Hibernian vs Motherwell
Match recap
Motherwell beat Hibernian 1–0 in their Premiership fixture. Fadinger scored for Motherwell. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.70 for Hibernian versus 1.07 for Motherwell. Hibernian sit 5th in the Premiership table while Motherwell are 4th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-1 Draw
Actual
0–1
Analysis
As the Championship Group reaches its 38th round, Hibernian host Motherwell in what promises to be a closely fought contest. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with a lot at stake, a balanced game is on the cards.
Hibernian currently sit 5th with 51 points, while Motherwell are just above in 4th with 54 points. Their head-to-head history is evenly matched, with 7 wins each and 7 draws in 20 meetings. Motherwell's slightly better goal difference and recent form add an edge, but Hibernian's home advantage and key players keep the contest finely poised.
Hibernian's top scorer Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise, with 17 goals, remains a constant threat, while Jordan Obita's 5 assists provide creative spark from defence. Motherwell's midfield maestro Elliot Watt, with 8 assists and strong defensive stats, alongside Felix Passlack's set-piece prowess, balance attack and defence well. Defensive stalwarts like Jack Iredale for Hibernian and Watt for Motherwell will be crucial in containing threats, suggesting a tactical stalemate.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0 reflecting a cautious start. The match is expected to be competitive but balanced, with four total cards likely as both sides contest every ball. Confidence in this prediction stands at 35%, acknowledging the tight nature of the fixture.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Maswanhise's Scoring Threat vs Hibernian Defense
Maswanhise's 17 goals and high minutes make him a focal point; Hibernian's defense must contain him to limit Motherwell's scoring.
Obita's Assist Form Boosts Hibernian Attack
Obita's 5 assists and recent away assist form provide Hibernian with creative width and crossing advantage.
Motherwell's Midfield Creativity Led by Watt and Slattery
Watt's 8 assists and high passing accuracy, combined with Slattery's assist contributions, fuel Motherwell's attacking transitions.
Iredale's Defensive Solidity Key to Hibernian's Stability
Iredale's high tackle and interception stats suggest he can disrupt Motherwell's attacking midfielders effectively.
No Significant Injuries Affecting Starting Lineups
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical and form factors dominate over injury concerns.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-matched game where neither side dominates, resulting in a shared point each. Both teams have the quality to score but also the defensive discipline to prevent a runaway result. Fans should prepare for a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance.
- Hibernian are 5th with 51 points from 33 games (W13 D12 L8).
- Motherwell are 4th with 54 points from 33 games (W14 D12 L7).
- In 20 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian have 7 wins, Motherwell 6, with 7 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.6 total goals (28 for Hibernian, 25 for Motherwell).
- Lukas Fadinger scored 1 goal in this fixture for Motherwell.
- Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise is Hibernian's top scorer with 17 goals this season.
- Jordan Obita leads Hibernian with 5 assists, showing strong creative form.
- The modal total cards predicted for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hibernian
Away — Motherwell
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bushiri
Watt
Yellow Card
Fadinger
Assist: Charles-Cook
McGrath
Yellow Card
McGrath
Newell
Charles-Cook
Yellow Card
Mulligan
Yellow Card
Unknown
Goal cancelled
Slattery
Yellow Card
Watt
Red Card
Watt
Yellow Card
Elding
Chaiwa
Yellow Card
Just
Slattery
Charles-Cook
Fadinger
Yellow Card
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Boyle
Yellow Card
Emmanuel
Cadden
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 | 70 |
| 3 |  Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | +24 | 67 |
| 4 |  Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +23 | 54 |
| 5 |  Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +14 | 51 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -3 | 46 |
Match Statistics
Hibernian
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 5W. O'HoraD
- 10M. BoyleF
- 11J. NewellM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 17J. McGrathF
- 19N. CaddenM
- 21J. ObitaD
- 25F. PasslackM
- 33R. BushiriD
- 47O. EldingF
Substitutes
- 4G. HanleyD
- 12C. CaddenD
- 13J. SmithG
- 15J. IredaleD
- 20J. MulliganM
- 22D. BarlaserM
- 32J. CampbellM
- 44D. ScarlettF
- 77A. ŠutoF
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4L. GordonD
- 7T. SparrowD
- 8C. SlatteryM
- 12L. FadingerM
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 20E. WattM
- 21E. JustF
- 31M. ConnellyG
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 57S. WelshD
- 77R. Charles-CookM
Substitutes
- 1A. OxboroughG
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 14Z. RobinsonF
- 19S. NicholsonF
- 22J. KoutroumbisD
- 25O. PriestmanM
- 28L. RossF
- 66C. HendryF
- 90I. SaidF
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Nicky Cadden | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Jordan Obita | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Martin Boyle | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Felix Passlack | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rocky Bushiri | D | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joe Newell(C) | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McGrath | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Chris Cadden | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Smith | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Iredale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Campbell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Barlaser | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 43 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dane Scarlett | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Gordon(C) | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Regan Charles-Cook | M | 73 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Tom Sparrow | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Elijah Just | F | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Callum Slattery | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Matty Connelly | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Elliot Watt | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luca Ross | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Robinson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Nicholson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aston Oxborough | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/5 |