Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren
ST Mirren nicks narrow win at Kilmarnock
F. Taylor's early strike secures all three points for the visitors.
ST Mirren edged out Kilmarnock 1-0 thanks to F. Taylor's early goal in the fourth minute. Despite the slim margin, the visitors held firm to claim a valuable away victory. Fipster had tipped an away win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction proved on the money.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with Kilmarnock facing ST Mirren in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive opener.
Key facts
- 1.Kilmarnock have released D. Thompson and B. Anderson over the summer.
- 2.ST Mirren have lost M. Mandron, M. Freckleton, and D. Nlundulu since last season.
- 3.Kilmarnock finished with a better goal difference than ST Mirren last season.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of ST Mirren.
- 5.The most likely fulltime score is 1-3, favouring ST Mirren.
- 6.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
- 7.ST Mirren are predicted to take an early lead and maintain control throughout.
The context
Kilmarnock enter the season having released D. Thompson and B. Anderson, which may impact their squad depth. Meanwhile, ST Mirren have parted ways with M. Mandron, M. Freckleton, and D. Nlundulu, potentially affecting their attacking options. This match will test how well each team has adapted to these changes.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Kilmarnock
Away — ST Mirren
Analysis
Despite Kilmarnock's slightly better goal difference last season, the prediction leans heavily towards an away win for ST Mirren. The most probable scoreline is 3-1 in favour of the visitors, with a halftime score of 0-1 suggesting ST Mirren will take an early lead and maintain control. The expected four cards indicate a competitive and possibly physical match.
Prediction
We anticipate ST Mirren to start their campaign with a strong performance, overcoming Kilmarnock 3-1. The visitors are expected to take the lead by halftime and extend their advantage in the second half, capitalising on their tactical setup and squad cohesion.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with ST Mirren looking to make a statement early on. Kilmarnock will need to regroup quickly after this predicted setback if they are to challenge higher up the table as the season progresses.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Taylor
Assist: Agrafiotis
Kiltie
Yellow Card
Agrafiotis
Yellow Card
Ring
John-Jules
Yfeko
Agrafiotis
Mochrie
O'Hara
Taylor
Kabia
Lowery
Richardson
Yellow Card
Rice
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Kilmarnock
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1M. StryjekG
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 5M. O'HaraM
- 8E. RingM
- 9J. HugillF
- 10T. John-JulesF
- 11G. KiltieM
- 14G. StangerD
- 15J. YfekoD
- 18T. LoweryM
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenM
Substitutes
- 2J. BrandonD
- 7R. McKenzieM
- 19J. MeierD
- 29D. DanielsF
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 49B. RiceM
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnD
- 8R. CarrM
- 13A. GogićD
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 23C. MochrieM
- 25N. AgrafiotisF
- 30F. TaylorM
- 47C. RamsayD
- 48P. NsioM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
Substitutes
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 5R. KingD
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 16L. ThomasM
- 20J. YoungF
- 31R. MullenG
- 37C. McEvoyM
Kilmarnock
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stanger | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yfeko | D | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. McCarthy | D | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Brandon | D | 43 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| M. O'Hara | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kiltie | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | M | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| T. John-Jules | F | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Daniels | F | 43 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Ring | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| M. Stryjek | G | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tshibola | M | 43 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| R. McKenzie | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Hugill | F | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Lowery | M | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Rice | M | 11 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Meier | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Taylor | M | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Ramsay | D | 89 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 89 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chapman | G | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Carr | M | 89 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Thomas | M | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Richardson | D | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ismeal Kabia | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/7 |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| C. Mochrie | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. John | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| J. Young | F | 28 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Agrafiotis | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| C. McEvoy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mullen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Jackson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. King | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's AI model predicted ST Mirren to win against Kilmarnock.
- What score did Fipster predict for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Kilmarnock 1–3 ST Mirren.
- What were the win probabilities for Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's model gave Kilmarnock a 2% chance of winning, ST Mirren a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.