Major League Soccer · 2026-09-06

MLS day delivers drama but Fipster’s crystal ball foggy on five of seven

Seven matches, two ticks, and five misses for the Fipster model in Major League Soccer today. While it nailed the outcome and BTTS in FC Dallas vs Sporting KC and Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United, some surprise results left it scratching its head.

Day gradeC+Report card
0Star
2Tick
5Miss
Markets called right13/34

Today's MLS fixtures served up a feast of goals and surprises, but our trusty Fipster model only managed to get two out of seven predictions mostly right. The highlight was the thrilling 4-3 win for FC Dallas over Sporting Kansas City, where the model correctly called the outcome, BTTS, and over/under but missed the exact score and halftime call. We'll take that one as a solid tick.

Portland Timbers' 5-4 victory against Minnesota United also earned a tick for Fipster. It predicted a high-scoring game with both teams finding the net and got the outcome right, though not the exact tally or halftime scenario. Confidence was appropriate here — no complaints.

On the flip side, Seattle Sounders versus New York Red Bulls ended goalless, but Fipster fancied a 3-2 thriller to Seattle. Overconfident? Possibly. The model did get halftime right but missed every other call including outcome and BTTS — a reminder that even algorithms can be caught napping.

Other matches like Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes (1-1), Real Salt Lake vs LAFC (2-2), LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution (2-1), and Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis City (1-3) all defied Fipster's predictions on outcomes despite some correct BTTS calls. The model seemed particularly optimistic about home wins that didn’t quite materialize.

Overall, today's record stands at 0 STAR predictions, 2 TICKs, and 5 MISSes — not exactly a day to brag about but hey, even the best have off days. The model showed strength in spotting games with goals from both sides but struggled with exact scores and outcomes when underdogs had their say.

Day grade: C+.

Model record 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 5 MISSDay gradeC+

Fixtures

7
More from this round: Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23