ST Mirren vs Celtic
Celtic come from behind to edge St Mirren
A penalty gave St Mirren the early lead, but Celtic's second-half strikes secured the win.
St Mirren took an early advantage through N. Agrafiotis' penalty at 22 minutes, but Celtic responded after the break with goals from L. Scales and Yang Hyun-Jun to claim a 2-1 victory. The match shaped up as a narrow win for the visitors, who overturned the deficit with a composed second-half display. Fipster's low-confidence prediction for an away win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved slightly optimistic.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with ST Mirren facing off against Celtic. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing opener. Fans can expect a lively contest as Celtic look to assert their dominance early on.
Key facts
- 1.Celtic have a significantly better goal difference than ST Mirren from last season.
- 2.Celtic's points-per-game last season (2.16) notably exceeded ST Mirren's (0.89).
- 3.ST Mirren have lost key players M. Mandron and D. Nlundulu over the summer.
- 4.Celtic have strengthened their squad with signings K. Høgh, M. Baur, and H. Hassan.
- 5.The predicted scoreline is 3-1 in favour of Celtic.
- 6.Away wins dominate the probability at 95%.
- 7.The halftime score is likely to reflect a strong Celtic lead, possibly 3-0.
The context
ST Mirren have seen some departures this summer, including M. Mandron and D. Nlundulu leaving as free agents, and M. Freckleton transferring out. Celtic, meanwhile, have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of K. Høgh, M. Baur, and H. Hassan, while parting ways with D. Maeda, A. Engels, and L. Palma. These changes suggest Celtic have strengthened their squad depth and attacking options ahead of this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Mirren
Away — Celtic
Analysis
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Celtic, with a 95% probability of victory and a most likely scoreline of 3-1. This suggests Celtic's attacking capabilities and overall squad quality are expected to outmatch ST Mirren. The halftime score is also expected to reflect Celtic's early control, possibly leading 3-0 by the break. ST Mirren's summer departures may impact their cohesion and attacking threat, while Celtic's new signings could provide fresh impetus.
Prediction
Expect Celtic to take the lead early and maintain control throughout the match, ultimately securing a 3-1 victory. ST Mirren may find the net once, but Celtic's superior firepower and tactical setup should see them comfortably through.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for Celtic's campaign ambitions and ST Mirren's challenge to compete. While the prediction leans towards a Celtic win, the game promises moments of excitement and competitive spirit from both sides.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Donovan
Yellow Card
Agrafiotis
Penalty
Goal cancelled
Ramsay
Yellow Card
Scales
Assist: Nygren
Taylor
Agrafiotis
Yang Hyun-Jun
Assist: Durán
Mochrie
Hassan
Baur
Yang Hyun-Jun
Durán
Carr
Donovan
Goal cancelled
Sule
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
Match Statistics
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnD
- 8R. CarrM
- 13A. GogićD
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 23C. MochrieM
- 25N. AgrafiotisF
- 30F. TaylorM
- 47C. RamsayD
- 48P. NsioM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
Substitutes
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 10SamuM
- 16L. ThomasM
- 20J. YoungF
- 31R. MullenG
- 37C. McEvoyM
Celtic
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 5L. ScalesD
- 6A. TrustyD
- 8B. NygrenM
- 11C. DuránF
- 13Yang Hyun-JunM
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 22M. BaurM
- 23H. HassanM
- 42C. McGregorM
- 51Colby DonovanD
Substitutes
- 3J. LotombaD
- 17S. TounektiF
- 18O. SørensenM
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 29Shumaira MheukaF
- 35J. van den BergM
- 47D. MurrayD
- 49J. ForrestM
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Chapman | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Young | F | 7 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| N. Agrafiotis | F | 68 | 6.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Taylor | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| D. John | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Ismeal Kabia | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| R. Carr | M | 83 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Mochrie | M | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| C. Ramsay | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Thomas | M | 21 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Samu | M | 28 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| C. McEvoy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mullen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Jackson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celtic
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| C. Durán | F | 83 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/3 |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shumaira Mheuka | F | 7 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Baur | M | 73 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Yang Hyun-Jun | M | 73 | 7.1 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2/8 |
| B. Nygren | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| C. Carter-Vickers | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Hassan | M | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3/5 |
| O. Sørensen | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Murray | D | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| S. Tounekti | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Colby Donovan | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lotomba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Johnstone | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. van den Berg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celtic to win against ST Mirren.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Mirren 1–3 Celtic.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Mirren vs Celtic?
- Fipster's model gave ST Mirren a 32% chance of winning, Celtic a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.