Falkirk vs ST Mirren
ST Mirren double sinks Falkirk
K. Phillips' brace secures a solid away win in Falkirk.
ST Mirren claimed a 2-0 victory over Falkirk in the Premiership, with K. Phillips netting both goals, including an early strike at 11' and a late clincher at 87'. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring a Falkirk win, the visitors comfortably defied expectations to take all three points.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, Falkirk and ST Mirren face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams will be eager to start with a win, but Falkirk's recent form and historical edge suggest they have the upper hand.
This match marks the first round of the regular season in league 179. Falkirk currently sit 2nd in the league standings, while ST Mirren are positioned 7th. With no prior games played this season, both teams are looking to set the tone early.
Looking at their head-to-head record, Falkirk have won 8 of the 15 meetings against ST Mirren, who have managed 3 wins with 4 draws. The average goals per match between these sides is 2.8, indicating a moderately high-scoring affair. Falkirk's higher league ranking and historical advantage give them a slight edge, although the match is expected to be closely fought.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a Falkirk home win with a 2-1 scoreline. While the draw is a close contender statistically, Falkirk's form and head-to-head success tip the scales in their favour. Expect a competitive game with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity of a season opener.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, Falkirk look set to start their campaign with a hard-fought victory over ST Mirren. Fans can anticipate a lively match with goals and some robust challenges, setting the stage for an exciting season ahead.
- Falkirk have won 8 of 15 matches against ST Mirren.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.8.
- Falkirk are ranked 2nd in the league standings.
- ST Mirren are ranked 7th in the league standings.
- Prediction confidence for Falkirk win is 35%.
- Expected total cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Falkirk
Away — ST Mirren
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Phillips
Assist: Fieldson
Unknown
Sule
Carr
Yellow Card
MacIver
Goal Disallowed - handball
McMillan
Carr
Ramos
Laidlaw
Tanser
Fieldson
Yellow Card
Mochrie
Phillips
Assist: Idowu
Phillips
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4J. McMillanM
- 5L. HendersonD
- 9R. MacIverF
- 10C. SibbaldM
- 12E. LaidlawM
- 14F. YeatsM
- 17S. TanserD
- 19S. BainG
- 21D. MeļņiksD
- 22R. StrainD
Substitutes
- 1N. HogarthG
- 3L. McCannD
- 6C. DonaldsonD
- 7Ben ParkinsonF
- 11P. McGovernF
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 20C. AllanD
- 23E. RossF
- 47A. DohertyF
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 2J. RichardsonD
- 8R. CarrM
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 10S. RamosM
- 13A. GogićD
- 22M. FraserD
- 23C. MochrieM
- 48P. NsioM
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 88K. PhillipsM
Substitutes
- 4L. DonnellyM
- 5R. KingD
- 7R. IdowuM
- 20J. YoungF
- 27P. UrminskýG
- 30F. TaylorM
- 32L. DouglasF
- 37C. McEvoyM
Falkirk
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Strain | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Scott Bain | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Henderson(C) | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Craig Sibbald | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jack McMillan | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ross Maclver | F | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Finn Yeats | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Scott Tanser | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Deniss Melniks | D | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Laidlaw | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Connor Allan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Neilson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicky Hogarth | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Coll Donaldson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aodhan Doherty | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ethan Ross | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Leon McCann | D | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Paul McGovern | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
ST Mirren
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Phillips | M | 94 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Marcus Fraser(C) | D | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henry Fieldson | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/4 |
| Jacob Chapman | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Richardson | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alexander Gogić | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Chris Mochrie | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Paul Nsio | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Eseosa Sule | F | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Samuel Ramos | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ryan Carr | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Richard King | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Urminsky | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Douglas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carrick McEvoy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fraser Taylor | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Donnelly | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jake Young | F | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Roland Idowu | M | 11 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Falkirk to win against ST Mirren.
- What score did Fipster predict for Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Falkirk 2–1 ST Mirren.
- What were the win probabilities for Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
- Fipster's model gave Falkirk a 35% chance of winning, ST Mirren a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.