Hibernian vs Aberdeen
Hibernian hold Aberdeen to a draw
A penalty rescue keeps Hibernian level against the visitors.
Aberdeen took an early lead through K. Nisbet's 17th-minute strike, but Hibernian fought back after the break with M. Boyle converting a penalty at 62 minutes to secure a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an Aberdeen win, proving the home side's resilience on the day.
Outcome probability
Hibernian and Aberdeen face off in what promises to be a lively encounter in the Scottish league. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
Aberdeen's main striker Nisbet leads attack
Kevin Nisbet is Aberdeen's key goal threat with consistent minutes and scoring record, likely focal point vs Hibernian defense
Hibernian's midfielders contribute significantly to scoring
Callum Wright and Martin Boyle provide goals from midfield and attack, exceeding league averages for their positions
Hibernian's away scoring streak supports predicted goals
Hibernian have scored in their last 3 away games, showing positive scoring momentum on the road
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no key absences affect predicted lineups or player impact
The context
After five games, Hibernian sit 8th with 6 points, while Aberdeen are 10th with 4 points. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Hibernian holding a slight edge in wins. Matches between these two typically see nearly three goals on average, suggesting an open game.
Key insights
Kevin Nisbet
Aberdeen
Nisbet is Aberdeen's key goal threat with consistent minutes and scoring record, likely to be the focal point against Hibernian's defence.
Premiership 26/271 goal in 5 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game away
Martin Boyle
Hibernian
Boyle is a consistent goal threat with 2 goals this season and good recent form, crucial for Hibernian's attack.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 4 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game away
Callum Wright
Hibernian
Wright contributes significantly from midfield with 2 goals in 4 away appearances, adding creativity and scoring threat.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 4 apps, 0.67 avg goals/game away
Nathan Lowe
Aberdeen
Lowe contributes both goals and assists, showing good involvement in attack and recent scoring form away from home.
Premiership 26/271 goal in 5 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game away
Analysis
Aberdeen's main striker Kevin Nisbet has been a key figure, contributing goals and assists, and is expected to lead the attack effectively. Hibernian's Martin Boyle and Callum Wright have also been influential, providing goals from midfield and attack. Aberdeen's recent away form and Nisbet's consistent scoring make them a threat, while Hibernian's scoring streak on the road adds intrigue. Both teams have full squads available, so no injury concerns should affect the lineups.
Key facts
- 1.Hibernian have won 9 of the 20 head-to-head matches against Aberdeen, who have won 7, with 4 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 2.8 goals per game.
- 3.Hibernian are currently 8th in the league with 6 points from 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses).
- 4.Aberdeen sit 10th with 4 points from 5 games (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses).
- 5.Aberdeen's Kevin Nisbet is their main goal threat with 1 goal this season.
- 6.Hibernian's Martin Boyle has scored 2 goals in 4 appearances, showing good form.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
- 8.Hibernian have scored in their last 3 away games, showing positive scoring momentum.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Aberdeen with a 2-1 scoreline. Aberdeen are expected to take a 1-0 lead by halftime and hold on despite Hibernian's efforts to fight back. The statistical edge in away wins and the probable scoreline support this outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Hibernian
Away — Aberdeen
The verdict
Expect a closely contested match with Aberdeen edging out Hibernian thanks to clinical finishing and solid away performance. Fans should brace for a spirited game with goals from key attackers on both sides.
Prediction generated 15 Sep 2026, 20:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nisbet
Assist: Molloy
Nisbet
Yellow Card
Ronan
Milne
Yellow Card
Boyle
Penalty
Mayor
Yellow Card
Elding
Boyle
Olusanya
Wright
Milne
Marshall
Chaiwa
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Hibernian
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 3A. MayorM
- 4G. HanleyD
- 6J. KerrD
- 7O. EldingF
- 8J. MulliganM
- 10M. BoyleF
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 23C. WrightM
- 25F. PasslackM
Substitutes
- 9N. LoweF
- 11J. NewellM
- 12Alex WilliamsD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 19N. CaddenM
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 35F. OwensG
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Aberdeen
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 15K. NisbetF
- 20T. OlusanyaF
- 21G. MolloyD
- 22J. MilneD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 25C. RonanM
- 27M. MüllerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 32A. AremuM
- 40F. MarshallM
Substitutes
- 2N. DevlinD
- 7Tony YoganeF
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 10A. BriedlM
- 11Lewis SmithF
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 26D. HappeD
- 30D. KleinG
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hanley | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Iredale | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Boyle | F | 72 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| R. Sallinger | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lowe | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Elding | F | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Šuto | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Wright | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/6 |
| J. Kerr | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Mulligan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| J. Newell | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mayor | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Chaiwa | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| F. Passlack | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Cadden | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Williams | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Owens | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Devaney | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Klidje | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abdulai | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Aberdeen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nisbet | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| M. Knoester | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Molloy | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| S. Armstrong | M | 31 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Ronan | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Aremu | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Happe | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mouloua | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Briedl | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Milne | D | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Marshall | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Müller | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Olusanya | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Cadden | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Guinness-Walker | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Lewis Smith | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Devlin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Klein | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Aberdeen to win against Hibernian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Hibernian 1–2 Aberdeen.
- What were the win probabilities for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster's model gave Hibernian a 12% chance of winning, Aberdeen a 76% chance, and a 12% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 76% confidence — a high-confidence call.