Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee
Hearts snatch late win over Dundee
A penalty and a stoppage-time strike secure a dramatic comeback for Hearts.
Dundee took an early lead through B. Fink's 17th-minute goal, but Hearts fought back with Cláudio Braga converting a penalty in the 84th minute. S. Kerjota then sealed the victory deep into stoppage time at 90+6'. The 2-1 result matched Fipster's prediction of a Hearts win, albeit with a more dramatic scoreline than anticipated.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Heart Of Midlothian facing Dundee in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a tactical battle as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian have signed C. Miller ahead of the new season.
- 2.L. Shankland, A. Kyziridis, and F. Kent have departed from Heart Of Midlothian.
- 3.Dundee have lost L. Graham to a transfer during the summer.
- 4.Heart Of Midlothian had a significantly better goal difference than Dundee last season.
- 5.Heart Of Midlothian averaged 2.12 points per game last season compared to Dundee's 1.11.
- 6.The predicted scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for Heart Of Midlothian.
- 7.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Heart Of Midlothian have strengthened their ranks with the signing of C. Miller, while bidding farewell to L. Shankland, A. Kyziridis, and F. Kent. Dundee, meanwhile, have lost L. Graham to a transfer. These changes will influence how both sides approach this opening fixture, with Hearts appearing to have the edge on paper.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heart Of Midlothian
Away — Dundee
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win, supported by a strong probability that Heart Of Midlothian will take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 victory, with the halftime score also expected to reflect this advantage. The home side's superior goal difference and points-per-game from last season suggest they have the quality to see out a tight game against Dundee.
Prediction
Expect Heart Of Midlothian to break the deadlock in the first half and hold on to their lead, securing a 1-0 win. The match is likely to be competitive, with a total of around four cards expected, reflecting a keenly fought contest.
The verdict
In summary, the season opener should see Heart Of Midlothian capitalise on their summer reinforcements and home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Dundee. Fans can anticipate a disciplined performance and a tight scoreline that sets the tone for the campaign ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Westley
Fink
Assist: Samuels
McPake
Yellow Card
Finnigan
Yellow Card
Finnigan
McEntee
Miller
Altena
Hamilton
Yellow Card
Forrest
Fink
Wilson
Samuels
Yellow Card
Robertson
Penalty confirmed
Cláudio Braga
Penalty
Samuels
Bešir
Red Card
Kerjota
Assist: McPake
Kerjota
Yellow Card
Card upgrade confirmed
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 5J. McCartD
- 6O. McEnteeD
- 7C. MillerM
- 10Cláudio BragaM
- 15J. McPakeM
- 17S. FindlayD
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 23J. AltenaD
- 78L. MendyM
Substitutes
- 2C. BorchgrevinkD
- 9J. WilliamsF
- 11P. KaboreF
- 18H. MilneD
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 30R. FultonG
- 74R. MatoF
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 10F. RobertsonM
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 14A. ForrestM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 21B. FinkF
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 9B. WalesF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 16J. MoorhouseM
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 18C. ReillyF
- 26J. WrightD
- 27J. BevanM
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Kerjota | F | 30 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| J. McPake | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3/7 |
| S. Findlay | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. McEntee | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Milne | D | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | M | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 12 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Williams | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Altena | D | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| L. Mendy | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| C. Borchgrevink | D | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Miller | M | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Magnússon | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Wilson | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Fulton | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ba-Sy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mato | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fink | F | 65 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| O. Goodman | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Astley | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Moorhouse | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| I. Samuels | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| O. Bevan | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wright | D | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Robertson | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Reilly | F | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| D. Wright | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bevan | M | 25 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Finnigan | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Wales | F | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Forrest | M | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ž. Bešir | M | 15 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Odutayo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. O'Hara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Dundee.
- What score did Fipster predict for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee.
- What were the win probabilities for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee?
- Fipster's model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 53% chance of winning, Dundee a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.