Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian
Hearts cruise to a commanding win at Hibernian
J. Wilson and L. Mendy set the tone early as Hearts secure a confident 3-1 victory.
Heart Of Midlothian took control early with J. Wilson's 13th-minute opener and doubled their lead through L. Mendy just before the break. Although A. Mayor pulled one back for Hibernian shortly after the restart, J. McPake sealed the win with a third goal for Hearts in the 66th minute. The result matched Fipster's high-confidence prediction perfectly, confirming Hearts' dominance in this Premiership clash.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with a classic Edinburgh derby between Hibernian and Heart Of Midlothian. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a fiercely contested opener. Fans can expect a lively encounter as the teams look to stamp their authority early in the campaign.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian have a better goal difference than Hibernian from last season.
- 2.Hearts secured more points per game than Hibernian in the previous campaign.
- 3.Hibernian lost key players K. Bowie, C. Cadden, and D. Levitt over the summer.
- 4.Heart Of Midlothian signed C. Miller ahead of the new season.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-2 in favour of Hearts.
- 6.The forecast total number of cards in the match is four.
- 7.This fixture marks the opening match of the new Scottish Premiership season.
The context
Hibernian enter the season having parted ways with key players like K. Bowie, C. Cadden, and D. Levitt, which may impact their attacking options. Meanwhile, Heart Of Midlothian have bolstered their ranks with the signing of C. Miller, offsetting the departures of L. Shankland, A. Kyziridis, and F. Kent. This transfer activity suggests Hearts have strengthened their squad depth and attacking potential ahead of this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hibernian
Away — Heart Of Midlothian
Analysis
Statistically, Heart Of Midlothian hold the upper hand with a superior goal difference and points-per-game average from last season, indicating a more potent and consistent side. The predicted halftime score of 1-2 aligns with Hearts' ability to strike early and maintain pressure, while the fulltime forecast of 1-3 reflects their expected dominance. The match is also anticipated to be competitive, with a likely total of four cards, hinting at a fiery derby atmosphere.
Prediction
Our forecast sees Heart Of Midlothian clinching a 3-1 victory over Hibernian. The away side's attacking prowess and tactical edge should prove decisive, overcoming Hibs despite their home advantage. Expect Hearts to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, leaving Hibernian chasing shadows in this season opener.
The verdict
As the new season dawns, this Edinburgh derby promises excitement and intensity. While Hibernian will be eager to start strong, Heart Of Midlothian's summer reinforcements and last season's statistical superiority make them favourites to take all three points. Fans should prepare for a spirited contest with Hearts likely to emerge on top.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Wilson
Assist: McPake
Obita
Mendy
Assist: Spittal
Iredale
Yellow Card
Wright
Devaney
Mayor
Assist: Mulligan
McPake
Assist: McCart
Spittal
Wilson
Boyle
Cláudio Braga
Lowe
Hanley
Yellow Card
McCart
Miller
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Hibernian
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 4G. HanleyD
- 6J. KerrD
- 8J. MulliganM
- 9N. LoweF
- 10M. BoyleM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 21J. ObitaD
- 23C. WrightM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 25F. PasslackM
Substitutes
- 3A. MayorF
- 11J. NewellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 27K. MegwaD
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Heart Of Midlothian
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 5J. McCartD
- 6O. McEnteeD
- 7C. MillerM
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 15J. McPakeM
- 16B. SpittalM
- 17S. FindlayD
- 21J. WilsonF
- 23J. AltenaD
- 78L. MendyM
Substitutes
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 11P. KaboreF
- 18H. MilneD
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 30R. FultonG
- 74R. MatoF
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mayor | F | 44 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/3 |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3/4 |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Šuto | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. McGrath | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 4/5 |
| N. Lowe | F | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| T. Klidje | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Hanley | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Obita | D | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Wright | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Boyle | M | 73 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Iredale | D | 33 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Newell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Megwa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Smith | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mendy | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| J. Wilson | F | 72 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| J. McPake | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| B. Spittal | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| O. McEntee | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Altena | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Miller | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4/7 |
| S. Findlay | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Williams | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McCart | D | 87 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| T. Magnússon | M | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| H. Milne | D | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Kerjota | F | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Ba-Sy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mato | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Fulton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Hibernian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian.
- What were the win probabilities for Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's model gave Hibernian a 2% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.