Dundee vs Aberdeen
Dundee secure solid win over Aberdeen
Westley and Bevan strike to give Dundee a confident Premiership victory
Dundee claimed a 2-0 victory against Aberdeen in the Premiership, with J. Westley opening the scoring early on at 9 minutes and J. Bevan doubling the lead after the break at 56 minutes. The home side controlled the match to secure a comfortable win. Fipster's prediction of a Dundee win was on the money, though the exact scoreline differed slightly.
Outcome probability
The new Scottish Premiership season kicks off with a tantalising fixture between Dundee and Aberdeen. Both sides are eager to make a strong start after reshaping their squads over the summer. Dundee, having released L. Graham and J. McCracken, will look to their existing core to deliver a winning performance. Aberdeen, meanwhile, have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of free agents B. Lyons and L. Mayo, but have also seen key departures including A. Jensen and S. Heltne Nilsen by transfer, and G. Shinnie released. This clash promises to be a competitive opener with plenty at stake.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee have released L. Graham and J. McCracken over the summer.
- 2.Aberdeen have signed free agents B. Lyons and L. Mayo.
- 3.Aberdeen lost A. Jensen and S. Heltne Nilsen to transfers and released G. Shinnie.
- 4.This is the second round of the regular season.
- 5.Dundee are predicted to win 2-1 against Aberdeen.
- 6.The most probable total number of cards in the match is four.
- 7.Dundee and Aberdeen finished closely in the league last season.
The context
This fixture marks the second round of the regular season, with both teams aiming to build momentum early on. Dundee and Aberdeen finished close in the standings last season, making this encounter a crucial early test. The summer transfer activity has slightly shifted the balance, with Aberdeen's new signings adding fresh options, while Dundee have trimmed their squad. The match will be a good indicator of how these changes might influence their campaigns.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee
Away — Aberdeen
Analysis
Statistically, Dundee hold a slight edge with the highest probability of a home win at around 39%, compared to draws and away wins. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Dundee, reflecting a closely contested match. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive and possibly feisty encounter. Both teams will be looking to assert themselves early, but Dundee's home advantage and squad stability could prove decisive. Aberdeen's new signings will need to quickly gel to challenge effectively.
Prediction
The forecast calls for a 2-1 victory for Dundee, a result that aligns with the probabilities favouring a home win. While the margin is narrow, Dundee are expected to edge out Aberdeen in a match that promises goals and intensity. The medium confidence in this prediction reflects a balanced contest, but with Dundee just shading it thanks to their home setup and squad continuity.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for both sides. Dundee will be keen to capitalise on their home advantage and start with a win, while Aberdeen will look to their new recruits to make an impact. Expect a tight, entertaining match with Dundee ultimately prevailing 2-1, providing a thrilling start to the campaign.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Westley
Assist: Bevan
Briedl
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Mayo
Yellow Card
Westley
Yellow Card
Aremu
Yogane
Bevan
Mayo
Murray
Reilly
Briedl
Bevan
Westley
Finnigan
Olusanya
Milne
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Dundee
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 15S. MurrayF
- 18C. ReillyM
- 19J. WestleyM
- 27J. BevanM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 10F. RobertsonM
- 11A. HayF
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 14A. ForrestF
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 52C. OosenbrughD
- 58E. CrombieM
- 60R. BlandF
Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7Tony YoganeM
- 10A. BriedlM
- 15K. NisbetF
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 20T. OlusanyaM
- 23L. MayoD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 26D. HappeD
- 27M. MüllerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 32A. AremuM
Substitutes
- 1D. MitovG
- 2N. DevlinD
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 11L. SmithF
- 21G. MolloyD
- 22J. MilneD
- 53A. FasanyaF
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Bevan | M | 77 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2/7 |
| Owen Goodman | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Drey Wright | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Bevan | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Hamilton | M | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Charlie Reilly | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Idris Odutayo | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Finnigan | M | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Westley | M | 81 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Simon Murray(C) | F | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Astley | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Charley Oosenbrugh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran O'Hara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Crombie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Bland | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Bešir | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Finlay Robertson | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alan Forrest | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Halliday | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ashley Hay | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
Aberdeen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Happe | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Nesta Guinness-Walker | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Marius Müller | G | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Armstrong | M | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Lewis Mayo | D | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Nisbet(C) | F | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Chris Cadden | D | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Toyosi Olusanya | M | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alexander Briedl | M | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dimitar Mitov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicky Devlin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Molloy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Fasanya | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ayoub Mouloua | F | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jack Milne | D | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Smith | F | 49 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dundee vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee to win against Aberdeen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dundee vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dundee 2–1 Aberdeen.
- What were the win probabilities for Dundee vs Aberdeen?
- Fipster's model gave Dundee a 51% chance of winning, Aberdeen a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.