Hibernian vs Celtic
Celtic edge Hibernian in tight contest
A quick exchange of goals set the tone before Durán's strike sealed the win.
Hibernian took an early lead through O. Elding's goal in the third minute, only to concede an own goal by J. Kerr for Celtic shortly after. C. Durán's first-half strike proved decisive as Celtic secured a 2-1 victory at Easter Road. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
This Scottish Premiership clash sees Celtic aiming to extend their lead at the top of the table against a struggling Hibernian side. With Celtic's superior form and goal difference, the visitors look poised to control the game.
Match factors
Martin Boyle's attacking threat vs Celtic defense
Boyle's 3 goals and strong home form pose a significant challenge to Celtic's backline
Celtic's superior passing and possession control
Celtic midfielders like McGregor average 75+ passes/game with 92% accuracy, dominating possession
Hibernian's recent scoring inconsistency
Hibernian have scored in 3 of last 5 games but conceded in all, indicating defensive frailty
Celtic's defensive solidity led by L. Scales
Scales' high passing and defensive stats underpin Celtic's strong defensive record
The context
Celtic currently lead the league with 21 points from 8 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +17. In contrast, Hibernian sit 12th with just 7 points from 9 matches and a goal difference of -5. Historically, Celtic have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of the 20 encounters between the sides.
Key insights
Martin Boyle
Hibernian
Boyle's 3 goals and strong home scoring rate make him a significant threat to Celtic's defence.
Premiership 26/273 goals in 7 appearances, 0.43 goals/game
- C
Callum McGregor
Celtic
McGregor's exceptional passing accuracy and volume help Celtic dominate possession and control the game.
Premiership 26/2792% passing accuracy, 75 passes/game
- L
L. Scales
Celtic
Scales' defensive solidity and high passing volume underpin Celtic's strong defensive record.
Premiership 26/2780+ passes/game, key defensive stats
Analysis
Celtic's midfield, led by Callum McGregor, excels in possession and passing accuracy, averaging over 75 passes per game at 92% accuracy. Defensively, L. Scales anchors the backline with solid stats, contributing to Celtic's strong defensive record. Hibernian's Martin Boyle remains a key attacking threat at home with 3 goals this season, but Celtic's defensive solidity is expected to contain him effectively. Hibernian's recent inconsistency in scoring and conceding goals further tips the balance in Celtic's favour.
Key facts
- 1.Celtic lead the league with 21 points from 8 games (W7 D0 L1).
- 2.Hibernian are 12th with 7 points from 9 games (W2 D1 L6).
- 3.Celtic have a goal difference of +17; Hibernian have -5.
- 4.In 20 head-to-head matches, Celtic have won 14, Hibernian 3, with 3 draws.
- 5.Celtic's Callum McGregor averages 75+ passes per game with 92% accuracy.
- 6.Martin Boyle leads Hibernian with 3 goals this season, strong home form.
- 7.L. Scales is key to Celtic's defensive stability with high passing and defensive stats.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-0 away win for Celtic, with a halftime score of 1-0. This reflects Celtic's dominance and ability to break down Hibernian's defence while maintaining a clean sheet. The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hibernian
Away — Celtic
No standout top scorers flagged for Celtic
The verdict
Celtic's superior form, tactical discipline, and key player performances suggest they will comfortably secure all three points. Hibernian will need to tighten their defence and find more consistency if they are to challenge the league leaders in future encounters.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Elding
Assist: Newell
Kerr (OG)
Durán
Høgh
Yellow Card
Klidje
Yellow Card
Donovan
Høgh
Osmand
Klidje
McGrath
Durán
Johnston
Newell
Tierney
Yellow Card
Chaiwa
Ivezić
Yellow Card
Mheuka
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Hibernian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorD
- 5M. IvezićD
- 6J. KerrD
- 7O. EldingF
- 8J. MulliganM
- 11J. NewellM
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 17J. McGrathM
- 18T. KlidjeM
- 25F. PasslackD
Substitutes
- 4G. HanleyD
- 12Alex WilliamsD
- 13J. SmithG
- 15J. IredaleD
- 19N. CaddenM
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 39R. MatondoM
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Celtic
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5L. ScalesD
- 8B. NygrenM
- 9K. HøghF
- 11C. DuránM
- 19C. OsmandM
- 22M. BaurM
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 42C. McGregorM
- 47D. MurrayD
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 63K. TierneyD
Substitutes
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 2A. JohnstonD
- 7JotaF
- 18O. SørensenM
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 23H. HassanF
- 29Shumaira MheukaF
- 49J. ForrestM
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Elding | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Newell | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| F. Passlack | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Šuto | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| R. Matondo | M | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Hanley | D | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ivezić | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McGrath | M | 68 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mayor | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Klidje | M | 68 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Smith | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Cadden | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Iredale | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Williams | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celtic
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durán | M | 73 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| L. Scales | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jota | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Baur | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 26 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Colby Donovan | D | 52 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Johnstone | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Murray | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| C. Osmand | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Johnston | D | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Carter-Vickers | D | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shumaira Mheuka | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sørensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hibernian vs Celtic?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Celtic to win against Hibernian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hibernian vs Celtic?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hibernian 0–3 Celtic.
- What were the win probabilities for Hibernian vs Celtic?
- Fipster's model gave Hibernian a 2% chance of winning, Celtic a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.