Benfica vs GIL Vicente
Benfica rally past Gil Vicente for 3-1 win
Pavlidis stars with a brace as Benfica overturn early deficit
Gil Vicente shocked the hosts with an early strike from Héctor Hernández, but Benfica responded strongly before the break through V. Pavlidis. The visitors' hopes faded as Pavlidis added a penalty in the 87th minute, and G. Prestianni sealed the victory deep into stoppage time. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Benfica win was on the money, though the margin was more comfortable than expected.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Benfica, also known as As Águias, facing off against GIL Vicente. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive encounter as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica have bolstered their squad with three new signings including S. El Karouani on loan.
- 2.GIL Vicente have added Samuel on a free transfer to their ranks.
- 3.Benfica finished last season with a significantly better goal difference than GIL Vicente.
- 4.Benfica's points-per-game last season (2.35) notably exceeded GIL Vicente's (1.47).
- 5.The predicted scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for Benfica.
- 6.The probabilities for home and away wins are close, indicating a competitive match.
- 7.Benfica are ranked 3rd and GIL Vicente 6th in their league from last season's standings.
The context
Benfica have strengthened their ranks with the arrivals of S. El Karouani on loan, J. Kamiński, and A. Circati on permanent transfers, while losing key players like N. Otamendi and António Silva. GIL Vicente have signed Samuel on a free transfer but parted ways with G. Konan and Andrew. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides seek to establish early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Benfica
Away — GIL Vicente
Analysis
The match is expected to be tightly contested. Benfica hold a slight edge with a better goal difference and points-per-game average from last season, suggesting a stronger overall squad. However, the probabilities for a home win and an away win are quite close, indicating a balanced contest. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 victory for Benfica, reflecting a match where defensive solidity and tactical discipline will be key.
Prediction
We predict Benfica to secure a 1-0 win over GIL Vicente. The home side's summer reinforcements and overall squad depth should be enough to tip the scales in their favour, but expect a hard-fought game with limited scoring opportunities.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture promises a competitive start with Benfica just about edging out GIL Vicente. Fans can look forward to a tactical battle where every goal counts, setting the tone for what should be an intriguing campaign ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Héctor Hernández
Assist: Pinto Martins
Barrenechea
Yellow Card
Héctor Hernández
Yellow Card
Pavlidis
Moreira
Héctor Hernández
Barrenechea
Barreiro
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
Lucão
Yellow Card
Schjelderup
Rafa
David Moreira
Daniel Banjaqui
Pinto Martins
Pavlidis
Penalty
Elimbi Gilbert
Prestianni
Assist: Echeverri
Esgaio
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2C. LengletD
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 27RafaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
Substitutes
- 1A. TrubinG
- 3A. CircatiD
- 8F. AursnesM
- 10H. SudakovM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 13J. KamińskiM
- 16ManuM
- 22J. DuránF
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 72A. CabralF
GIL Vicente
5-4-1Starting XI
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 12A. LausenM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsD
- 23Héctor HernándezF
- 27A. MoreiraM
- 30LucãoG
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 77MuriloM
Substitutes
- 2José SilvaD
- 3EspigaresD
- 7T. TouréF
- 10Santi GarcíaM
- 11Joelson FernandesF
- 17Sergio BermejoF
- 19GuilhermeM
- 32M. FernándezM
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 94SamuelG
- 99M. KabaF
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Prestianni | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4/7 |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 90 | 8.1 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Lenglet | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Durán | F | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 58 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Dahl | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Daniel Banjaqui | D | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/5 |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 72 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| F. Aursnes | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/5 |
| João Palhinha | M | 32 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Circati | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Sudakov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héctor Hernández | F | 56 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gil Pinto Martins | D | 81 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Touré | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Kaba | F | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 34 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Moreira | D | 81 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Espigares | D | 2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Silva | D | 9 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Lucão | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Moreira | M | 56 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lausen | M | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ricardo Esgaio | D | 90 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Maia Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Bermejo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against GIL Vicente.
- What score did Fipster predict for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Benfica 1–0 GIL Vicente.
- What were the win probabilities for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
- Fipster's model gave Benfica a 44% chance of winning, GIL Vicente a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.