ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone

PremiershipMatchweek 2

ST Mirren

Full Time
1–0
HT: 0–0

ST Johnstone

Ref: Ross Hardie, ScotlandThe SMISA Stadium, Paisley · 8,016 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

Mirren edge Johnstone with penalty precision

A solitary spot-kick settled a tight Premiership clash at St Mirren Park.

ST Mirren secured a narrow 1-0 victory over ST Johnstone thanks to K. Phillips' penalty in the 73rd minute. Despite J. Gullan missing a penalty early in the second half for Johnstone, Mirren held firm to claim the points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline in mind.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
2–1
Final Result
1–0
HT 0–0
55%Fair
C
✓Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✗Over/Under 2.5✓Halftime
Fipster's self review8 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

ST Mirren 35%Draw 33%ST Johnstone 32%

The new season kicks off with ST Mirren facing off against ST Johnstone in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are eager to make a strong start, with ST Mirren looking to leverage their experience and ST Johnstone aiming to prove their mettle after recent changes.

Match factors

Statsmedium

Outcome Probabilities

Home win probability is 32.5%, draw 29.5%, away win 30%.

Statsmedium

Modal Scoreline

Most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 with 17.5% probability.

Statsmedium

Halftime Score Consistency

Halftime score set to null for consistency with fulltime score.

The context

This fixture marks the first competitive outing of the season for both sides. ST Mirren remain in the Premiership after finishing 5th last season with 34 points from 38 games, while ST Johnstone join the division as newcomers. The Saints have made a notable signing in D. Finlayson, while ST Mirren have seen the departure of M. Freckleton and S. Tanser, which could influence their squad dynamics.

Key facts

  1. 1.ST Mirren finished 5th in the Premiership last season with 34 points from 38 games.
  2. 2.ST Johnstone are newly promoted to the Premiership this season.
  3. 3.ST Mirren have lost M. Freckleton and S. Tanser ahead of the new campaign.
  4. 4.ST Johnstone have signed D. Finlayson as a free agent.
  5. 5.The predicted scoreline is 2-1 in favour of ST Mirren.
  6. 6.Home win probability is 32.5%, draw 29.5%, away win 30%.
  7. 7.The most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 with 17.5% probability.

Analysis

The match is expected to be finely balanced, with probabilities for home wins, draws, and away wins all hovering close. The most likely outcome is a 2-1 victory for ST Mirren, reflecting their slight edge in points per game last season and home advantage. ST Johnstone's better goal difference last season hints at their attacking potential, but the step up in competition will test their resilience. Tactical discipline and squad cohesion will be key factors in determining the winner.

Prediction

We predict ST Mirren will clinch a 2-1 win over ST Johnstone. The home side's experience and squad stability give them the slight upper hand, though the margin is expected to be narrow. Fans can anticipate an engaging match with both teams pushing hard for a positive start.

The verdict

As the season opener, this match sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign. ST Mirren's narrow predicted victory suggests a competitive fixture where every goal will count. Both teams will look to build momentum from this encounter, making it a must-watch for supporters.

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