ST Mirren vs Motherwell
St Mirren and Motherwell share six-goal thriller
A pulsating 3-3 draw sees both sides trade blows in a Premiership goal fest.
Motherwell looked to have the upper hand early on with Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise and R. Charles-Cook putting them ahead, but St Mirren fought back fiercely with a trio of goals from P. Nsio, D. John, and S. Ramos to level the match before the break. Despite a late strike from J. Kanga for Motherwell in stoppage time, the game ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a narrow away win, proving the Premiership can still surprise us all.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with ST Mirren facing off against Motherwell. Both teams are looking to set the tone early, with fresh squads and summer changes shaping their prospects. Expect a tactical battle as they vie for early points.
Key facts
- 1.Motherwell have a significantly better goal difference (+48) compared to ST Mirren (-25) from last season.
- 2.Motherwell averaged 1.64 points per game last season, well above ST Mirren's 0.89.
- 3.Motherwell are ranked 4th in the league standings from last season, ahead of ST Mirren.
- 4.ST Mirren have released three players including M. Mandron and D. Nlundulu during the summer.
- 5.Motherwell have signed J. Girdwood-Reich and J. Hodge ahead of the new season.
- 6.The predicted halftime and fulltime score is 0-1 in favour of Motherwell.
- 7.The match is expected to feature a total of three cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
The context
ST Mirren enter this match having released a few players including M. Mandron and D. Nlundulu, while Motherwell have strengthened their ranks with the signings of J. Girdwood-Reich and J. Hodge. Motherwell have also seen the departure of E. Just, E. Watt, and C. Slattery. These summer moves could influence the dynamics as both sides seek to start the campaign positively.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Mirren
Away — Motherwell
Analysis
Motherwell hold a statistical edge over ST Mirren, with a notably better goal difference and points-per-game ratio from last season. This suggests a stronger overall performance level. The prediction data points to a narrow 1-0 win for Motherwell, with the goal likely coming in the first half and the visitors maintaining their lead through disciplined defending. ST Mirren will need to be cautious and organised to prevent Motherwell from capitalising on their advantage.
Prediction
The forecast is for Motherwell to clinch a 1-0 victory, scoring early and holding firm throughout. The halftime score is expected to be 0-1, consistent with the final result. The match is likely to be competitive but ultimately decided by a single goal margin in favour of the away side.
The verdict
As the season opener, this fixture promises a tight contest with Motherwell narrowly prevailing. Both teams will look to build momentum, but Motherwell’s summer reinforcements and last season’s stronger form give them the edge to start with a win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Assist: Lowry
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Missed Penalty · Assist: Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Charles-Cook
Nsio
Assist: Ramos
John
Assist: Ramos
Ramos
Assist: Gogić
Sparrow
O'Donnell
Yellow Card
Moormann
Yellow Card
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Charles-Cook
Mochrie
Ramsay
Unknown
Hodge
Ramos
Said
Kabia
Carr
Yellow Card
Young
Yellow Card
Kanga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
Match Statistics
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnD
- 8R. CarrM
- 10S. RamosM
- 13A. GogićD
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 23C. MochrieM
- 47C. RamsayD
- 48P. NsioM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
Substitutes
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 5R. KingD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 16L. ThomasM
- 20J. YoungF
- 30F. TaylorM
- 31R. MullenG
- 37C. McEvoyM
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 7T. SparrowD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 11A. LowryM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 19I. SaidM
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 71J. HodgeM
Substitutes
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 13J. KangaM
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 24L. RossM
- 25Olly WhyteM
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 77W. VogtF
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ramos | M | 71 | 8.7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ryan Carr | M | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Paul Nsio | M | 93 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jacob Chapman | G | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Declan John | D | 93 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Calvin Ramsay | D | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Alexander Gogić(C) | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ismeal Kabia | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Chris Mochrie | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Richard King | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Mullen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carrick McEvoy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Young | F | 18 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Thomas | M | 22 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Fraser Taylor | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jayden Richardson | D | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 58 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alex Lowry | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3/4 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Hodge | M | 71 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | M | 58 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/4 |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ibrahim Said | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Tom Sparrow(C) | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Moormann | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Willy Vogt | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olly Whyte | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Ross | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matty Connelly | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 48 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Williams | D | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jardell Kanga | M | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Eythor Bjørgolfsson | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Palmer-Houlden | F | 35 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Motherwell to win against ST Mirren.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Mirren 0–1 Motherwell.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
- Fipster's model gave ST Mirren a 16% chance of winning, Motherwell a 67% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.