Dundee vs Aberdeen
Match recap
Dundee beat Aberdeen 3–2 in their Premiership fixture. Wright, Westley, and Astley scored for Dundee; Morrison and Olusanya replied for Aberdeen. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.78 for Dundee versus 1.29 for Aberdeen. Dundee sit 9th in the Premiership table while Aberdeen are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-1 Draw
Actual
3–2
Analysis
As the relegation group reaches its climax, Dundee hosts Aberdeen in a match where every point counts. Both teams have shown grit this season, making this encounter a potential nail-biter.
Dundee, playing at home, have leaned on their attacking midfield creativity, particularly from C. Congreve, to unlock defences. Aberdeen, meanwhile, rely on their experienced forwards and midfielders to maintain pressure. Historically, Aberdeen have the upper hand in head-to-heads, but Dundee's home form cannot be underestimated.
Simon Murray's impressive home scoring form makes him a key threat for Dundee, supported by Congreve's playmaking. Aberdeen's Kevin Nisbet leads their attack but has been less prolific recently. Defensively, both sides boast stalwarts like Ryan Astley and Jack Milne, promising a balanced contest. The predicted 1-1 draw reflects the evenly matched nature of this fixture.
Prediction
Our forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a moderate confidence of 35%. Both teams are expected to score, but neither side looks likely to dominate fully. The match should feature around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Dundee's attacking midfield creativity vs Aberdeen's defense
Congreve and Yogane's creativity could exploit Aberdeen's defensive vulnerabilities, aiding Dundee's scoring chances.
Simon Murray's superior home scoring form
Murray's goal rate at home surpasses league average, increasing Dundee's scoring probability in this fixture.
Aberdeen's key attackers showing mixed recent form
Nisbet leads scoring but recent goal drought may limit impact; Armstrong remains creative but less prolific.
Dundee's defensive stalwarts to counter Aberdeen's forwards
Astley and Wright's defensive solidity and aerial threat could disrupt Aberdeen's attacking rhythm.
No significant injuries reported for either team
Full squads expected, maintaining tactical consistency and player availability for both sides.
Key Takeaways
In conclusion, expect a hard-fought draw with moments of quality from key players on both sides. Fans should prepare for a tactical battle where neither Dundee nor Aberdeen gives an inch, making for an entertaining relegation group showdown.
- Dundee have won 4 of 20 head-to-head matches against Aberdeen, who have won 12, with 4 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals per game between Dundee and Aberdeen.
- Simon Murray has scored 7 goals this season, with 4 in the last 10 games, showing strong home form.
- C. Congreve leads Dundee with 6 assists, acting as the creative hub in midfield.
- Aberdeen's Kevin Nisbet is their top scorer with 9 goals but has experienced a recent goal drought.
- Ryan Astley contributes defensively and offensively with 3 goals and a 65% duel win rate.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting a competitive but fair game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee
Away — Aberdeen
No standout top scorers flagged for Aberdeen
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Wright
Assist: Reilly
Knoester
Morrison
Assist: Cameron
Olusanya
Westley
Reilly
Keskinen
Cameron
Geiger
Kjartansson
Congreve
Hamilton
Westley
Samuels
Astley
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 | 70 |
| 7 |  Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 |  Dundee | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 |  ST Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -21 | 30 |
Match Statistics
Dundee
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5Billy Dawson KoumetioD
- 7D. WrightD
- 10F. Roberts
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 18C. ReillyM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 20C. CongreveM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 3C. RobertsonD
- 11A. Hay
- 15S. MurrayF
- 16B. HallidayD
- 17Tony YoganeM
- 22L. GrahamD
- 24J. CotterillM
- 27J. BevanF
- 30H. SharpG
Aberdeen
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 5M. KnoesterD
- 8D. GeigerM
- 13N. SumanG
- 15K. NisbetF
- 20T. OlusanyaF
- 21G. MolloyD
- 22J. MilneD
- 23L. MorrisonD
- 25L. CameronM
- 29K. KjartanssonM
- 81T. KeskinenM
Substitutes
- 2N. DevlinD
- 3M. FrameD
- 4G. ShinnieM
- 11N. MilanovicF
- 14K. BilalovicM
- 32A. AremuM
- 38D. LobbanM
- 46J. MercerD
- 99P. Kristian BråtveitG
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astley | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Koumetio | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Drey Wright | D | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Joe Westley | F | 77 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/4 |
| Cameron Congreve | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/3 |
| Callum Jones | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Finlay Robertson | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Ethan Hamilton(C) | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Imari Samuels | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Charlie Reilly | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kieran O'Hara | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ashley Hay | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Halliday | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clark Robertson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Sharp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Graham | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Cotterill | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Simon Murray | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Bevan | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
Aberdeen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyall Cameron | M | 69 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Liam Morrison | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Toyosi Olusanya | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kjartan Mar Kjartansson | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dennis Geiger | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mats Knoester | D | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Molloy | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Nisbet(C) | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Topi Keskinen | M | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jack Milne | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nick Suman | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Per Kristian Bråtveit | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Lobban | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitchel Frame | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie Mercer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Milanović | F | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Graeme Shinnie | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kenan Bilalovic | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicky Devlin | D | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |