Zrinjski vs Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik snatch a draw at Zrinjski
Haraldsson's brace keeps Valur alive in a thrilling 2-2 draw.
Zrinjski looked set for a narrow home win after Bilbija's early penalty and Šakota's second-half strike, but Valur Reykjavik's T. Haraldsson turned the game on its head with two goals around half-time. Despite Bilbija missing a late penalty, the match ended 2-2, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-0 home win.
- First leg:
- Valur Reykjavik 1 0 Zrinjski
- Aggregate:
- Valur Reykjavik 3 2 Zrinjski
- Advances:
- Valur Reykjavik
Analysis
The 2nd qualifying round fixture between Zrinjski and Valur Reykjavik promises a tight encounter, with both sides eager to progress further in the competition. Expect a cautious start as the teams feel each other out before a decisive moment.
In this competition so far, Zrinjski have played one match, suffering a narrow defeat, while Valur Reykjavik have a winning record from their opening game. Their only previous head-to-head meeting saw Valur Reykjavik come out on top, adding an intriguing edge to this rematch.
The probabilities slightly favour a home win for Zrinjski at 36%, just edging out draws and away wins. The most likely full-time scoreline is 1-1, but 1-0 is a close second, supporting the prediction of a narrow home victory. A goalless first half aligns with the expectation of a tight, tactical battle early on. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with Zrinjski tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.
Prediction
We predict Zrinjski to edge this match 1-0, with a clean sheet and a single goal making the difference. Expect a disciplined defensive display and a late breakthrough to secure the win.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Outcome Probabilities
Home win probability is 0.46, draw 0.32, away win 0.24.
Modal Scorelines
Most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 with 18% probability.
Halftime Consistency
Halftime 0-0 is consistent with fulltime 1-1 scoreline.
Key Takeaways
This fixture looks set to be a tight affair with little separating the sides. Zrinjski’s slight edge and home advantage should be enough to see them through, but Valur Reykjavik will be no pushovers. Fans can expect a tense match decided by fine margins.
- Zrinjski have played 1 match in this competition (0W 0D 1L, 0 GF / 1 GA).
- Valur Reykjavik have played 1 match in this competition (1W 0D 0L, 1 GF / 0 GA).
- In 1 head-to-head meeting, Zrinjski have 0 wins, Valur Reykjavik 1 win, 0 draws.
- Home win probability is 0.36, draw 0.33, away win 0.24.
- Most likely full-time scoreline is 1-1 (18%), with 1-0 next most likely (15%).
- Halftime score of 0-0 is the most probable (25%).
- Prediction confidence is moderate at 35%.
- The match is in the 2nd Qualifying Round of the competition.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Zrinjski
No standout best passers flagged for Zrinjski
Away — Valur Reykjavik
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal
Penalty
Goal
Goal
Unknown
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Yellow Card
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Goal
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Goal
Missed Penalty
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Yellow Card
Zrinjski
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4H. BarišićD
- 15K. StapicD
- 17A. IlicM
- 20A. IvančićM
- 25M. ĆužeM
- 27S. JakovljevićD
- 42M. ĆavarM
- 99N. BilbijaF
Substitutes
- 1M. BogdanG
- 5D. LagumdžijaM
- 8I. VidovićM
- 11T. JurićF
- 12P. MamićD
- 14M. ŠakotaM
- 19M. VranjkovićD
- 22A. NalićM
- 37D. MorrisD
- 77K. AbramovićM
Valur Reykjavik
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 4M. NakkimD
- 8J. JónssonM
- 12T. HaraldssonM
- 14A. SkoglundM
- 15H. EyjólfssonD
- 17L. HeimissonM
- 18F. SchramG
- 22B. HeimissonM
- 28S. FriðjónssonM
Substitutes
- 5Kristofer ArnarssonM
- 6B. AntonssonM
- 11I. StøleD
- 19Dagur GardarsonF
- 21J. PálssonD
- 26E. SigurbjornssonM
- 29Shkelzen VeseliM
- 95T. PeterssonG





