Denmark vs Wales
Denmark secures solid win over Wales
A composed Danish performance sees them claim a 2-0 victory in the Nations League.
Denmark edged out Wales 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League, with an own goal by B. Davies and a strike from G. Isaksen sealing the win after the break. The result matched Fipster's prediction of a home victory, albeit with a slightly different scoreline, confirming Denmark's control in this encounter.
Outcome probability
Denmark and Wales face off in a League A match that promises to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality but also vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a tight encounter.
Match factors
Denmark's attacking edge with Højlund and Damsgaard
R. Højlund and M. Damsgaard scored in last match, providing Denmark with key goal threats.
Wales' defensive resilience under pressure
Wales conceded but goalkeeper D. Ward and midfielder N. Williams showed strong individual ratings, indicating defensive effort.
Denmark scored in last away match but also conceded thrice
Denmark scored twice away but conceded three goals, showing attacking strength but defensive vulnerability.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected.
The context
This fixture is part of the League A phase, where both Denmark and Wales have had a challenging start. Denmark lost their opening match conceding three goals but showed attacking promise by scoring twice. Wales also suffered defeat in their first game, managing to keep the scoreline tighter but failing to find the net.
Key insights
- R
R. Højlund
Denmark
Scored in last match vs Norway, providing a key attacking threat with a high match rating of 7.83.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored in last match, rating 7.83
- M
M. Damsgaard
Denmark
Creative midfielder who scored in the last match and holds a strong rating of 7.7, crucial for Denmark's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored in last match, rating 7.7
- D
D. Ward
Wales
Despite conceding, the goalkeeper earned a strong rating of 6.98, showing resilience under pressure.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Rating 6.98 in last match
- N
N. Williams
Wales
Key defensive midfielder with a high rating of 6.85, important for containing Denmark's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Rating 6.85 in last match
Analysis
Denmark's attacking duo, R. Højlund and M. Damsgaard, have been standout performers, both scoring in the last match and providing key threats going forward. Their ability to break through Wales' defence will be crucial. Wales, on the other hand, have shown defensive resilience with goalkeeper D. Ward and midfielder N. Williams earning strong ratings despite conceding. The defensive discipline will be tested against Denmark's creative midfield and forward line. With no injury concerns for either side, both teams can field their best line-ups, making this a tactical battle as much as a physical one.
Key facts
- 1.Denmark lost their opening League A match conceding 3 goals but scored twice.
- 2.Wales also lost their first League A match, conceding 1 goal and failing to score.
- 3.R. Højlund and M. Damsgaard scored in Denmark's last match, highlighting their attacking threat.
- 4.Wales' goalkeeper D. Ward and midfielder N. Williams earned strong ratings despite conceding.
- 5.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are expected.
- 6.Draw probability in this fixture is notable but Denmark holds the highest chance of winning.
- 7.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Denmark.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Denmark with a 2-1 scoreline. While the match is finely balanced, Denmark's attacking edge and home advantage give them the slight upper hand. Expect a competitive game with both sides pushing for goals but Denmark just shading it in the end.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Denmark
Away — Wales
The verdict
In summary, this League A fixture is set to be a tight contest with Denmark predicted to come out on top by a single goal. The match will likely hinge on moments of attacking brilliance from Denmark's key players and Wales' ability to hold firm defensively.
Prediction generated 24 Sep 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Goal cancelled
Dorgu
Mæhle
Yellow Card
Mepham
Yellow Card
Davies (OG)
Savage
Johnson
Yellow Card
Isaksen
James
Moore
Isaksen
Johnson
Højlund
Damsgaard
Match Statistics
Denmark
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. AndersenD
- 3O. ProvstgaardD
- 5J. MæhleD
- 8G. IsaksenM
- 9R. HøjlundF
- 13R. KristensenD
- 14M. DamsgaardM
- 17P. DorguM
- 21M. HjulmandM
- 22F. JörgensenG
- 23P. HøjbjergM
Substitutes
- 1A. JungdalG
- 4L. HøgsbergD
- 6V. NelssonD
- 7Victor Mow FroholdtM
- 10T. JørgensenM
- 11A. DaghimF
- 12M. BidstrupM
- 15V. Bak JensenD
- 16M. HermansenG
- 18A. GaaeiD
- 19K. HøghF
- 20M. DaramyF
Wales
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2C. MephamD
- 3N. WilliamsD
- 4B. DaviesD
- 5E. AmpaduM
- 7C. SavageM
- 11B. JohnsonM
- 12D. WardG
- 13K. MooreF
- 14C. RobertsD
- 19S. ThomasM
- 20D. JamesM
Substitutes
- 1D. CornellG
- 6B. CabangoD
- 8W. BurnsF
- 9L. KoumasF
- 10L. CullenF
- 15J. DasilvaD
- 16R. Norrington-DaviesD
- 17J. JamesM
- 18M. HarrisF
- 21T. KingG
- 22J. SheehanM
- 23C. CongreveM
Denmark
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Isaksen | M | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Kristensen | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Daramy | F | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2/3 |
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Dorgu | M | 30 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 87 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 3 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Mæhle | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| A. Daghim | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Høgh | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Jørgensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gaaei | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jungdal | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Bak Jensen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Nelsson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hermansen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wales
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Williams | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| L. Koumas | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. James | M | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| W. Burns | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mepham | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. James | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Sheehan | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Savage | M | 60 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| D. Ward | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| C. Roberts | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| D. Cornell | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cullen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. King | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Norrington-Davies | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Congreve | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Denmark vs Wales?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Denmark to win against Wales.
- What score did Fipster predict for Denmark vs Wales?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Denmark 2–1 Wales.
- What were the win probabilities for Denmark vs Wales?
- Fipster's model gave Denmark a 35% chance of winning, Wales a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.