Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC and Real Salt Lake share spoils
A lively 2-2 draw sees both sides trade blows in a spirited MLS encounter.
Los Angeles FC struck first through D. Bouanga before S. Lobzhanidze levelled for Real Salt Lake early on. Son Heung-Min restored LAFC's lead before N. Caliskan ensured a draw for the home side with a well-timed goal after the break. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, delivering a fair share of points for both teams.
Outcome probability
Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC face off in what promises to be an engaging MLS regular season encounter. Both teams have shown attacking intent in their recent matches, setting the stage for a closely contested game.
Match factors
Real Salt Lake's home scoring streak
Real Salt Lake has scored in all last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
Bouanga's goal threat for LAFC
Denis Bouanga leads LAFC with 10 goals, a major scoring threat in this match
Solans' recent scoring form
Sergi Solans has 3 goals in last 5 games, including strong home scoring
Real Salt Lake missing key attackers
Confirmed outs include attacker A. Piol, reducing attacking depth for Real Salt Lake
LAFC's defensive solidity
LAFC concedes fewer goals on average (0.96) than Real Salt Lake (1.57), indicating defensive edge
The context
Los Angeles FC currently sit 3rd in the league with 36 points, boasting a superior goal difference compared to Real Salt Lake, who are 8th with 28 points. Historically, LAFC have dominated head-to-head meetings, winning 14 of 20 matches, but Real Salt Lake have been consistent scorers at home this season.
Key insights
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Top scorer for Real Salt Lake with 8 goals, showing strong recent home scoring form with 2 goals in last 2 home matches.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 18 apps, 0.44 goals/game
Z. Gozo
Real Salt Lake
Key attacking midfielder with 6 goals and 4 assists this season, contributing significantly at home.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 16 apps, 0.38 goals/game
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Leading scorer for LAFC with 10 goals, including 6 in last 10 games, a major threat to Real Salt Lake's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 19 apps, 0.53 goals/game
Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC
Creative attacker with 8 assists and 4 goals this season, providing key chances and scoring threats.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in 18 apps, 0.22 goals/game
Analysis
Despite LAFC's overall stronger league position and better goal difference, Real Salt Lake's home form and attacking momentum give them the edge. Real Salt Lake have scored in all of their last five home games, with Sergi Solans leading the charge with 8 goals this season and excellent recent home form. LAFC's Denis Bouanga remains a potent threat with 10 goals, but their defensive solidity may be tested by Real Salt Lake's persistent attack.
Key facts
- 1.Los Angeles FC have won 14 of 20 head-to-head meetings against Real Salt Lake.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 3.3 goals, indicating open, attacking games.
- 3.Los Angeles FC are 3rd in the league with 36 points; Real Salt Lake are 8th with 28 points.
- 4.LAFC have a +14 goal difference compared to Real Salt Lake's +2 this season.
- 5.Real Salt Lake have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Sergi Solans is Real Salt Lake's top scorer with 8 goals this season.
- 7.Denis Bouanga leads Los Angeles FC with 10 goals this season.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 3.
Prediction
We predict Real Salt Lake will take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up, and ultimately secure a 2-1 victory. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, around three, reflecting the intensity of the contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Real Salt Lake
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
This fixture should provide plenty of excitement, with Real Salt Lake leveraging their home advantage and attacking form to overcome a strong Los Angeles FC side. Fans can expect a tight game with goals and spirited play from both teams.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bouanga
Assist: Son Heung-Min
Lobzhanidze
Arias
Yellow Card
Son Heung-Min
Assist: Bouanga
Moisa
Yellow Card
Arias
Lobzhanidze
Moisa
Caliskan
Guske
Yellow Card
Boyd
Shaffelburg
Solans
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | +1 | 35 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 4L. EngelD
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 10D. LunaF
- 12S. LobzhanidzeF
- 21J. AriasD
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 34L. MoisaM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 98A. KatránisM
Substitutes
- 2D. YedlinD
- 3K. HenryD
- 13Jason ShokalookF
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
Los Angeles FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 18J. ShaffelburgM
- 19T. BoydF
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 24R. HollingsheadM
- 33A. LongD
- 66M. ChoinièreM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
- 4E. SeguraD
- 9A. SiebF
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 31Cabral CarterG
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 90Tommy MihalicF
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Caliskan | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | F | 67 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Luna | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2/5 |
| D. Yedlin | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hezarkhani | F | 23 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Engel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Jason Shokalook | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Quinton | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Cabral | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sanabria | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Solans | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Katránis | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Arias | D | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Moisa | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Colin Guske | M | 20 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Henry | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stajduhar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bouanga | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2/4 |
| Son Heung-Min | F | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| H. Lloris | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tafari | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Cheberko | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Sieb | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hollingshead | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Shaffelburg | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Choinière | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Boyd | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| R. Raposo | M | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Long | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Ebobisse | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Segura | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommy Mihalic | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cabral Carter | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jude Terry | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Nielsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Real Salt Lake to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Real Salt Lake 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave Real Salt Lake a 85% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.