ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd snatch draw at St Johnstone
A late strike from L. Cameron earns Dundee Utd a point in a tight Premiership clash.
St Johnstone took an early lead through J. Fowler's 21st-minute goal, but Dundee Utd fought back to level the score with L. Cameron's strike in the 79th minute. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving the visitors' resilience in this Premiership encounter.
Outcome probability
ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd face off in what promises to be a tightly fought Scottish Premiership clash. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking flair and defensive resilience, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Dundee Utd's attacking threat led by Randall
Jesse Randall has scored 2 goals in last 5 games with strong away form, boosting Dundee Utd's scoring chances
Mehdi Merghem's creativity key for Dundee Utd
Merghem's 2 assists in 5 games and set-piece role make him a prime assist candidate
Josh Fowler's recent scoring form for ST Johnstone
Fowler has scored multiple goals recently and is the main attacking outlet for ST Johnstone
Cheick Diabate's defensive and passing impact
Diabate shows above-average defensive stats and passing volume, anchoring ST Johnstone's defense
Dylan Tait's midfield dominance for Dundee Utd
Tait leads in tackles and interceptions with high passing accuracy, controlling midfield battles
The context
Currently, ST Johnstone sit 7th in the league with 8 points from 7 games, while Dundee Utd are slightly ahead in 5th place with 11 points from 8 matches. The league table suggests a competitive fixture with both teams eager to climb higher.
Key insights
Jesse Randall
Dundee Utd
Randall's 2 goals in 7 games and strong away form make him Dundee Utd's key attacking threat.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 7 games, 0.29 avg per game
Mehdi Merghem
Dundee Utd
Merghem's creativity and set-piece prowess have yielded 2 assists in 5 games, vital for Dundee Utd's attack.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 5 games, 0.4 avg per game
- J
Josh Fowler
ST Johnstone
Fowler's recent scoring form, including multiple goals, positions him as ST Johnstone's main attacking outlet.
Premiership 26/272 goals in recent matches
- C
Cheick Diabate
ST Johnstone
Diabate's defensive solidity and passing accuracy are key to ST Johnstone's defensive stability.
Premiership 26/27Strong defensive stats with interceptions and tackles
- D
Dylan Tait
Dundee Utd
Tait's dominance in tackles and interceptions with high passing accuracy controls Dundee Utd's midfield.
Premiership 26/27Leads team in tackles and interceptions
Analysis
The match is expected to be a nail-biter, with Dundee Utd likely to lead 2-1 at halftime thanks to their attacking threat led by Jesse Randall, who has netted twice in recent games. However, ST Johnstone's Josh Fowler, in fine scoring form, is poised to spearhead a second-half comeback. Defensive stalwart Cheick Diabate will be crucial in stabilising the home side's backline, while Dundee Utd's Dylan Tait aims to control the midfield battles. The predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects a game of fluctuating momentum and attacking intent from both sides.
Key facts
- 1.ST Johnstone are 7th in the league with 8 points from 7 games (W2 D2 L3).
- 2.Dundee Utd are 5th with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 3.Jesse Randall leads Dundee Utd's attack with 2 goals in 7 games.
- 4.Josh Fowler has scored multiple recent goals for ST Johnstone.
- 5.Mehdi Merghem has provided 2 assists in 5 games for Dundee Utd.
- 6.Cheick Diabate anchors ST Johnstone's defence with strong defensive stats.
- 7.Dylan Tait dominates midfield for Dundee Utd with high tackle and interception counts.
Prediction
Despite trailing 1-2 at halftime, ST Johnstone are forecasted to rally and secure a 3-2 win by fulltime. This comeback victory highlights their resilience and attacking potency, edging out Dundee Utd in a closely matched contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Johnstone
No standout top scorers flagged for ST Johnstone
Away — Dundee Utd
The verdict
Expect a thrilling match with goals aplenty and a late surge from ST Johnstone to claim all three points. Fans should brace for a rollercoaster of a game where the lead changes hands and the final whistle brings joy to the home supporters.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fowler
Assist: Alıç
Tait
Yellow Card
Fowler
Bennie
Tait
Metsoko
Cameron
Yellow Card
Cameron
Assist: Randall
Steven
Stanton
McAlear
Yellow Card
Holt
Yellow Card
Zidane Iqbal
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
Match Statistics
ST Johnstone
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. StewardG
- 2E. AlıçD
- 3C. DiabateD
- 7T. StevenM
- 8J. HoltM
- 9J. FowlerF
- 11S. StantonM
- 19D. FinlaysonD
- 30J. CotterillM
- 33L. SmithD
- 42R. McAlearM
Substitutes
- 6B. MikulićD
- 10J. GullanF
- 14M. FouldsD
- 18K. FotheringhamF
- 20R. SinclairG
- 23L. ChalmersM
- 26M. ToddM
- 32J. CampbellM
- 99R. PatonF
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1J. WaltonG
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 10D. TaitM
- 14Zidane IqbalM
- 16L. CameronM
- 18M. ForbesD
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 21J. RandallF
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 77D. BennieF
- 93I. MetsokoF
Substitutes
- 4I. IovuD
- 6R. GrahamD
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 15L. RoseF
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 22D. NaamoD
- 26Abdoulaye YoroM
- 30J. AmissahG
ST Johnstone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fowler | F | 46 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| T. Steward | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Alıç | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| D. Finlayson | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Paton | F | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Diabate | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. McAlear | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| S. Stanton | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cotterill | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gullan | F | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Smith | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Holt | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Steven | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| K. Fotheringham | F | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Sinclair | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chalmers | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Todd | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Campbell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Foulds | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mikulić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee Utd
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cameron | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Randall | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Abdoulaye Yoro | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Zidane Iqbal | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Forbes | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Walton | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Esselink | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Sapsford | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Ciubotaru | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| D. Tait | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| D. Bennie | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Rose | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rawlins | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| I. Metsoko | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Panutche Camará | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Graham | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Farrugia | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Amissah | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Iovu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Naamo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster's AI model predicted ST Johnstone to win against Dundee Utd.
- What score did Fipster predict for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster predicted a final score of ST Johnstone 3–2 Dundee Utd.
- What were the win probabilities for ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster's model gave ST Johnstone a 35% chance of winning, Dundee Utd a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.