Dundee vs Motherwell
Dundee edge Motherwell in tight contest
Westley's penalty and Fink's strike secure a narrow win for Dundee.
Dundee took control with a penalty from J. Westley and a goal by B. Fink in the first half, before Motherwell's A. Lowry pulled one back just before the break. The 2-1 scoreline held as Dundee held firm to claim the win. Fipster's high-confidence prediction proved spot on with the exact scoreline.
Outcome probability
Dundee and Motherwell face off in what promises to be a closely contested Scottish Premiership clash. Both sides have shown competitive form this season, with Motherwell holding a slight edge in the league standings. Expect a lively encounter with goals from both teams.
Match factors
Dundee's attacking midfield strength
Joseph Bevan's dual threat in goals and assists offers Dundee a creative edge in midfield.
Westley's strong home scoring form
Joseph Westley scores 0.67 goals per home game, above league attacker average, boosting Dundee's scoring chances.
Maswanhise's recent creative surge
Tawanda Maswanhise has 3 assists in last 5 games, indicating strong form as a key playmaker for Motherwell.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so both teams can field their best attacking players, maintaining predicted strength.
The context
Motherwell currently sit 5th with 8 points from 5 games, while Dundee are just behind in 6th with 7 points from 6 matches. Historically, Motherwell have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 11 of 20 matches compared to Dundee's 5. The average goals per meeting hover around 2.9, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities.
Key insights
Joseph Westley
Dundee
Strong home scoring form with 0.67 goals per game, making him Dundee's key attacking threat.
Premiership 26/272 goals in 6 games, 0.67 goals/game at home
Joseph Bevan
Dundee
Creative midfielder contributing both goals and assists, boosting Dundee's attacking options at home.
Premiership 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.33 goals and assists/game at home
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Motherwell
Recent form shows 3 assists in last 5 games, vital for Motherwell's attacking creativity and goal chances.
Premiership 26/273 assists in last 5 games, 0.6 assists/game
Analysis
Dundee's attacking threat is spearheaded by Joseph Westley, who boasts a strong home scoring rate of 0.67 goals per game, making him a key player to watch. Midfielder Joseph Bevan adds creativity and goal threat from midfield, contributing both goals and assists at home. Motherwell's Tawanda Maswanhise has been in fine form recently, providing three assists in his last five games and chipping in with goals, making him a danger man for the visitors. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring a competitive match with attacking intent.
Key facts
- 1.Motherwell lead head-to-head with 11 wins to Dundee's 5 in 20 matches.
- 2.Motherwell are 5th in the league with 8 points from 5 games; Dundee are 6th with 7 points from 6 games.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, aligning with the predicted 3-goal total.
- 4.Joseph Westley scores 0.67 goals per home game, making him Dundee's top scoring threat.
- 5.Joseph Bevan contributes both goals and assists, enhancing Dundee's midfield creativity.
- 6.Tawanda Maswanhise has 3 assists in his last 5 games, key for Motherwell's attack.
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries or suspensions.
Prediction
We anticipate a first half ending 1-1, reflecting a balanced contest. However, Dundee's home advantage and attacking midfield creativity should see them edge ahead in the second half to secure a 2-1 victory. The match is expected to feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but fair encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee
Away — Motherwell
The verdict
This fixture promises an entertaining battle with both sides eager to claim valuable points. Dundee's home form and key players like Westley and Bevan could prove decisive, while Motherwell's recent creative surge ensures they won't go down without a fight. Expect a tight game with a narrow home win.
Prediction generated 15 Sep 2026, 20:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Westley
Penalty
Fink
Assist: Astley
Lowry
Assist: Sparrow
Moorhouse
Emmanuel
Williams
Yellow Card
Jones
Fink
Palmer-Houlden
Said
Lowry
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Westley
Goodman
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 14A. ForrestM
- 16J. MoorhouseM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 21B. FinkF
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 6M. AkinmboniD
- 9B. WalesF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 27J. BevanM
- 52C. OosenbrughD
- 60R. BlandM
Motherwell
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 7T. SparrowD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 11A. LowryM
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
- 19I. SaidM
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 47S. Palmer-HouldenF
- 71J. HodgeM
Substitutes
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 13J. KangaM
- 15E. BjörgólfssonF
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 20Dylan WilliamsD
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 63D. LevittM
- 77W. VogtF
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fink | F | 72 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| J. Westley | F | 86 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| R. Astley | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Bevan | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Goodman | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Jones | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Moorhouse | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Wales | F | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Halliday | D | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Odutayo | D | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bevan | M | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Samuels | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| A. Forrest | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Hamilton | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. Wright | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Oosenbrugh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Akinmboni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. O'Hara | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bland | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lowry | M | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| L. Fadinger | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| T. Sparrow | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| A. Paulsen | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hodge | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| E. Björgólfsson | F | 4 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | F | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| W. Vogt | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Kanga | M | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Dylan Williams | D | 25 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Connelly | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Levitt | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dundee vs Motherwell?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against Motherwell.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dundee vs Motherwell?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dundee 2–1 Motherwell.
- What were the win probabilities for Dundee vs Motherwell?
- Fipster's model gave Dundee a 88% chance of winning, Motherwell a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.