Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers
Rangers snatch draw at Hearts
A late equaliser from O. Makhanya keeps Rangers alive in a thrilling 2-2 Premiership clash.
Rangers took an early lead through K. Kelsy before Hearts fought back after the break with goals from Cláudio Braga and C. Miller. Just when it looked like Hearts might hold on for a win, O. Makhanya struck in the 89th minute to level the scores. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-0 home win for Hearts, turning what seemed a straightforward victory into a shared spoils affair.
Outcome probability
The upcoming fixture between Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers promises an intriguing battle as both sides jostle for league supremacy. With Hearts showing solid home performances and Rangers boasting a superior goal difference, this match could be a tactical chess game with goals on the line.
Match factors
Rangers' attacking midfielders show strong goal and assist form
Ryan Naderi leads Rangers with 4 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games, indicating high scoring and creative potential
Hearts' midfielders contribute significantly to scoring
Players like Josh McPake and Cláudio Braga have scored recently, providing attacking threat from midfield
Rangers' defensive solidity supported by key tacklers
James Penrice and Dan Neil provide strong defensive coverage with above average tackling and interceptions
Hearts maintain strong home scoring streak
Hearts have scored in last 4 home games, averaging 3.3 goals per home match, supporting predicted 2-0 win
The context
Rangers currently sit second in the league with 23 points from 10 games, while Heart Of Midlothian are close behind in third with 16 points from 9 games. Historically, Rangers have dominated the head-to-head with 13 wins out of 20 meetings, but Hearts have been resilient at home, scoring in their last four home matches and averaging over three goals per game on their turf.
Key insights
Ryan Naderi
Rangers
Leads Rangers with 4 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games, showing strong scoring and creative form.
Premiership 26/274 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games
- J
Josh McPake
Heart Of Midlothian
Recent goal and assist contributions highlight his attacking threat from midfield.
Premiership 26/271 goal and multiple assists recently
- J
James Penrice
Heart Of Midlothian
Key defensive presence with 19 tackles and 3 interceptions in 7 games, providing solidity at the back.
Premiership 26/2719 tackles and 3 interceptions in 7 games
Analysis
Despite Rangers' historical dominance and better goal difference, Hearts' recent home form and midfield contributions from players like Josh McPake and Cláudio Braga provide them with a tactical advantage. Rangers' attacking midfielder Ryan Naderi has been in fine form with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last five games, but Hearts' defensive stalwarts James Penrice and Dan Neil offer strong resistance. The prediction leans towards a 2-0 victory for Hearts, with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a total of four cards expected, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Rangers have won 13 of 20 meetings against Heart Of Midlothian, with 4 draws and 3 Hearts wins.
- 2.Rangers are 2nd in the league with 23 points from 10 games (W7 D2 L1).
- 3.Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd with 16 points from 9 games (W5 D1 L3).
- 4.Rangers have a superior goal difference (+10) compared to Hearts (+5).
- 5.Hearts have scored in their last 4 home games, averaging 3.3 goals per home match.
- 6.Ryan Naderi has 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games for Rangers.
- 7.James Penrice leads Hearts with 19 tackles and 3 interceptions in 7 games.
Prediction
We anticipate Heart Of Midlothian to take the lead by halftime, maintaining their advantage to secure a 2-0 win by full time. The match is expected to be competitive, with around four cards shown, but Hearts' home scoring streak and tactical setup should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heart Of Midlothian
No standout playmakers flagged for Heart Of Midlothian
Away — Rangers
The verdict
This fixture is set to be a showcase of Hearts' home strength against Rangers' attacking prowess. While Rangers have the edge historically and in the league table, Hearts' recent form and key player contributions suggest they will come out on top in this encounter.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Raskin
Yellow Card
Kelsy
Assist: Naderi
Mato
Fernandez
Yellow Card
Cláudio Braga
Assist: Fagan-Walcott
Gassama
Miller
Penrice
Yellow Card
Penrice
Yellow Card
Bouanani
Yellow Card
Altena
Yellow Card
Miller
Cláudio Braga
Kim
Neil
Naderi
Kerjota
Yellow Card
Makhanya
Assist: Bouanani
McPake
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 5J. McCartD
- 7C. MillerM
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 15J. McPakeM
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 23J. AltenaD
- 29S. KerjotaM
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 74R. MatoD
- 78L. MendyM
Substitutes
- 3S. KingsleyD
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 11P. KaboreF
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 21J. WilsonF
- 30R. FultonG
- 31Y. DhandaF
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Rangers
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1I. PandurG
- 6D. NeilM
- 10Minsu KimM
- 19K. KelsyF
- 20R. NaderiM
- 21D. SterlingD
- 23D. GassamaM
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 43N. RaskinM
Substitutes
- 4B. GodfreyD
- 18K. NedeljkovićD
- 22V. DragojevićM
- 25T. RommensD
- 26B. BouananiF
- 28B. MiovskiF
- 31L. KellyG
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 52Findlay CurtisF
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Braga | F | 78 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 2/5 |
| C. Miller | M | 78 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| J. Altena | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Williams | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Wilson | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fagan-Walcott | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Mato | D | 33 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Kerjota | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| T. Magnússon | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| L. Mendy | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. McPake | M | 91 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Kingsley | D | 57 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Fulton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ba-Sy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Dhanda | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rangers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Makhanya | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Kelsy | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| B. Bouanani | F | 36 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — |
| R. Naderi | M | 85 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| T. Rommens | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Pandur | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Findlay Curtis | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Miovski | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sterling | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Penrice | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Raskin | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Chukwuani | M | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Minsu Kim | M | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| D. Gassama | M | 54 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Fernandez | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Dragojević | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Godfrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kelly | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Nedeljković | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Rangers.
- What score did Fipster predict for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Heart Of Midlothian 2–0 Rangers.
- What were the win probabilities for Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers?
- Fipster's model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 95% chance of winning, Rangers a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.