Dundee vs Hibernian
Hibernian edge Dundee in Premiership clash
M. Boyle and C. Wright secure a 2-1 win despite J. Westley's late reply.
Hibernian took control with goals from M. Boyle in the first half and C. Wright after the break, setting the tone for a narrow victory. Dundee's J. Westley pulled one back late on, but it wasn't enough to salvage a point. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Dundee win, proving the visitors had the final say.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with Dundee facing Hibernian in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are looking to make a strong start after their summer business and preparations, aiming to establish early momentum.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee have lost L. Graham to transfer over the summer.
- 2.Hibernian have seen three players depart: K. Bowie, C. Cadden, and D. Levitt.
- 3.This is the first competitive match of the 2026-27 season for both teams.
- 4.The predicted outcome favours a Dundee home win with a 1-0 scoreline.
- 5.Halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction.
- 6.Four cards are anticipated during the match, indicating a competitive game.
- 7.Hibernian had a better goal difference than Dundee last season, but Dundee are predicted to win this match.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive match of the 2026-27 campaign for both sides. Dundee have parted ways with L. Graham over the summer, while Hibernian have seen the departures of K. Bowie, C. Cadden, and D. Levitt. These changes could influence squad dynamics as the teams settle into the new season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee
Away — Hibernian
Analysis
Dundee hold a slight edge in the predicted outcome, with a 54% aggregated probability favouring a home win. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 victory, consistent with a halftime lead of the same margin. Despite Hibernian's superior goal difference last season, Dundee's solidity and home advantage could prove decisive. The match is also expected to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards anticipated.
Prediction
We expect Dundee to clinch a 1-0 win, taking an early lead at halftime and maintaining it through to the final whistle. This result would give them a positive start to the season and put pressure on Hibernian to respond in their upcoming fixtures.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this tight encounter could set the tone for both teams. Dundee will be keen to capitalise on their home advantage and recent squad stability, while Hibernian will look to bounce back from their summer departures. Expect a tactical battle with Dundee just shading it in the end.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Boyle
Assist: Hanley
Passlack
Yellow Card
Wright
Assist: Passlack
Reilly
Fink
Wright
Yellow Card
Bevan
Finnigan
Lowe
Boyle
Wright
Devaney
Westley
Match Statistics
Dundee
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 18C. ReillyM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 21B. FinkM
- 27J. BevanM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 9B. WalesF
- 10F. RobertsonM
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 14A. ForrestF
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 28C. JonesM
- 58E. CrombieM
Hibernian
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. SallingerG
- 4G. HanleyD
- 6J. KerrD
- 8J. MulliganM
- 9N. LoweF
- 10M. BoyleF
- 17J. McGrathF
- 21J. ObitaD
- 23C. WrightM
- 24J. DevaneyM
- 25F. PasslackM
Substitutes
- 11J. NewellM
- 13J. SmithG
- 14M. ChaiwaM
- 15J. IredaleD
- 18T. KlidjeF
- 20Rudi Allan MolotnikovM
- 22A. ŠutoF
- 27K. MegwaD
- 47A. AbdulaiM
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astley | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ethan Hamilton(C) | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Owen Bevan | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Finnigan | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Reilly | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Idris Odutayo | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Drey Wright | D | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Joe Westley | F | 87 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Goodman | G | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Bevan | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4/7 |
| Bradley Fink | M | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Brad Halliday | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Crombie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Jones | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran O'Hara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finlay Robertson | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Forrest | F | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Žan Bešir | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bobby Wales | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Hibernian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Boyle(C) | M | 78 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jason Kerr | D | 87 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Grant Hanley | D | 87 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Callum Wright | M | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jacob Devaney | M | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Josh Mulligan | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3/3 |
| Raphael Sallinger | G | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Passlack | D | 87 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Jordan Obita | D | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jamie McGrath | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Nathan Lowe | F | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Azeem Abdulai | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Smith | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudi Allan Molotnikov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanayochukwu Megwa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Changa Chaiwa | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Newell | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Iredale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thibault Klidjé | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ante Šuto | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dundee vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against Hibernian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dundee vs Hibernian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dundee 1–0 Hibernian.
- What were the win probabilities for Dundee vs Hibernian?
- Fipster's model gave Dundee a 53% chance of winning, Hibernian a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.