ST Johnstone vs Dundee
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Challenge a friendST Johnstone and Dundee face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have shown moments of quality this season, but the home side looks poised to clinch a narrow victory.
The context
This match is part of the regular season's 13th round. Dundee currently sit 4th in the league with 17 points, while ST Johnstone are 8th with 13 points. Historically, ST Johnstone have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, having won 9 of their 20 encounters against Dundee.
Match factors
ST Johnstone's Fowler leads scoring threat
J. Fowler's 6 goals this season and strong home form make him the primary scoring outlet for ST Johnstone
Dundee's defender B. Fink is a scoring asset
Bradley Fink's 4 goals in 9 games is exceptional for a defender, posing a unique threat on set pieces
ST Johnstone's defensive passing strength
C. Diabate's high passing accuracy (up to 90%) and volume surpass league averages for defenders, aiding build-up play
Dundee's A. Hay in strong scoring form
Ashley Hay has scored 3 goals in last 5 games, including 2 in the last home match, boosting Dundee's attack
Creative midfielders key for assists
J. Gullan and E. Alıç lead ST Johnstone's assists, crucial for feeding Fowler and Steven
Analysis
Dundee boast a better goal difference (+8) compared to ST Johnstone's -4, reflecting a more potent attack or tighter defence overall. However, ST Johnstone's J. Fowler leads their scoring charts with 6 goals, showing strong home form that could prove decisive. Dundee's defender B. Fink is an unusual scoring threat with 4 goals this season, adding an extra dimension to their attack. The first half is expected to be evenly matched, likely ending 1-1, before ST Johnstone pull ahead in the second half.
Key insights
J. Fowler
ST Johnstone
Leads team scoring with 6 goals, well above league average for attackers, and has a strong home scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game.
Premiership 26/276 goals in 11 appearances, 0.55 goals/game
B. Fink
Dundee
Exceptional scoring defender with 4 goals in 9 games, providing a unique threat on set pieces.
Premiership 26/274 goals in 9 appearances, 0.44 goals/game
- C
C. Diabate
ST Johnstone
High passing accuracy (up to 90%) and volume for a defender, aiding build-up play effectively.
Premiership 26/27Passing accuracy up to 90%
A. Hay
Dundee
In strong recent scoring form with 3 goals in last 5 games, boosting Dundee's attacking threat.
Premiership 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
J. Gullan
ST Johnstone
Top assister with 2 assists in 9 games, crucial for feeding key attackers like Fowler and Steven.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 9 appearances, 0.22 assists/game
Prediction
The forecast calls for a 2-1 victory to ST Johnstone. The home side's ability to capitalise on key moments, especially through Fowler's goal-scoring prowess and creative support from midfielders like J. Gullan, should see them edge past Dundee. Expect a competitive game with around four cards issued, reflecting the intensity of the contest.
Key facts
- 1.ST Johnstone have won 9 of 20 matches against Dundee, with 5 draws and 6 losses.
- 2.Dundee are 4th in the league with 17 points from 11 games (W5 D2 L4).
- 3.ST Johnstone are 8th with 13 points from 11 games (W3 D4 L4).
- 4.Dundee have a goal difference of +8; ST Johnstone have -4 this season.
- 5.J. Fowler leads ST Johnstone with 6 goals in 11 appearances, strong home scorer.
- 6.B. Fink, a defender for Dundee, has scored 4 goals in 9 games, an unusual threat.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, indicating a balanced first half.
The verdict
In summary, while Dundee have the statistical edge in goal difference and league position, ST Johnstone's home advantage and key players' form make them favourites to secure a narrow 2-1 win. Fans can anticipate a spirited match with goals and tactical battles throughout.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — ST Johnstone
Away — Dundee
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 16:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
- Fipster's AI model predicts ST Johnstone to win against Dundee.
- What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
- Fipster predicts a final score of ST Johnstone 2–1 Dundee.
- What are the win probabilities for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?
- Fipster's model gives ST Johnstone a 50% chance of winning, Dundee a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.