Dundee vs ST Johnstone
Dundee and St Johnstone share late spoils
A late flurry of goals sees both sides snatch a point in a tight Premiership clash.
Dundee looked set to claim all three points when C. Reilly struck in the 87th minute, only for J. Fowler to snatch a last-gasp equaliser for St Johnstone at the 90th minute. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-0 home win, delivering a dramatic finish that neither side will forget.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with Dundee facing off against ST Johnstone. With fresh ambitions and a reshaped squad, both teams are eager to make a strong start. Dundee, having finished second last season, look to assert their quality early on, while ST Johnstone step up to the top flight aiming to make their mark.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee finished 2nd in the Premiership last season with 42 points from 38 games.
- 2.ST Johnstone are newly promoted and have yet to play a league game this season.
- 3.Dundee have a points-per-game average of 1.11 compared to ST Johnstone's 0.00 this season.
- 4.L. Graham has departed Dundee ahead of the new campaign.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Dundee.
- 6.The predicted fulltime score is 2-0 to Dundee.
- 7.The match is expected to see around four cards shown.
The context
Dundee remain in the Premiership after a commendable previous season, finishing second with 42 points from 38 games. ST Johnstone, newly promoted, enter this match without any league games played this season, making this their first real test at this level. Dundee have also seen the departure of L. Graham, which slightly alters their squad dynamics heading into the opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee
Away — ST Johnstone
Analysis
The statistical outlook heavily favours Dundee, who boast a points-per-game advantage over ST Johnstone. The home side's experience at this level and their finishing position last season suggest they will control much of the match. ST Johnstone will need to adapt quickly to the Premiership pace and quality, but Dundee's defensive solidity and attacking threat are expected to keep them at bay.
Prediction
We anticipate Dundee to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0. They should maintain control throughout, adding a second goal to secure a 2-0 victory by fulltime. The match is also expected to be competitive in terms of discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams. Dundee look poised to build on last season's success with a confident start, while ST Johnstone face a tough initiation to the Premiership. Expect a disciplined, tactical game with Dundee edging out a 2-0 win to kick off their campaign.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mitchell
Yellow Card
Forrest
Wales
Paton
Steven
Halliday
Bevan
Stanton
Yellow Card
Gullan
Reilly
Holt
Fowler
Assist: Tait
Match Statistics
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 2B. HallidayD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 9B. WalesF
- 14A. ForrestM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 27J. BevanM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 7D. WrightM
- 10F. RobertsonM
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 18C. ReillyF
- 21B. FinkF
- 28C. JonesM
ST Johnstone
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1T. StewardG
- 3C. DiabateD
- 5Z. MitchellD
- 7T. StevenM
- 8J. HoltM
- 10J. GullanF
- 11S. StantonM
- 26M. ToddD
- 42R. McAlearM
- 99R. PatonF
Substitutes
- 4M. BoyesD
- 6B. MikulićD
- 9J. FowlerF
- 14M. FouldsD
- 18K. FotheringhamF
- 20R. SinclairG
- 23L. ChalmersM
- 25M. TaitM
- 33L. SmithD
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Reilly | F | 13 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Finnigan | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| B. Fink | F | 26 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| O. Bevan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 73 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Astley | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Goodman | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Forrest | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Odutayo | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Wright | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Wales | F | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Robertson | M | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hamilton | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Westley | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Bevan | M | 77 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Ž. Bešir | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Samuels | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jones | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. O'Hara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ST Johnstone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fowler | F | 17 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Diabate | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Holt | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Todd | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gullan | F | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| T. Steven | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Mitchell | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chalmers | M | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tait | M | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Fotheringham | F | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Paton | F | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. McAlear | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| S. Stanton | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Steward | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Boyes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Foulds | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Smith | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sinclair | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mikulić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against ST Johnstone.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dundee 2–0 ST Johnstone.
- What were the win probabilities for Dundee vs ST Johnstone?
- Fipster's model gave Dundee a 95% chance of winning, ST Johnstone a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.