Rangers vs Hibernian
Hibernian snatch late win at Rangers
A penalty and a stoppage-time strike seal a 2-1 victory for Hibernian.
Hibernian stunned Rangers with an early penalty from J. Campbell and sealed the win with C. Wright's stoppage-time goal, despite an own goal by M. Chaiwa gifting Rangers a lifeline late on. The 2-1 result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Rangers home win, delivering a surprise outcome in this Premiership clash.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with Rangers facing Hibernian in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing opener.
Match factors
Home team stronger in league
Rangers rank 2nd with 69 points, better goal difference and points per game than Hibernian.
Close probabilities for outcomes
Home win, draw, and away win probabilities are close, but home win edges out slightly.
The context
Rangers have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of L. Shankland, R. McCrorie, and I. Pandur, while parting ways with J. Butland, B. Davies, and Danilo (on loan). Hibernian, meanwhile, have seen the departures of K. Bowie, D. Levitt, and J. Hoilett, but have not made any notable signings. This summer business could prove pivotal as both sides look to hit the ground running.
Key facts
- 1.Rangers finished 2nd last season with 69 points from 33 games.
- 2.Hibernian ended the previous campaign 5th with 51 points from 33 games.
- 3.Rangers have a significantly better goal difference (+21) than Hibernian.
- 4.Rangers average 2.09 points per game compared to Hibernian's 1.55 last season.
- 5.Rangers signed L. Shankland, R. McCrorie, and I. Pandur over the summer.
- 6.Rangers lost J. Butland, B. Davies, and Danilo (on loan) in the off-season.
- 7.Hibernian saw the departures of K. Bowie, D. Levitt, and J. Hoilett but made no notable signings.
Analysis
Looking at the league standings from last season, Rangers finished higher with a better goal difference and points per game than Hibernian. The probabilities for the match outcome are tightly packed, with a home win slightly ahead. The predicted 2-1 scoreline suggests a closely fought game where Rangers' squad depth and summer reinforcements might just tip the balance.
Prediction
The forecast calls for a narrow 2-1 victory for Rangers. While the margin is slim and the contest finely balanced, the home side's slight edge in squad strength and previous league performance gives them the advantage to start the season with a win.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, expect a spirited battle with Rangers just shading it over Hibernian. The new signings and summer changes will be under the spotlight, setting the tone for what could be an exciting campaign ahead.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dragojević
Yellow Card
Campbell
Penalty
Chermiti
Dragojević
Šuto
Yellow Card
Šuto
Klidje
Campbell
Unknown
Raskin
Megwa
Curtis
Chaiwa (OG)
Wright
Assist: Lowe
Mayor
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Rangers
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 7L. ShanklandF
- 9Youssef ChermitiF
- 14C. DevlinM
- 22V. DragojevićD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 25T. RommensD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 52Findlay CurtisM
Substitutes
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 6D. NeilM
- 10M. DiomandéM
- 11T. AasgaardM
- 20R. NaderiF
- 21D. SterlingD
- 23D. GassamaF
- 31L. KellyG
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
Hibernian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorM
- 5W. O'HoraD
- 6J. KerrD
- 8J. MulliganM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 21J. ObitaD
- 22A. ŠutoM
- 27K. MegwaD
- 32J. CampbellM
Substitutes
- 7O. EldingF
- 9N. LoweF
- 11J. NewellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 17J. McGrathM
- 20Rudi Allan MolotnikovM
- 23C. WrightM
- 25F. PasslackD
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Rangers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Fernandez | D | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Devlin | M | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | M | 79 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Lawrence Shankland(C) | F | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Tuur Rommens | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/3 |
| Youssef Chermiti | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Nicolas Raskin | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ivor Pandur | G | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Dragojević | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tochi Chukwuani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Kelly | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dujon Sterling | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Neil | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djeidi Gassama | F | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Diomande | M | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Ryan Don Naderi | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ross McCrorie | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thelo Aasgaard | M | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 93 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Kerr | D | 93 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanayochukwu Megwa | D | 76 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Campbell | M | 57 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jordan Obita | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Warren O'Hora(C) | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Mayor | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Thibault Klidjé | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ante Šuto | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Azeem Abdulai | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Smith | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Wright | M | 36 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nathan Lowe | F | 36 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jamie McGrath | M | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Felix Passlack | D | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


