Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen snatch dramatic win with late double
Kenny Nisbet's brace, including a stoppage-time penalty, seals a thrilling 2-1 comeback against Hearts.
Heart Of Midlothian took the lead through O. McEntee's first-half strike, but Aberdeen turned the game on its head with two late goals from K. Nisbet, including a penalty deep into stoppage time. The Dons' resilience paid off in a nail-biting finish that defied the low-confidence prediction of a narrow 1-0 home win, though the overall outcome was correctly called.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with Aberdeen facing Heart Of Midlothian in what promises to be a tight encounter. Both teams will be eager to start on a positive note, but the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory.
This fixture marks the first round of the regular season, with both teams yet to register any points. Heart Of Midlothian currently sit higher in the league standings, but Aberdeen will be keen to leverage their home advantage to claim all three points.
Historically, these two sides have been well matched, with Aberdeen and Heart Of Midlothian sharing six wins each and six draws in 19 meetings. The average goals per game stand at 2.4, suggesting a moderate scoring affair. Despite Hearts' higher league position, the prediction favours Aberdeen to edge this one, likely by a single goal margin.
Prediction
The forecast is for Aberdeen to win 1-0, with a total of four cards expected in the match. The confidence level for this outcome is just under 40%, reflecting a competitive game where the home side manages to clinch a narrow victory.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
Expect a closely fought match with Aberdeen just about doing enough to claim the win. Fans should brace for a tactical battle and a game that could hinge on a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse.
- Aberdeen and Heart Of Midlothian have each won 6 of their 19 head-to-head matches, with 6 draws.
- The average goals scored in their meetings is 2.4 per game.
- Heart Of Midlothian are currently ranked 3rd in the league, Aberdeen 12th.
- This is the first match of the regular season for both teams.
- Prediction confidence for an Aberdeen win is approximately 40%.
- A total of 4 cards is expected in the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Aberdeen
Away — Heart Of Midlothian
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lyons
Yellow Card
McEntee
Altena
Yellow Card
Ba-Sy
Aremu
Cadden
Ronan
Yogane
Kerjota
Unknown
Spittal
Guinness-Walker
Milne
Yellow Card
Findlay
Red Card
Nisbet
Penalty
Nisbet
Yellow Card
Nisbet
Assist: Mayo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7Tony YoganeM
- 8B. LyonsM
- 15K. NisbetF
- 20T. OlusanyaM
- 23L. MayoD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 25C. RonanM
- 26D. HappeD
- 27M. MüllerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 32A. AremuM
Substitutes
- 1D. MitovG
- 9A. MoulouaF
- 10A. BriedlM
- 11L. SmithF
- 16D. LobbanD
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 21G. MolloyD
- 22J. MilneD
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-2-2Starting XI
- 6O. McEnteeD
- 7C. MillerM
- 10Cláudio BragaF
- 16B. SpittalM
- 17S. FindlayD
- 18H. MilneD
- 23J. AltenaD
- 29S. KerjotaM
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Substitutes
- 5J. McCartD
- 11P. KaboreF
- 15J. McPakeF
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 28Z. ClarkG
- 74R. MatoF
- 89A. KyziridisF
Aberdeen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Nisbet(C) | F | 97 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Happe | D | 97 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Nesta Guinness-Walker | D | 83 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Aremu Afeez | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lewis Mayo | D | 97 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Toyosi Olusanya | M | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Chris Cadden | D | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Bradley Lyons | M | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Connor Ronan | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tony Yogane | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Marius Müller | G | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dylan Lobban | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitar Mitov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Milne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Armstrong | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Smith | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ayoub Mouloua | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Briedl | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Molloy | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin McEntee | D | 97 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Calvin Miller | M | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | F | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Harry Milne(C) | D | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Jordi Altena | D | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Stuart Findlay | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James Wilson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogers Mato | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh McPake | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander Clark | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Severin Sabri Guendouz | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Tomas Magnusson | M | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McCart | D | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Aberdeen to win against Heart Of Midlothian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Aberdeen 1–0 Heart Of Midlothian.
- What were the win probabilities for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's model gave Aberdeen a 40% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian a 30% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.