Hibernian vs Motherwell
Motherwell snatch win at Hibernian
A penalty and a late strike secure a 2-1 victory on the road.
Motherwell edged out Hibernian 2-1 in a closely contested Premiership clash. L. Fadinger's penalty just before half-time gave the visitors the lead, but M. Boyle levelled from the spot after the break. The decisive moment came when I. Said struck in the 85th minute to seal the win for Motherwell. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Hibernian victory.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with Hibernian facing Motherwell in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are eager to start their campaigns on a positive note, setting the tone for the months ahead.
This fixture marks the first round of the regular season, with neither side having played a competitive match yet. Historically, their meetings have been well balanced, with Hibernian holding a slight edge in wins. Both teams are positioned mid-table in the league standings before kickoff, reflecting their competitive but not dominant status.
In 20 previous meetings, Hibernian have won 7 times, Motherwell 6, and 7 matches ended in draws, highlighting the even nature of this rivalry. The average goals per game between these sides is 2.6, suggesting a moderate scoring affair. Given these stats and the home advantage, Hibernian are marginal favourites to edge this encounter.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Hibernian with a 2-1 scoreline. The confidence level stands at 45%, reflecting a competitive match but with a slight advantage to the home side. The total number of cards is expected to be around four, indicating a moderately physical game.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Head-to-Head Balance
In 20 meetings, Hibernian won 7, Motherwell 6, and 7 draws, showing balanced competition.
Goal Scoring Average
Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, indicating moderate scoring games.
League Standings
Hibernian ranked 4th, Motherwell 6th in league with no games played yet.
Key Takeaways
Expect a tight contest with Hibernian just about coming out on top. Both teams will be keen to start their seasons positively, but the home side's slight edge in past results and scoring potential should see them through to a narrow victory.
- In 20 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian have won 7, Motherwell 6, with 7 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.6 total goals (28 for Hibernian, 25 for Motherwell).
- Hibernian are ranked 4th in the league with 0 points from 0 games (W0 D0 L0).
- Motherwell are ranked 6th in the league with 0 points from 0 games (W0 D0 L0).
- The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Hibernian.
- The expected total number of cards in the match is 4.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fadinger
Penalty
Mulligan
Yellow Card
Priestman
Yellow Card
Boyle
Penalty
Mayor
Vogt
Girdwood-Reich
Fadinger
Yellow Card
Boyle
Chaiwa
Charles-Cook
Sparrow
Yellow Card
Priestman
Emmanuel
Said
Assist: Williams
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Hibernian
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorM
- 5W. O'HoraD
- 6J. KerrD
- 7O. EldingF
- 8J. MulliganM
- 9N. LoweF
- 10M. BoyleF
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 21J. ObitaD
- 25F. PasslackM
Substitutes
- 4G. HanleyD
- 13J. SmithG
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 20Rudi Allan MolotnikovM
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 27K. MegwaD
- 30J. MacIntyreM
- 32J. CampbellM
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Motherwell
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 7T. SparrowD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 12O. PriestmanM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 19I. SaidF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 45M. EmmanuelM
- 77W. VogtM
Substitutes
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseF
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 23E. WilsonD
- 24L. RossM
- 25Olly WhyteM
- 27M. BoothM
- 29Z. McAllisterM
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Passlack | M | 92 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Martin Boyle(C) | F | 73 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Elding | F | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jason Kerr | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Mayor | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Obita | D | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nathan Lowe | F | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Warren O'Hora | D | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jacob MacIntyre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Smith | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Campbell | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thibault Klidjé | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanayochukwu Megwa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Azeem Abdulai | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Moormann | D | 92 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 92 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6/7 |
| Alex Paulsen | G | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Emmanuel Longelo | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Lukas Fadinger | M | 92 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Jake Girdwood-Reich | D | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Vogt | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Dylan Williams | D | 92 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tom Sparrow(C) | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luca Ross | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matty Connelly | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander McAllister | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikey Booth | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olly Whyte | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewan Wilson | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


