Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd
Hearts cruise to comfortable win over Dundee Utd
A commanding display sees Hearts rack up four without reply.
Heart Of Midlothian set the tone early with T. Renaud's strike in the fourth minute, followed swiftly by C. Miller's penalty. After the break, Cláudio Braga and J. McPake added to the tally, sealing a dominant 4-0 victory. While Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, the emphatic margin exceeded the modest expectations.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with Heart Of Midlothian facing Dundee Utd in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they seek to make a strong start.
Key facts
- 1.Heart Of Midlothian have signed C. Miller ahead of the new season.
- 2.Heart Of Midlothian have released L. Shankland and F. Kent, and loaned out C. Nieuwenhof.
- 3.Dundee Utd have added J. Randall, D. Tait, and L. Rose to their squad.
- 4.Dundee Utd have lost C. Sibbald to free agency.
- 5.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Heart Of Midlothian.
- 6.The most probable overall scoreline is 1-1, but 2-1 is the top home win scoreline.
- 7.Heart Of Midlothian had a better goal difference and points-per-game last season compared to Dundee Utd.
The context
Heart Of Midlothian have bolstered their ranks with the arrival of C. Miller, while parting ways with L. Shankland, F. Kent, and C. Nieuwenhof (on loan). Dundee Utd have added J. Randall, D. Tait, and L. Rose to their squad, but have lost C. Sibbald. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides look to establish themselves early in the campaign.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Heart Of Midlothian
Away — Dundee Utd
Analysis
Despite the close probabilities between outcomes, Heart Of Midlothian hold a slight edge, reflected in their superior goal difference and points-per-game from last season. The most likely scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw, but within the home win scenarios, a 2-1 victory for Hearts is the standout prediction. This suggests a tightly fought match with the home side just shading it in attack.
Prediction
We anticipate Heart Of Midlothian to secure a 2-1 win over Dundee Utd. The match is expected to be competitive, but the home side's attacking reinforcements and overall squad strength should see them through to a narrow victory.
The verdict
As the season opener, this fixture sets the tone for both teams. Heart Of Midlothian will be keen to capitalize on their summer business and home advantage, while Dundee Utd will look to their new signings to challenge strongly. Expect a close game with Hearts just edging it in the end.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Renaud
Assist: Cláudio Braga
Bennie
Yellow Card
Miller
Penalty
Ba-Sy
Yellow Card
Rose
Yellow Card
Agyei
Cláudio Braga
Assist: Kerjota
Bennie
Rose
Ba-Sy
Renaud
McPake
Assist: Cláudio Braga
McPake
Randall
Altena
Ševelj
Cláudio Braga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. ReusG
- 5J. McCartD
- 6O. McEnteeD
- 7C. MillerD
- 10Cláudio BragaM
- 12T. RenaudM
- 15J. McPakeM
- 16B. SpittalM
- 23J. AltenaD
- 29S. KerjotaM
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Substitutes
- 2C. BorchgrevinkD
- 11P. KaboreF
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 24Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
- 30R. FultonG
- 74R. MatoF
- 78L. MendyM
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1J. WaltonG
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 5V. ŠeveljM
- 10D. TaitM
- 11W. FerryD
- 12E. AgyeiM
- 15L. RoseF
- 18M. ForbesD
- 21J. RandallF
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 77D. BennieF
Substitutes
- 4I. IovuD
- 6R. GrahamD
- 7M. MerghemF
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 14J. EskesenM
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 30J. AmissahG
- 93I. MetsokoF
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McPake | M | 72 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tom Renaud | M | 64 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jamie McCart | D | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blair Spittal(C) | M | 91 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Calvin Miller | D | 91 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Cláudio Braga | M | 84 | 7.3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/5 |
| Oisin McEntee | D | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/6 |
| Jordi Altena | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | F | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Beau Reus | G | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Severin Sabri Guendouz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Wilson | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Laurent Mendy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fulton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael John Kamara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Borchgrevink | D | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Magnusson | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Rogers Mato | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee Utd
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Randall | F | 73 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/7 |
| Dylan Tait(C) | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jack James Walton | G | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bert Esselink | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vicko Ševelj | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Rawlins | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Forbes | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| William Ferry | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Emmanuel Agyei | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Lachlan Rose | F | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Daniel Bennie | F | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jordan Amissah | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Graham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iurie Iovu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julius Eskesen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mehdi Merghem | F | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Idjessi Metsoko | F | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zachary Sapsford | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Panutche Camará | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Heart Of Midlothian to win against Dundee Utd.
- What score did Fipster predict for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee Utd.
- What were the win probabilities for Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd?
- Fipster's model gave Heart Of Midlothian a 35% chance of winning, Dundee Utd a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.