The model's report card
Daily Day in Review recaps and round-by-round Game Week in Review write-ups — how Fipster's match predictions stacked up across every watched league, what the model got right, and what surprised it.
- Reviews
- 55
- Updated
- Tue 1 Sept
- Cadence
- Per round
Game Week in Review
One review per league, per round — the pick that came off, the one that missed, and the players who actually decided it.
- Serie ATue 1 Sept
Donyell Malen made the round look louder than the model expected
Fipster found one clean call in a round that otherwise leaned too hard on narrow home wins and got punished for it. The best read was Torino’s 2-1 over AC Milan; the worst was underestimating how quickly AS Roma could turn a tidy 1-0 into a four-goal afternoon.
Regular Season - 1Model record 1 STAR · 5 TICK · 4 MISSRead review - Ligue 1Tue 1 Sept
Lille and Marseille landed the cleanest calls, but the round belonged to the scorers Fipster never saw coming
Five correct calls kept Ligue 1 from turning into a full-scale embarrassment for the model, yet the misses were loud enough to matter. Lille and Marseille did what was expected; Lens, Paris Saint-Germain and Paris FC did not, and the round’s biggest damage came from goals by players Fipster had left out of the picture.
Regular Season - 1Model record 0 STAR · 5 TICK · 4 MISSRead review - Serie ATue 1 Sept
Donyell Malen and the late goals that made a neat round look less neat
Fipster landed four exact calls in Serie A’s second round, but the bigger story was how often the decisive names were the ones it had not singled out. Donyell Malen, Antonio Raimondo and several late arrivals did the damage, while two narrow misses came down to over-trusting home sides that never found their footing.
Regular Season - 2Model record 4 STAR · 4 TICK · 2 MISSRead review - EredivisieTue 1 Sept
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax did the heavy lifting, but the round still found a way to bite
Fipster got the broad direction right in Eredivisie Round 4, with away wins for Ajax, PSV Eindhoven, NEC Nijmegen and Twente all landing. The trouble came where the model trusted familiar home edges too much: Groningen, Feyenoord and Willem II all slipped up, and the biggest individual damage came from players nobody had flagged before kick-off.
Regular Season - 4Model record +1 STAR · 5 TICK · 3 MISSRead review - ChampionshipTue 1 Sept
Championship Round 3: the model found four tidy wins, but the scorers had other ideas
Fipster landed four scorelines in Championship Round 3, including Southampton, Middlesbrough, Norwich and Bristol City, yet the round was really defined by the names it did not see coming. The biggest lesson was simple enough: the broad direction was often right, but the goals came from players outside the pre-match frame.
Regular Season - 3Model record 0 STAR · 4 TICK · 8 MISSRead review - ChampionshipTue 1 Sept
Championship Round 2: the model found two clean calls, then spent the rest of the afternoon chasing the wrong scorers
Millwall and Lincoln were the only tidy hits, but the round’s real story was how often the goals came from names Fipster had not flagged. Taïryk Arconte, Isaac Price and Fer López did most of the damage, while several narrow away-win calls turned into flat afternoons or worse.
Regular Season - 2Model record 0 STAR · 2 TICK · 10 MISSRead review - UEFA Europa LeagueTue 1 Sept
Lech Poznan supplied the round’s loudest correction, and the model still found enough to like
UEFA Europa League play-off week gave Fipster ten clean hits and eight misses, but the real story was not the tally. Lech Poznan’s 7-0 first leg was the clearest call that landed; Kairat Almaty’s 3-0 win over Anderlecht was the one that slipped away fastest. The round also produced a proper list of names worth keeping in view, with Bamidele Yusuf, Jesús Imaz and Jens Wålemark all leaving fingerprints on it.
Play-offsModel record 0 STAR · 10 TICK · 8 MISSRead review - Premier LeagueTue 1 Sept
Bruno Fernandes and the late swing that made Round 2 hard to tidy up
Fipster found one exact scoreline, four more decent calls, and then spent the rest of the round watching the goals arrive from places it had not marked. The best hit was clean. The worst miss was not subtle.
Regular Season - 2Model record 1 STAR · 4 TICK · 5 MISSRead review - Major League SoccerTue 1 Sept
St. Louis City saved the round; Vancouver and San Jose made the model look far too tidy
One exact call landed, a few sensible home wins came through, and then Vancouver and San Jose spent the afternoon tearing up the neatest bits of the sheet. The round’s lesson was simple enough: trust form when it is real, but do not get sentimental about it.
Regular Season - 21Model record 1 STAR · 5 TICK · 9 MISSRead review - Major League SoccerTue 1 Sept
Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi stole the round while Fipster kept looking elsewhere
Three correct calls from fifteen is not a flattering line, but the round was not short on clues. Fipster found Evander, Prince-Osei Owusu and Dániel Sallói; it missed the bigger twist in New England, where Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi turned a routine away win into the loudest individual performance of the week.
Regular Season - 20Model record 0 STAR · 3 TICK · 12 MISSRead review - La LigaTue 1 Sept
Mohamed Zabiri stole the round, and Fipster only found one player call worth crowing about
La Liga’s third round gave the model one clean star, five correct scorelines or outcomes, and four misses that mostly came from trusting familiar patterns too much. The loudest correction came from Racing Santander, where Mohamed Zabiri’s hat-trick turned a narrow home win into the round’s sharpest reminder that one hot striker can ruin a tidy forecast.
Regular Season - 3Model record 1 STAR · 5 TICK · 4 MISSRead review - UEFA Europa Conference LeagueTue 1 Sept
Toluwalase Arokodare and the late goals that made a mess of the map
Fipster found 15 correct reads in the UEFA Europa Conference League playoff round, but the bigger story was how often the goals arrived from places the model had not properly fenced off. Ajax’s Toluwalase Arokodare, FC Midtjylland’s Stanley Iheanacho and a handful of late twists did most of the damage, while a few cleaner calls still landed for the right reasons.
Playoff roundModel record 0 STAR · 15 TICK · 33 MISSRead review