ST Mirren vs Hibernian
Hibernian snatch draw at St Mirren
A late goal from M. Ivezić earns Hibernian a point in a tight Premiership clash.
The Premiership encounter between St Mirren and Hibernian ended in a 1-1 draw, with M. Ivezić's 78th-minute strike putting Hibernian on the board. St Mirren's hopes of a win were dashed when J. Kerr inadvertently scored an own goal five minutes later, handing Hibernian a share of the spoils. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win, proving the match was tighter than expected.
Outcome probability
ST Mirren and Hibernian face off in what promises to be a competitive Scottish Premiership encounter. Both teams have had their moments this season, but the home side looks poised to secure a vital win.
Match factors
Phillips' central role boosts ST Mirren attack
Killian Phillips leads scoring and assists, central to creating and finishing chances
ST Mirren's attacking midfield outperforms league average
Phillips and Samu exceed league averages in goals and assists per game
ST Mirren scoring streak at home supports predicted win
Team scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing offensive consistency
Gogić's passing and set-piece threat add creative depth
Defender Gogić provides assists and high passing accuracy, aiding build-up play
No confirmed injuries for ST Mirren ensures full attacking options
All top scorers and assisters available, maximizing offensive potential
The context
In their 20 previous meetings, Hibernian hold a slight edge with 8 wins to ST Mirren's 6, alongside 6 draws. Currently, ST Mirren sit 6th in the league with 13 points from 10 games, while Hibernian find themselves 12th with 7 points from 9 matches. ST Mirren's superior points-per-game ratio of 1.30 compared to Hibernian's 0.78 reflects their stronger form this season.
Key insights
Killian Phillips
ST Mirren
Phillips leads the team with 3 goals in 5 games, boasting a scoring rate well above the league average for midfielders, making him central to ST Mirren's attack.
Premiership 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game
Samu
ST Mirren
Samu tops the assist charts for ST Mirren with 2 assists in 5 games, providing creative spark and chance creation from midfield.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 5 appearances, 0.4 assists/game
Alexandros Gogić
ST Mirren
Gogić offers creative depth with his high passing accuracy and set-piece threat, contributing assists and consistent play from defence.
Premiership 26/271 assist in 9 appearances, 0.11 assists/game
Analysis
The first half is expected to be balanced, with a 1-1 halftime scoreline the most probable scenario. ST Mirren's attacking midfield, led by Killian Phillips, who boasts 3 goals in 5 appearances, is a key factor in their offensive threat. Creative contributions from Samu and Alexandros Gogić add depth to their play. Hibernian will not make it easy, but ST Mirren's recent home scoring streak and tactical setup suggest they will edge the contest in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.In 20 meetings, Hibernian have 8 wins, ST Mirren 6, with 6 draws.
- 2.ST Mirren rank 6th with 13 points from 10 games; Hibernian 12th with 7 points from 9 games.
- 3.ST Mirren have a higher points-per-game (1.30) than Hibernian (0.78).
- 4.Killian Phillips leads ST Mirren with 3 goals in 5 appearances.
- 5.ST Mirren have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.Samu is the top assister for ST Mirren with 2 assists in 5 games.
- 7.Alexandros Gogić contributes with assists and high passing accuracy.
- 8.The most likely halftime score is 1-1, with a final score of 2-1 to ST Mirren.
Prediction
The prediction favours a 2-1 victory for ST Mirren. After a competitive first half ending 1-1, the home side is expected to find the decisive goal in the second half, capitalising on their attacking strengths and home form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Mirren
Away — Hibernian
No standout top scorers flagged for Hibernian
The verdict
Expect a closely fought match with moments of quality from both sides. ST Mirren's consistent scoring at home and key players in form should see them narrowly overcome Hibernian in this Scottish Premiership fixture.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 13:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mochrie
Yellow Card
Mulligan
Yellow Card
Thomas
Gogić
Yellow Card
Chaiwa
Sule
Mochrie
Ivezić
Assist: Elding
Cadden
McGrath
Carr
Kerr (OG)
Taylor
Yellow Card
Nsio
Yellow Card
Abdulai
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Match Statistics
ST Mirren
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnM
- 8R. CarrM
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 13A. GogićD
- 16L. ThomasF
- 22M. FraserD
- 23C. MochrieF
- 47C. RamsayM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 88K. PhillipsM
Substitutes
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 4L. DonnellyM
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 10SamuM
- 20J. YoungF
- 30F. TaylorM
- 37C. McEvoyM
- 48P. NsioM
Hibernian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorD
- 5M. IvezićD
- 6J. KerrD
- 7O. EldingF
- 8J. MulliganM
- 11J. NewellM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 19N. CaddenM
- 25F. PasslackD
Substitutes
- 4G. HanleyD
- 12Alex WilliamsD
- 13J. SmithG
- 15J. IredaleD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 34Z. BruceM
- 39R. MatondoM
- 47A. AbdulaiM
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Phillips | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| J. Young | F | 20 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| R. Carr | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. John | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| C. Mochrie | F | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| L. Thomas | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| C. Ramsay | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Chapman | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Fraser | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| F. Taylor | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. McEvoy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Donnelly | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Jackson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ivezić | D | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Cadden | M | 79 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| F. Passlack | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Mayor | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Klidje | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Matondo | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McGrath | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| J. Newell | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 0/3 |
| A. Abdulai | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Smith | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Iredale | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Williams | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Bruce | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted ST Mirren to win against Hibernian.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Mirren 2–1 Hibernian.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Mirren vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's model gave ST Mirren a 47% chance of winning, Hibernian a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 47% confidence — a medium-confidence call.