earn two TICKs — not quite the star performance it hoped for, but we’ll take those wins where we can get them.

Denmark’s 2-0 victory over Wales was one of the brighter spots. The model nailed the outcome and halftime call, though it missed the exact score and other finer details. Similarly, Austria’s 3-1 win against Kosovo earned a TICK with correct outcome, BTTS, and over/under predictions — a neat little hat-trick of accuracy.

On the flip side, some surprises caught the model off guard. Germany losing 0-1 to Greece was a notable MISS; while halftime was predicted correctly, the final outcome wasn’t even close. Norway’s narrow defeat to Portugal and Israel’s 0-3 loss to Rep. Of Ireland also slipped through the cracks despite decent confidence ratings.

BTTS predictions were a bit hit-and-miss today — they landed in Lithuania vs Azerbaijan and Serbia vs Netherlands but failed elsewhere. Over/under calls fared slightly better but still left room for improvement.

All told, with zero STAR grades and six MISSES, it wasn’t exactly a day to write home about for our trusty model. But hey, even an underconfident oracle gets a few things right now and then.

Model record: 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 6 MISS. Day grade: C+.

Model record 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 6 MISSDay gradeC+

Fixtures

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