Serie A · 2026-07-16

Botafogo's narrow win spoils Fipster's exact score hopes, but Vitoria keeps the model ticking

Two Serie A fixtures tested the Fipster prediction model today, delivering a mixed bag of results. While Vitoria's 1-0 victory over Vasco DA Gama earned a TICK with a correct outcome call, Botafogo's 2-1 win against Santos slipped past the model’s exact score prediction, resulting in a MISS. The model showed strength in BTTS and over/under calls but struggled with halftime accuracy across the board.

Day gradeB+Report card
0Star
1Tick
1Miss
Markets called right3/9

Today's Serie A action served up a bit of everything for the Fipster prediction model. Botafogo edged out Santos 2-1, but not quite as predicted — the model had forecast a 2-2 draw, so it missed on both outcome and exact score. Still, it nailed the BTTS and over/under calls, so we'll take that one with a pinch of salt.

Meanwhile, Vitoria's 1-0 win over Vasco DA Gama was enough to earn the model a TICK. It correctly called the outcome despite underestimating confidence and missing on BTTS and over/under predictions. Halftime accuracy proved elusive in both matches — perhaps halftime is where our crystal ball fogs up.

Overall, no STAR performances today but one solid TICK to keep spirits up alongside a MISS to remind us that football loves to keep things interesting. The model’s record stands at 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISS for this round of Serie A action.

Day grade: B+

Model record 0 STAR · 1 TICK · 1 MISSDay gradeB+

Fixtures

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More from this round: Serie A · Regular Season - 19