Falkirk vs Dundee
Dundee snatch win with Hay's stoppage strike
A late goal from A. Hay seals a 2-1 victory at Falkirk.
Falkirk took an early lead through J. Murrell's penalty before Dundee fought back after the break with O. Bevan leveling the scores. The visitors clinched the win thanks to A. Hay's goal in stoppage time, securing a narrow 2-1 victory. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win with this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Falkirk and Dundee face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking intent this season, setting the stage for an engaging match.
Match factors
Dundee's attacking edge through Westley
Joseph Westley leads Dundee's scoring with 2 goals and strong recent form, providing a key threat against Falkirk's defense
Ryan Strain's assist threat for Falkirk
Ryan Strain tops Falkirk's assists with 2, offering set-piece and crossing quality that can unlock Dundee's defense
Falkirk's consistent scoring streak
Falkirk has scored in their last 5 matches, showing attacking resilience despite defensive struggles
Full squad availability boosts both teams
No confirmed injuries for either side, allowing both teams to field their strongest lineups
The context
In their head-to-head history, Dundee hold a slight advantage with seven wins to Falkirk's six across 17 meetings. The average goals per match stand at 2.8, hinting at a moderately high-scoring affair. Currently, Dundee sit 6th in the league with 7 points, while Falkirk are 10th with 5 points, reflecting a slight edge in form for Dundee.
Key insights
Joseph Westley
Dundee
Leads Dundee's scoring with 2 goals and strong recent form, providing a key threat against Falkirk's defence.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 6 appearances, 75.7 avg mins/game
Ryan Strain
Falkirk
Top assister for Falkirk with 2 assists, offering set-piece and crossing quality to unlock Dundee's defence.
Premiership 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 90 avg mins/game
Jacob Murrell
Falkirk
Main Falkirk attacker with 1 goal and good shot frequency, capable of exploiting defensive gaps.
Premiership 26/271 goal in 4 appearances, 60.75 avg mins/game
Analysis
Dundee's attacking threat is spearheaded by Joseph Westley, who has netted twice in six games and is in strong form. Falkirk will rely on Ryan Strain's creativity from defence, leading their assists tally with two. Both teams have their full squads available, which should ensure a competitive match. Falkirk's recent scoring streak of five consecutive games with goals shows their resilience, but Dundee's slightly better league position and scoring efficiency give them the upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee lead Falkirk 7 wins to 6 in 17 head-to-head matches.
- 2.Average goals per match in their meetings is 2.8, suggesting open play.
- 3.Dundee rank 6th with 7 points from 6 games; Falkirk are 10th with 5 points.
- 4.Joseph Westley is Dundee's top scorer with 2 goals in 6 appearances.
- 5.Ryan Strain leads Falkirk with 2 assists in 6 games.
- 6.Falkirk have scored in their last 5 matches, showing attacking consistency.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
Prediction
The prediction sees Dundee taking an early lead by halftime, with a 1-0 scoreline. Falkirk are expected to respond, but Dundee's attacking edge should prevail, resulting in a 2-1 victory for the visitors. The match is also anticipated to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Falkirk
Away — Dundee
The verdict
This fixture promises a tight battle with moments of quality from both sides. While Falkirk will push hard, Dundee's sharper attacking edge and current form make them the favourites to claim all three points.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Murrell
Penalty
Bevan
Assist: Wright
Murrell
Krauhaus
Finley Frank Barbrook
Hay
Assist: Hamilton
Strain
Ross
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. McCannD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 8B. SpencerM
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 19S. BainG
- 22R. StrainD
- 23E. RossM
- 24J. MurrellF
- 28B. KrauhausM
- 42Owen EamesM
Substitutes
- 1N. HogarthG
- 4J. McMillanD
- 7Ben ParkinsonF
- 9R. MacIverF
- 10C. SibbaldM
- 14F. YeatsM
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 99C. FodreyM
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 11A. HayF
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 14A. ForrestM
- 21B. FinkF
- 27J. BevanM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 6M. AkinmboniD
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 26J. WrightD
- 60R. BlandM
- 77Alfie HarrisonM
Falkirk
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bain | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Murrell | F | 70 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| L. McCann | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| B. Spencer | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Neilson | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Finley Frank Barbrook | M | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| B. Krauhaus | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Owen Eames | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Ben Parkinson | F | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Yeats | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ross | M | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Strain | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Sibbald | M | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Henderson | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. MacIver | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McMillan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hogarth | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Meļņiks | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Fodrey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hay | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 7 | 4 | 2 | — |
| O. Bevan | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Astley | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Wright | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| O. Goodman | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Forrest | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | — |
| J. Bevan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4/6 |
| C. Jones | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| B. Fink | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
| I. Samuels | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| K. O'Hara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bland | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wright | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Harrison | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Akinmboni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Odutayo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Falkirk vs Dundee?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against Falkirk.
- What score did Fipster predict for Falkirk vs Dundee?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Falkirk 1–2 Dundee.
- What were the win probabilities for Falkirk vs Dundee?
- Fipster's model gave Falkirk a 19% chance of winning, Dundee a 61% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 61% confidence — a medium-confidence call.