Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren
Hearts cruise to commanding 5-0 win
L. Mendy and C. Miller lead a dominant Hearts display with five unanswered goals.
Heart Of Midlothian delivered a comprehensive 5-0 thrashing of St Mirren, with L. Mendy opening the scoring early on and C. Miller converting two penalties to extend the lead. Cláudio Braga and J. McPake added further goals after the break to seal a dominant victory. Fipster called the Hearts win with high confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction landed comfortably.
Outcome probability
As the Scottish Premiership season progresses, Heart Of Midlothian and ST Mirren prepare to face off in what promises to be a tight encounter. Both teams have shown competitive form, but the home side holds a slight edge in recent performances and league standing.
Match factors
Heart Of Midlothian's attacking trio in form
Wilson, Braga, and McPake combine strong scoring and assisting form, boosting home attack potential
Josh McPake's dual threat
McPake leads assists (4) and contributes goals (2), exceeding league averages for attackers
Samuel Ramos' creative influence for ST Mirren
Ramos has 2 assists in 3 games with strong recent ratings, key to Mirren's chance creation
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
Home scoring consistency vs away defensive vulnerability
Hearts average 2.7 goals at home vs Mirren conceding 2 goals per home game, favoring home attack
The context
Heart Of Midlothian currently sit 3rd in the league with 12 points from 6 games, boasting a +6 goal difference. ST Mirren are close behind in 5th place with 10 points from 7 games and a slightly negative goal difference. Historically, Hearts have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning half of their 20 encounters against Mirren.
Key insights
James Wilson
Heart Of Midlothian
Leads team scoring with 3 goals in 5 games, showing strong recent form and key striker role.
Premiership 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game last 5
Josh McPake
Heart Of Midlothian
Top assister with 4 assists and also contributes goals, making him a dual threat in attack.
Premiership 26/274 assists and 2 goals in 5 appearances, 0.8 assists/game last 5
Cláudio Braga
Heart Of Midlothian
Consistent starter with a good home scoring rate, adding both goals and assists.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals/game at home last 5
Samuel Ramos
ST Mirren
Creative midfielder with 2 assists in 3 games, key to Mirren’s chance creation.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 3 appearances, 0.67 assists/game home
Analysis
The attacking trio of James Wilson, Cláudio Braga, and Josh McPake have been in fine form for Hearts, combining goals and assists to create a potent offensive threat. Wilson leads with 3 goals in 5 games, while McPake contributes both goals and assists, making him a dual threat. ST Mirren's creative spark comes from midfielder Samuel Ramos, who has provided 2 assists in 3 appearances. However, Mirren's defensive record suggests vulnerability, conceding an average of 2 goals per home game, which Hearts are likely to exploit.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian have won 10 of 20 meetings against ST Mirren, with 6 draws and 4 losses.
- 2.Hearts are 3rd in the league with 12 points from 6 games (W4 D0 L2).
- 3.ST Mirren are 5th with 10 points from 7 games (W3 D1 L3).
- 4.Heart Of Midlothian have a +6 goal difference this season; ST Mirren have -1.
- 5.James Wilson leads Hearts with 3 goals in 5 appearances this season.
- 6.Josh McPake has 4 assists and 2 goals in 5 games, a key creative force.
- 7.Samuel Ramos has 2 assists in 3 games for ST Mirren, providing creative spark.
- 8.No confirmed absences for either team, both squads at full strength.
Prediction
Given the statistical edge in both form and goal difference, the prediction leans towards a narrow 1-0 victory for Heart Of Midlothian. The most probable scenario is a closely fought match with limited scoring opportunities, where the home side's attacking consistency will make the difference.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heart Of Midlothian
Away — ST Mirren
The verdict
In summary, expect a competitive fixture with Heart Of Midlothian just shading the contest thanks to their sharper attack and better defensive stability. A single goal should suffice to secure all three points in this one.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 18:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mendy
Miller
Yellow Card
Gogić
Yellow Card
Miller
Penalty
Taylor
Mochrie
Mochrie
Yellow Card
Carr
Miller
Penalty
Cláudio Braga
Assist: Miller
Ageu
Miller
Yellow Card
Guendouz
Yellow Card
Kabia
Wilson
Cláudio Braga
McPake
Assist: Fagan-Walcott
McPake
Ramsay
Phillips
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 |  ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 5J. McCartD
- 7C. MillerM
- 8AgeuM
- 10Cláudio BragaM
- 15J. McPakeM
- 18H. MilneD
- 21J. WilsonF
- 23J. AltenaD
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 78L. MendyM
Substitutes
- 2C. BorchgrevinkD
- 6O. McEnteeM
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 17S. FindlayD
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 30R. FultonG
- 74R. MatoF
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 3D. JohnD
- 8R. CarrM
- 13A. GogićD
- 19Ismeal KabiaM
- 23C. MochrieM
- 30F. TaylorM
- 47C. RamsayD
- 48P. NsioM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 88K. PhillipsF
Substitutes
- 4L. DonnellyM
- 6Louis JacksonD
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 10SamuM
- 16L. ThomasM
- 20J. YoungF
- 22M. FraserD
- 37C. McEvoyM
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Braga | M | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| J. McPake | M | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Fagan-Walcott | D | 90 | 8.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Altena | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| L. Mendy | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Miller | M | 56 | 7.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| H. Milne | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Ageu | M | 56 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 8 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. McEntee | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kerjota | F | 34 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Williams | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Wilson | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Magnússon | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Fulton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Borchgrevink | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mato | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eseosa Sule | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Thomas | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Phillips | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Ismeal Kabia | M | 67 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Taylor | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Donnelly | M | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. John | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Carr | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Young | F | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| J. Chapman | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mochrie | M | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Fraser | D | 8 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gogić | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nsio | M | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 90 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Ramsay | D | 82 | 5.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Samu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. McEvoy | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Jackson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against ST Mirren.
- What score did Fipster predict for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 ST Mirren.
- What were the win probabilities for Heart Of Midlothian vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 85% chance of winning, ST Mirren a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.