ST Mirren vs Dundee
St Mirren stifle Dundee with solid win
C. Ramsay and Eseosa Sule secure a 2-1 victory at home.
St Mirren overturned expectations by defeating Dundee 2-1 in the Premiership. C. Ramsay opened the scoring in the first half, and Eseosa Sule doubled the lead after the break, before Dundee's B. Fink pulled one back. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, ST Mirren face a stern test against Dundee. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality, but recent form and league standings suggest a tightly contested affair with an away win on the cards.
Match factors
Dundee's superior recent scoring form
Dundee has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
ST Mirren's defensive vulnerabilities
ST Mirren concedes nearly 2 goals per game at home, likely exploited by Dundee's attack
Killian Phillips' recent goal-scoring surge
Phillips scored multiple goals recently with high match ratings, key to ST Mirren's attack
Dundee's defensive solidity with Astley and Wright
Astley and Wright provide strong defensive and offensive support, crucial against ST Mirren
The context
Dundee currently sit 4th in the league with 13 points from 8 games, outperforming ST Mirren who are 8th with 10 points from 9 matches. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, with ST Mirren winning 9 of 20 meetings and Dundee 6, alongside 5 draws. This sets the stage for a keenly fought contest.
Key insights
- K
Killian Phillips
ST Mirren
Phillips has been in fine form recently, scoring multiple goals with high match ratings, making him a key attacking threat for ST Mirren.
Premiership 26/272 goals in recent matches, match rating of 9.2 in a single game
- B
B. Fink
Dundee
Fink’s consistent goal scoring and high match ratings underline his importance to Dundee’s attacking momentum.
Premiership 26/272 goals in last 3 matches, match ratings above 7.3
- R
R. Astley
Dundee
Astley provides defensive solidity and offensive support, contributing assists and maintaining high passing accuracy.
Premiership 26/2710 tackles, 11 interceptions, 80% passing accuracy
Analysis
Dundee's superior goal difference (+3 compared to ST Mirren's -8) and consistent scoring in their last five matches highlight their attacking momentum. ST Mirren's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding nearly two goals per home game, could be exploited by Dundee's forwards. Key players like Killian Phillips have been crucial for ST Mirren's attack, but Dundee's defensive duo of Astley and Wright provide solidity and offensive support, balancing the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee are 4th in the league with 13 points from 8 games, ST Mirren 8th with 10 points from 9 games.
- 2.Dundee have a goal difference of +3, ST Mirren sit at -8 this season.
- 3.In 20 meetings, ST Mirren have won 9, Dundee 6, with 5 draws.
- 4.Dundee have scored in all of their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 5.ST Mirren concede nearly 2 goals per home game, highlighting defensive issues.
Prediction
The prediction sees Dundee taking an early 2-0 lead by halftime, reflecting their attacking edge and ST Mirren's defensive struggles. Despite a late rally from ST Mirren, Dundee are expected to hold on for a 2-1 victory, securing valuable points away from home.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Mirren
Away — Dundee
The verdict
This match promises to be a competitive encounter with Dundee's form and defensive strength likely to tip the balance. ST Mirren will need to tighten up at the back and rely on key performers to challenge Dundee's advantage. Expect a closely fought game with Dundee emerging victorious by a narrow margin.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 20:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ramsay
Assist: Sule
Sule
Assist: Phillips
Bevan
Sule
Yellow Card
Sule
Jones
Kabia
Yellow Card
Fink
Kabia
Forrest
Thomas
Yellow Card
Harrison
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
Match Statistics
ST Mirren
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnM
- 8R. CarrM
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 13A. GogićD
- 16L. ThomasF
- 19Ismeal KabiaF
- 22M. FraserD
- 47C. RamsayM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 88K. PhillipsM
Substitutes
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 4L. DonnellyM
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 10SamuM
- 20J. YoungF
- 23C. MochrieM
- 30F. TaylorM
- 37C. McEvoyM
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 11A. HayF
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 14A. ForrestM
- 21B. FinkF
- 27J. BevanM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 6M. AkinmboniD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 18C. ReillyF
- 26J. WrightD
- 77Alfie HarrisonM
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eseosa Sule | F | 68 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| C. Ramsay | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| K. Phillips | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismeal Kabia | F | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| J. Young | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Fraser | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Thomas | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| R. Carr | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. John | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Mochrie | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chapman | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Taylor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Donnelly | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. McEvoy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Jackson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fink | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Bevan | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Hay | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Astley | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Forrest | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Jones | M | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Reilly | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Goodman | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bevan | M | 62 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alfie Harrison | M | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Finnigan | M | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Wright | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Samuels | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| M. Akinmboni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. O'Hara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wright | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ž. Bešir | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Odutayo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against ST Mirren.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Mirren 1–2 Dundee.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
- Fipster's model gave ST Mirren a 11% chance of winning, Dundee a 78% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 78% confidence — a high-confidence call.