Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
Hearts secure solid win at Motherwell
Cláudio Braga and C. Miller strike to seal a 2-0 victory.
Heart Of Midlothian claimed a confident 2-0 win over Motherwell in the Premiership, with Cláudio Braga opening the scoring in the first half and C. Miller sealing the result late on. The visitors controlled the game well, securing a clean sheet and a comfortable victory. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
Motherwell face off against Heart Of Midlothian in the 10th round of the Scottish Premiership, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Hearts currently hold a comfortable position near the top, while Motherwell look to claw back some points.
Match factors
Motherwell's attacking midfield strength
Alexander Lowry's recent scoring form and creativity provide a key attacking outlet against Hearts' defense
Hearts' superior recent form and scoring rate
Hearts average 2.4 goals per game with a 62.5% win rate, outpacing Motherwell's 1.1 goals and 25% win rate
Motherwell's away scoring streak
Motherwell have scored in 4 of last 5 away games, showing resilience despite overall poor form
Tawanda Maswanhise's dual threat
Maswanhise leads team in assists and contributes goals, making him a focal point in attack
Defensive reliability from Sparrow and Moormann
Both defenders exceed league averages in tackles and interceptions, crucial to limiting Hearts' attackers
The context
Heart Of Midlothian sit third in the league with 16 points from eight games, boasting a goal difference of +16. Motherwell, on the other hand, are 10th with eight points from nine matches and a goal difference of -5. Historically, Hearts have the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, winning nine of the 20 meetings against Motherwell.
Key insights
Alexander Lowry
Motherwell
Lowry's recent scoring form and creativity provide a key attacking outlet against Hearts' defence.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 8 games, 0.4 avg per game last 5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Heart Of Midlothian
Maswanhise leads the team in assists and contributes goals, making him a focal point in attack.
Premiership 26/272 assists and 1 goal in 8 games
Thomas Sparrow
Motherwell
Sparrow's defensive reliability and assist contributions are crucial to limiting Hearts' attackers.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 8 games, above average tackling and interceptions
Analysis
The data points to a strong performance from Heart Of Midlothian, who have a higher scoring rate and better recent form. Alexander Lowry stands out for Motherwell with two goals in eight games and a key creative role, but Hearts' attacking threat, led by Tawanda Maswanhise with two assists and a goal, is likely to be decisive. Defensively, Motherwell's Thomas Sparrow and Martin Moormann provide some resistance, but Hearts' superior goal difference and league position suggest they will maintain the upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian rank 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (W5 D1 L2).
- 2.Motherwell rank 10th with 8 points from 9 games (W2 D2 L5).
- 3.Heart Of Midlothian have a goal difference of +16; Motherwell have -5.
- 4.In 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts have won 9, Motherwell 6, with 5 draws.
- 5.Alexander Lowry has scored 2 goals in 8 games for Motherwell this season.
- 6.Tawanda Maswanhise leads Hearts with 2 assists and 1 goal this season.
- 7.Motherwell have scored in 4 of their last 5 away games.
Prediction
We expect Heart Of Midlothian to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Despite Motherwell's efforts, Hearts should hold on to win 2-1 by fulltime, continuing their strong league campaign.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Motherwell
Away — Heart Of Midlothian
No standout top scorers flagged for Heart Of Midlothian
The verdict
This match promises a competitive edge, but the balance of form and statistics leans towards Heart Of Midlothian securing the three points. Motherwell will need to tighten their defence and capitalise on chances if they are to upset the odds.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fagan-Walcott
Yellow Card
Cláudio Braga
Assist: Kerjota
Sparrow
Yellow Card
Kerjota
Yellow Card
McCart
Yellow Card
Moormann
Magnússon
Kerjota
Palmer-Houlden
McGhee
Mato
Yellow Card
Said
Yellow Card
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Yellow Card
Sparrow
Miller
Wilson
Cláudio Braga
McPake
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 6J. McGheeM
- 7T. SparrowD
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 19I. SaidM
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 63D. LevittM
- 71J. HodgeM
Substitutes
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 13J. KangaM
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 23E. WilsonD
- 27M. BoothM
- 77W. VogtF
Heart Of Midlothian
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 3S. KingsleyD
- 5J. McCartD
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 15J. McPakeM
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 23J. AltenaM
- 29S. KerjotaM
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 74R. MatoD
Substitutes
- 7C. MillerF
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 11P. KaboreF
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 27A. BenjaminsenF
- 30R. FultonG
- 31Y. DhandaF
- 77A. Ba-SyF
- 78L. MendyM
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Björgólfsson | F | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/4 |
| D. Levitt | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5/9 |
| M. Moormann | D | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | F | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. McGhee | M | 65 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hodge | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Kanga | M | 25 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Paulsen | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 82 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 29 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Connelly | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Wilson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Vogt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Booth | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Braga | F | 88 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kingsley | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fagan-Walcott | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Miller | F | 25 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Mato | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Mendy | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| S. Kerjota | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Magnússon | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. McPake | M | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Y. Dhanda | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wilson | F | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Williams | F | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Fulton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Benjaminsen | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ba-Sy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Motherwell.
- What score did Fipster predict for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Motherwell 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
- What were the win probabilities for Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's model gave Motherwell a 16% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian a 67% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.