ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd
Match recap
ST Mirren and Dundee Utd drew 1–1 in their Premiership fixture. Young scored for ST Mirren; Sapsford replied for Dundee Utd. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.00 for ST Mirren versus 0.36 for Dundee Utd. ST Mirren sit 10th in the Premiership table while Dundee Utd are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-1 Draw
Actual
1–1
Analysis
As the relegation group heats up, ST Mirren host Dundee Utd in a clash that promises tension and tactical battles. Both teams are desperate for points, but history and form suggest a balanced affair.
ST Mirren, sitting 10th, face 7th-placed Dundee Utd at home. The fixture is crucial for both sides aiming to avoid the drop. Historically, Dundee Utd hold a slight edge in wins, but recent matches have been tight.
Dundee Utd's top scorer Zachary Sapsford and ST Mirren's Killian Phillips are key threats, both in good recent form. ST Mirren's defensive duo, Miguel Freckleton and Marcus Fraser, offer solidity, while creative outlets like Mikael Mandron and Will Ferry will look to unlock defences. The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects the balance of attacking prowess and defensive resilience on display.
Prediction
Our forecast sees the teams sharing the points with a 1-1 draw. Dundee Utd lead at halftime, but ST Mirren's home advantage and recent scoring form should see them level before the final whistle. Expect four cards as tempers flare in this relegation tussle.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Midfield Creativity vs Defensive Vulnerability
ST Mirren's Mandron and Phillips provide creative threat exploiting Dundee Utd's moderate defensive duel win rates.
Defensive Solidity of Freckleton and Fraser
ST Mirren's defenders show above-average tackling and interceptions, crucial against Dundee Utd's attackers.
Phillips' Recent Scoring Form
Phillips scored 2 goals in last 5 games, indicating strong momentum to influence match outcome.
Sapsford's Consistent Threat
Dundee Utd's Sapsford has scored in recent encounters, posing a key challenge for ST Mirren's defense.
No Significant Injuries Reported
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed without key absences.
Key Takeaways
In a match where every point counts, a draw feels like a fair result. Both sides have the quality to score but also the defensive grit to keep things tight. Fans can expect a competitive, closely fought encounter with moments of quality from key players.
- Dundee Utd have a slight edge with 8 wins to ST Mirren's 6 in 19 meetings, with 5 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 draw.
- Dundee Utd rank 7th with 40 points; ST Mirren are 10th with 30 points this season.
- Killian Phillips is ST Mirren's top scorer with 4 goals, including 2 in the last 5 games.
- Zachary Sapsford leads Dundee Utd with 9 goals and recent scoring form.
- Mikael Mandron and Will Ferry are key creative players with 5 and 6 assists respectively.
- ST Mirren defenders Miguel Freckleton and Marcus Fraser show strong defensive stats.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Mirren
Away — Dundee Utd
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Harding
Yellow Card
Sapsford
Assist: Watters
Freckleton
Unknown
Watters
Harding
Strain
Yellow Card
Strain
Fraser
Tanser
Young
Assist: King
Sibbald
Sapsford
Douglas
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 | 70 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 |  ST Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -28 | 28 |
Match Statistics
ST Mirren
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2J. RichardsonM
- 3S. TanserM
- 6M. O'Hara
- 7R. IdowuM
- 13A. GogićD
- 16A. CampbellM
- 20J. YoungF
- 21M. FreckletonD
- 22M. FraserD
- 27R. SinclairG
- 32L. DouglasF
Substitutes
- 4L. DonnellyM
- 5R. KingD
- 8J. DevaneyM
- 9M. MandronF
- 17J. CalvinF
- 35Grant TamoseviciusG
- 38T. Falconer
- 40C. McMillanF
- 88K. PhillipsM
Dundee Utd
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2R. StrainM
- 5V. ŠeveljM
- 6R. GrahamD
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 9Z. SapsfordF
- 14C. SibbaldM
- 23K. KeresztesD
- 25D. RichardsG
- 36M. WattersF
- 37S. HardingD
- 43K. GilliganM
Substitutes
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 10J. EskesenM
- 22D. NaamoD
- 31R. AdamsG
- 34O. StirtonD
- 39S. ConstableM
- 40Matthew MudieD
- 77J. RussellF
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Young | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Allan Campbell | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ross Sinclair | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roland Idowu | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Alexander Gogić | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Marcus Fraser | D | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Scott Tanser | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Richardson | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Freckleton | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luke Douglas | F | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Mark O'Hara(C) | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Liam Donnelly | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Killian Phillips | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikael Mandron | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grant Tamosevicius | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard King | D | 24 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jacob Devaney | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Thomas Falconer | D | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jalmaro Calvin | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Caiden McMillan | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Dundee Utd
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicko Ševelj | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ryan Strain | M | 66 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Ross Graham(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Krisztián Keresztes | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Zachary Sapsford | F | 74 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Sam Cleall-Harding | D | 59 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kier Gilligan | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Panutche Camará | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Max Watters | F | 59 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dave Richards | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matthew Mudie | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dario Naamo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruairidh Adams | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bert Esselink | D | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Stirton | D | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Johnny Russell | F | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Scott Constable | M | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Eskesen | M | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |