Rangers vs Kilmarnock
Rangers run riot with Naderi brace
A commanding display from Rangers saw them cruise to a 3-1 victory over Kilmarnock.
Rangers stamped their authority early with R. Naderi opening the scoring at 15 minutes and doubling the lead before half-time, complemented by K. Kelsy's strike at 24 minutes. Despite a late consolation goal from N. Cleșcenco for Kilmarnock at the 90th minute, Rangers' dominance was clear throughout. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin of victory was more emphatic than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Rangers and Kilmarnock face off in the eighth round of the regular season, with Rangers looking to maintain their strong position in the league table. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for a closely contested encounter.
Match factors
Shankland's superior scoring form
Lawrence Shankland leads Rangers with 3 goals in last 5 games, well above league attacker average
Rangers' strong recent scoring streak
Rangers have scored in last 5 matches, showing consistent attacking form
Naderi's dual threat as scorer and assister
Ryan Naderi contributes both goals and assists recently, enhancing Rangers' attack
Kilmarnock's limited scoring options
Kilmarnock's top scorer is defender George Stanger with only 1 goal this season
The context
Rangers currently sit third in the league with 13 points from six games, showcasing a positive goal difference and consistent performances. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, find themselves twelfth with just five points from seven matches, struggling to find their rhythm and score goals.
Key insights
Lawrence Shankland
Rangers
Shankland leads Rangers with 3 goals in last 5 games, well above league attacker average, making him a key threat.
Premiership 26/273 goals in 5 games, 0.6 goals/game last 5
Ryan Naderi
Rangers
Naderi’s recent form includes 2 goals and 1 assist, providing both scoring and creative support.
Premiership 26/272 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games
George Stanger
Kilmarnock
Stanger is Kilmarnock’s top scorer with just 1 goal, highlighting their limited attacking options.
Premiership 26/271 goal in 7 games, 0.14 goals/game season
Analysis
Historically, Rangers have dominated this fixture, winning 16 of the 20 meetings without a single draw. Their superior goal difference and recent scoring streak underline their attacking threat, led by Lawrence Shankland, who boasts three goals in his last five games. Kilmarnock's limited scoring options, with defender George Stanger as their top scorer on just one goal, highlight their challenges in breaking down Rangers' defence. Midfielder Ryan Naderi's dual role as a scorer and assister adds an extra edge to Rangers' attack, making them favourites to claim all three points.
Key facts
- 1.Rangers have won 16 of 20 meetings against Kilmarnock with no draws.
- 2.Rangers are 3rd in the league with 13 points from 6 games (W4 D1 L1).
- 3.Kilmarnock are 12th with 5 points from 7 games (W1 D2 L4).
- 4.Rangers have a +3 goal difference; Kilmarnock have -9.
- 5.Lawrence Shankland has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games for Rangers.
- 6.Ryan Naderi has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in recent matches.
- 7.Kilmarnock's top scorer is defender George Stanger with 1 goal this season.
Prediction
The prediction is a narrow 1-0 victory for Rangers, with the goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards anticipated, reflecting a hard-fought but disciplined contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Rangers
Away — Kilmarnock
The verdict
In summary, Rangers' superior form, historical dominance, and attacking prowess make them the favourites to secure a 1-0 win over Kilmarnock. While Kilmarnock will put up a fight, the home side's consistency should see them through in this regular season encounter.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 12:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Naderi
Assist: Penrice
Kelsy
Naderi
Assist: Gassama
Sterling
Schjønning-Larsen
Yellow Card
Nedeljković
Yellow Card
Kelsy
Ring
Kiltie
Kamson-Kamara
Neil
Gassama
Kim
Cleșcenco
Assist: Hugill
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Rangers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 6D. NeilM
- 10Minsu KimM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20R. NaderiM
- 21D. SterlingD
- 23D. GassamaM
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 43N. RaskinM
Substitutes
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 18K. NedeljkovićD
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 25T. RommensD
- 26B. BouananiF
- 28B. MiovskiF
- 31L. KellyG
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 8E. RingM
- 9J. HugillF
- 10T. John-JulesM
- 11G. KiltieM
- 12C. FerrieG
- 14G. StangerD
- 18T. LoweryM
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 36A. TshibolaM
Substitutes
- 2J. BrandonD
- 5M. O'HaraM
- 6R. DeasD
- 7R. McKenzieM
- 19J. MeierD
- 20N. CleșcencoF
- 27I. OwenF
- 29D. DanielsF
- 40C. ArmourG
Rangers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Naderi | M | 89 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/5 |
| I. Pandur | G | 89 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Fernandez | D | 89 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Penrice | D | 89 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| D. Gassama | M | 88 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 7 | — | 3 | 4/4 |
| K. Kelsy | F | 73 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Makhanya | D | 89 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Sterling | D | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| N. Raskin | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Minsu Kim | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4/6 |
| T. Chukwuani | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Nedeljković | D | 43 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Bouanani | F | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Miovski | F | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Dragojević | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Godfrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kelly | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rommens | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kilmarnock
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lowery | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Cleșcenco | F | 14 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. McCarthy | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Tshibola | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. John-Jules | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| G. Stanger | D | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Daniels | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Ring | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Brandon | D | 10 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael-John Kamson-Kamara | D | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Ferrie | G | 89 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | D | 89 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. O'Hara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. McKenzie | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Deas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Armour | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Owen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Meier | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Rangers to win against Kilmarnock.
- What score did Fipster predict for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Rangers 1–0 Kilmarnock.
- What were the win probabilities for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
- Fipster's model gave Rangers a 63% chance of winning, Kilmarnock a 18% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.