Dundee Utd vs Dundee
Dundee double stuns Dundee Utd
D. Wright and O. Bevan strike to seal a surprise away win.
Dundee secured a 2-0 victory over Dundee Utd with goals from D. Wright just before half-time and O. Bevan after the break. The visitors' solid performance defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win, turning the derby on its head with a confident display.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with a local derby that promises plenty of drama as Dundee Utd and Dundee face off. Both sides have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Dundee Utd have signed three free agents: J. Randall, D. Tait, and L. Rose.
- 2.Dundee have lost L. Graham to a transfer and J. McCracken as a free agent.
- 3.The predicted halftime score is 0-0, suggesting a cautious first half.
- 4.Dundee Utd have a better goal difference than Dundee from last season.
- 5.The most likely fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Dundee Utd.
- 6.This fixture is the season opener for both teams.
- 7.Dundee Utd and Dundee finished last season closely matched in the league standings.
The context
Dundee Utd have bolstered their ranks with the signings of J. Randall, D. Tait, and L. Rose on free transfers, while releasing C. Sibbald. Dundee, on the other hand, have seen the departures of L. Graham via transfer and J. McCracken as a free agent. These changes could influence the dynamics as both teams look to start the campaign strongly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Dundee Utd
Away — Dundee
Analysis
The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a goalless first half likely as both sides feel each other out. Dundee Utd hold a slight edge, reflected in their stronger goal difference from last season and the quality added through summer signings. Dundee will not make it easy, though, and the game could hinge on moments of individual brilliance or tactical adjustments after the break.
Prediction
We anticipate a 0-0 scoreline at halftime, with Dundee Utd breaking the deadlock in the second half to claim a 2-1 victory. The home side's ability to find the net twice after the interval should be enough to secure all three points in this closely matched derby.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for what should be an exciting campaign. Dundee Utd's summer business and slight statistical edge make them favourites, but Dundee will be eager to spoil the party. Expect a competitive match with a narrow home win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Wright
Finnigan
Yellow Card
Reilly
Randall
Bennie
Yellow Card
Goal
Assist: Forrest
Abdoulaye Yoro
Yellow Card
Metsoko
Merghem
Bevan
Abdoulaye Yoro
Yellow Card
Forrest
Ševelj
Yellow Card
Tait
Yellow Card
Hamilton
Yellow Card
Westley
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Dundee Utd
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1J. WaltonG
- 3B. EsselinkD
- 5V. ŠeveljD
- 7M. MerghemF
- 8Panutche CamaráM
- 10D. TaitM
- 11W. FerryD
- 18M. ForbesD
- 21J. RandallF
- 26Abdoulaye YoroM
- 93I. MetsokoF
Substitutes
- 4I. IovuD
- 6R. GrahamD
- 9Z. SapsfordM
- 15L. RoseF
- 19K. CiubotaruD
- 20N. FarrugiaF
- 23J. RawlinsD
- 30J. AmissahG
- 77D. BennieF
Dundee
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 7D. WrightD
- 8R. FinniganM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 18C. ReillyM
- 19J. WestleyF
- 27J. BevanM
- 48E. HamiltonM
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 9B. WalesF
- 10F. RobertsonM
- 13K. O'HaraG
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 28C. JonesM
- 52C. OosenbrughD
- 58E. CrombieM
Dundee Utd
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicko Ševelj | D | 65 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Michael Forbes | D | 65 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mehdi Merghem | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Dylan Tait(C) | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Idjessi Metsoko | F | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bert Esselink | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| William Ferry | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Panutche Camará | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Jesse Randall | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdoulaye Yoro | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jack James Walton | G | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kevin Ciubotaru | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iurie Iovu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Amissah | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zachary Sapsford | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lachlan Rose | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Rawlins | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neil Farrugia | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Graham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bennie | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
Dundee
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drey Wright | D | 65 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Bevan | D | 65 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Astley | D | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Finnigan | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Owen Goodman | G | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Forrest | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Ethan Hamilton(C) | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Idris Odutayo | D | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joe Bevan | M | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Joe Westley | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Charlie Reilly | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Charley Oosenbrugh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran O'Hara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Crombie | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Bešir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Jones | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Halliday | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bobby Wales | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finlay Robertson | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Dundee Utd to win against Dundee.
- What score did Fipster predict for Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Dundee Utd 2–1 Dundee.
- What were the win probabilities for Dundee Utd vs Dundee?
- Fipster's model gave Dundee Utd a 51% chance of winning, Dundee a 24% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.