Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes
Austin snatches draw with last-gasp equaliser
San Jose's early lead nearly held until Guilherme Biro's stoppage-time strike rescued a point for Austin.
San Jose Earthquakes took an early lead through Beau Leroux's goal in the 8th minute, setting the tone for what looked like a home defeat for Austin. However, Austin refused to lie down and were rewarded with a dramatic equaliser by Guilherme Biro deep into stoppage time at 90+6'. This late leveller defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win, turning what seemed a likely Austin victory into a shared spoils affair.
Outcome probability
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes face off in a regular season MLS clash where Austin aims to capitalize on their home advantage and recent attacking form.
Match factors
Austin's home scoring streak and attacking consistency
Austin has scored in all last 5 home games, leveraging strong attacking players like Uzuni and Torres
Preston Judd's prolific scoring form for San Jose
Judd leads San Jose with 11 goals and has a strong away scoring rate, posing a key threat
Timo Werner's doubtful status limits San Jose's attacking options
Werner is doubtful due to injury, capping his scoring and assist probability but remains a key player if fit
Facundo Torres' improving attacking contributions
Torres has 5 assists and 2 goals this season, showing recent form improvement and creativity
Austin's creative midfielders provide strong assist potential
Players like Facundo Torres and Ervin Torres drive Austin's chance creation with above average assists
The context
San Jose Earthquakes currently sit 4th in the league with 34 points, showing stronger form compared to Austin, who are 14th with 21 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with San Jose winning 4 times, Austin twice, and 7 draws in 13 matches. These encounters have been relatively high scoring, averaging nearly 4 goals per game.
Key insights
Myrto Uzuni
Austin
Leads Austin in goals with 6, showing strong home scoring rate and consistent starting presence.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 17 apps, 0.35 goals/game
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
Top scorer with 11 goals, prolific away scorer and key attacking threat for San Jose.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 17 apps, 0.65 goals/game
- F
Facundo Torres Pérez
Austin
Creative midfielder with 5 assists and recent improvement in goal contributions, vital in Austin's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 20 apps, 0.25 assists/game
Timo Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
Doubtful due to injury, limiting San Jose's attacking options but remains influential if fit.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 10 apps, 0.30 assists/game
Analysis
Austin's attacking threat is led by Myrto Uzuni, who has netted 6 goals this season and boasts a strong home scoring record. Facundo Torres adds creativity with 5 assists and recent goal contributions. San Jose's main danger comes from Preston Judd, their top scorer with 11 goals, particularly effective away from home. However, San Jose's attacking options are somewhat limited by the doubtful status of Timo Werner. Austin's consistent home scoring streak and creative midfield presence give them the edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Austin have won 2 of 13 matches against San Jose Earthquakes, with 7 draws and 4 wins for San Jose.
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.9 goals, indicating an open game.
- 3.San Jose Earthquakes are 4th in the league with 34 points from 22 games (W10 D4 L8).
- 4.Austin are 14th with 21 points from 21 games (W5 D6 L10).
- 5.Myrto Uzuni leads Austin with 6 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- 6.Preston Judd is San Jose's top scorer with 11 goals, particularly effective away.
- 7.Facundo Torres has contributed 5 assists and 2 goals, improving his attacking impact recently.
- 8.Timo Werner is doubtful for San Jose, potentially limiting their attacking options.
Prediction
The forecast sees Austin taking a 1-0 lead into halftime and ultimately winning 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, around four, reflecting a spirited but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — San Jose Earthquakes
The verdict
Austin's home form and attacking consistency should be enough to overcome a strong San Jose side. While San Jose have quality and scoring prowess, Austin's key players and home advantage are likely to tip the scales in their favour for a narrow victory.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Leroux
Assist: Tsakiris
Goal cancelled
Gallagher
Svatok
Roberts
Yellow Card
Bouda
Alastuey
Rosales
Desler
Tsakiris
Kikanovic
Ricketts
Stuver
Yellow Card
Löwen
Biro
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Austin
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 3M. DeslerD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 9B. VázquezF
- 11F. TorresF
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 17J. GallagherM
- 24Jorge AlastueyF
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
- 38Ervin TorresM
Substitutes
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 12D. LasG
- 15J. BellD
- 21C. RamirezF
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 32M. BurtonM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 77P. PłachetaM
San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. GunnG
- 2J. RickettsM
- 5D. MunieD
- 7O. BoudaF
- 10N. TsakirisM
- 14R. VieiraM
- 18R. RobertsD
- 23E. LöwenM
- 25M. FlorianiD
- 28B. KikanovicM
- 34Beau LerouxM
Substitutes
- 4D. RomneyD
- 6I. HarkesM
- 9L. JovanovićF
- 16J. SkahanM
- 17Jack JasinskiD
- 19P. JuddF
- 20N. FernandezM
- 31Francesco MontaliG
- 87Vítor CostaD
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Ž. Kolmanič | D | 29 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Desler | D | 75 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1/3 |
| J. Bell | D | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Stuver | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 0 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Alastuey | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| P. Płacheta | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Vázquez | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Rosales | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/8 |
| B. Šabović | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Burton | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Las | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Leroux | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 81 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Floriani | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Munie | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Roberts | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Vieira | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 9 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vítor Costa | D | 9 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Harkes | M | 9 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gunn | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Löwen | M | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Ricketts | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kikanovic | M | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Judd | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Bouda | F | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Romney | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jovanović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Skahan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Montali | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |