ST Johnstone vs Hibernian
Fowler's brace seals St Johnstone win
Two first-half strikes from J. Fowler earn St Johnstone a 2-1 victory over Hibernian.
St Johnstone upset the odds with a 2-1 win against Hibernian in the Premiership, thanks to J. Fowler's early impact including a penalty before the break. N. Lowe's reply for Hibernian was not enough to prevent the home side from taking all three points. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win for Hibernian.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with an intriguing clash as ST Johnstone, fresh from promotion, face off against Hibernian. Both sides will be eager to set the tone for their campaigns, with Hibernian looking to build on last season's solid finish and ST Johnstone aiming to make their mark in the top flight.
Key facts
- 1.Hibernian have a significantly better goal difference (14 goals) than ST Johnstone this season.
- 2.Hibernian average 1.55 points per game compared to ST Johnstone's 0.00.
- 3.The predicted halftime score is 0-3 in favour of Hibernian.
- 4.The forecasted fulltime score is 1-3 to Hibernian.
- 5.A total of four cards is expected, indicating moderate discipline issues.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive meeting of the season for both teams. Hibernian remain in the Premiership after finishing fifth last term, while ST Johnstone return to the division following promotion. The match offers a chance for the newcomers to test themselves against established opposition and for Hibernian to assert their status early on.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Johnstone
Away — Hibernian
Analysis
Hibernian enter this match with a clear advantage, reflected in their superior goal difference and points-per-game metrics from last season. Despite losing a few players over the summer, the squad remains well-equipped to challenge. ST Johnstone, on the other hand, face the challenge of adapting to the higher level of competition. The prediction suggests Hibernian will take control early, possibly leading 3-0 by halftime, before ST Johnstone manage a consolation goal.
Prediction
The forecast is for a 3-1 victory to Hibernian, with the away side establishing dominance early on. The halftime scoreline of 0-3 indicates a strong start for Hibernian, while ST Johnstone's solitary goal reflects their resilience but ultimate inability to turn the tide. Expect a moderately disciplined game with around four cards shown.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, Hibernian look set to make a statement with a confident away win. ST Johnstone will need to regroup quickly after this tough opener if they are to secure their place in the Premiership. Fans can anticipate an engaging match with plenty of attacking intent from the visitors.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fowler
Gullan
Lowe
Assist: Chaiwa
Steven
Yellow Card
Fowler
Penalty
Boyle
Steven
Hanley
Lowe
Devaney
Fotheringham
Stanton
Fowler
Mulligan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
Match Statistics
ST Johnstone
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1T. StewardG
- 2E. AlıçD
- 3C. DiabateD
- 5Z. MitchellD
- 7T. StevenF
- 8J. HoltM
- 9J. FowlerF
- 10J. GullanF
- 11S. StantonM
- 33L. SmithD
- 42R. McAlearM
Substitutes
- 4M. BoyesD
- 14M. FouldsD
- 18K. FotheringhamF
- 20R. SinclairG
- 22D. SchmidtF
- 25M. TaitM
- 26M. ToddM
- 99R. PatonF
Hibernian
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorD
- 4G. HanleyD
- 6J. KerrD
- 8J. MulliganM
- 9N. LoweF
- 10M. BoyleM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 25F. PasslackD
Substitutes
- 11J. NewellM
- 12Alex WilliamsD
- 13J. SmithG
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 19N. CaddenM
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 23C. WrightM
- 27K. MegwaD
- 49A. AbdulaiM
ST Johnstone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fowler | F | 72 | 7.7 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Z. Mitchell | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Holt | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Steven | F | 57 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| C. Diabate | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Alıç | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Schmidt | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gullan | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Stanton | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Todd | M | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| R. McAlear | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Fotheringham | F | 50 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Steward | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Smith | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Tait | M | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Sinclair | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Paton | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Boyes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Foulds | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lowe | F | 61 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| K. Megwa | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mayor | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. McGrath | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| T. Klidje | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Mulligan | M | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| F. Passlack | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Wright | M | 29 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Boyle | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 15 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Smith | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Williams | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Newell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Hibernian to win against ST Johnstone.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Johnstone vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's model gave ST Johnstone a 32% chance of winning, Hibernian a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.