Primeira Liga · 2026-09-13

Benfica’s win keeps Fipster on the scoreboard in a tricky Primeira Liga round

Three matches, one tick, and two misses — the model had its moments but also some head-scratching calls, especially with Arouca and Famalicao’s results defying expectations.

Day gradeB-Report card
0Star
1Tick
2Miss
Markets called right2/13

Today’s Primeira Liga action served up a mixed bag for the Fipster prediction model. Benfica’s 3-1 victory over Gil Vicente was the highlight, earning a solid tick for correctly calling the outcome despite missing the exact score and other finer details.

On the flip side, Arouca versus Santa Clara was a bit of a curveball. The model confidently tipped an Arouca win, but Santa Clara snatched a 2-1 victory instead — no points there, and all accuracy flags went south. Overconfidence doesn’t always pay off.

Famalicao and Sporting CP played out a 1-1 draw that also caught the model off guard. It predicted a Sporting win with more goals, so this one slipped through despite correctly guessing both teams would score and nailing halftime outcome. Sometimes partial credit counts as a consolation prize.

Overall, it was a day of highs and lows for our trusty algorithm — one tick to celebrate, two misses to learn from. The confidence ratings tell their own story: an overconfident miss here, an underconfident hit there. We’ll take that one with a wink.

Model record: 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 2 MISS. Day grade: B-.

Model record 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 2 MISSDay gradeB-

Fixtures

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More from this round: Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6