Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha
Zbrojovka Brno outmuscle Sparta Praha
A commanding 3-1 victory sees Brno assert their dominance at home.
Zbrojovka Brno secured a solid 3-1 win over Sparta Praha in the Czech Liga, with D. Vašulín setting the tone before the break. Despite J. Mercado's equaliser shortly after the restart, Brno pulled away thanks to goals from T. Vachoušek and L. Ezeh in the second half. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the margin was a bit more comfortable than forecast.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Zbrojovka Brno and Sparta Praha. Both teams are yet to open their accounts, making this encounter a perfect opportunity to set the tone for the campaign ahead.
Zbrojovka Brno currently sit 4th in the league standings with zero points from no games played, while Sparta Praha are positioned 12th, also without points. This early stage means form is a blank canvas, and both sides will be eager to make a strong start.
The probabilities suggest a tight contest, with a slight edge to Zbrojovka Brno at 47.5% chance of victory compared to Sparta Praha's 30%. The draw is also a strong possibility at 41.5%, with 1-1 being the most likely draw scoreline. The prediction leans towards a 2-1 win for the home side, indicating a competitive match with goals on both ends. Expect around four cards in total, hinting at a moderately physical game.
Prediction
Our forecast sees Zbrojovka Brno clinching a 2-1 win over Sparta Praha. The home side's slight advantage in the probabilities and league position suggests they will edge this encounter, though Sparta Praha will not make it easy.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Outcome Probabilities
Draw probability is 0.415, home win 0.475, away win 0.3.
Modal Scorelines
Most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 (0.175).
Cards Distribution
Most probable total cards is 4 (0.3).
Key Takeaways
In summary, the season opener promises a closely fought battle with Zbrojovka Brno just shading it. Fans can anticipate a lively match with goals and some robust challenges, setting the stage for an exciting campaign ahead.
- Zbrojovka Brno are ranked 4th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- Sparta Praha are ranked 12th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- Home win probability is 47.5%, draw 41.5%, away win 30%.
- Most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 with a 17.5% probability.
- Predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Zbrojovka Brno.
- Expected total number of cards in the match is 4.
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Head to Head
Vašulín
Assist: Vachoušek
Mercado
Saal
Vachoušek
Penxa
Kuchta
Alcócer
Sochurek
Vachoušek
Čavoš
Vašulín
Ezeh
Assist: Danté
Kadeřábek
Haraslín
Goal Disallowed - offside
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Zbrojovka Brno
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 6Lukáš PenxaM
- 8P. ČavošM
- 14T. VachoušekM
- 15D. VašulínF
- 20L. SaalM
- 39J. KlímaD
- 44A. DantéD
- 77L. EzehF
Substitutes
- 4E. HunálD
- 9O. VelichF
- 11M. RymarenkoF
- 17J. ZmrhalM
- 18D. GranečnýD
- 19B. KanakimanaF
- 23P. ŠevčíkM
- 24D. SváčekG
- 29P. ŽitnýM
- 68J. JanetzkýM
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 7J. AlcócerM
- 9J. KuchtaF
- 10A. KarabecM
- 17J. MercadoD
- 18A. IrvingM
- 19A. ŠevínskýD
- 22L. HaraslínM
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 38H. SochurekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 11M. RynešD
- 21J. GrimaldoF
- 24D. HollýM
- 25A. SørensenD
- 29M. VojtaF
- 32S. PechD
- 36G. KuolM
- 47K. HegyiG
- 66S. ZajacG
Zbrojovka Brno
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tadeáš Vachoušek | M | 72 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Amadou Dante | D | 95 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Lucky Ezeh | F | 95 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Adam Hrdina | G | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Vašulín | F | 80 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lukas Penxa | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lukáš Saal | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Klíma(C) | D | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Patrik Čavoš | M | 80 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Denis Granečný | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petr Ševčík | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Sváček | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Rymarenko | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bienvenue Kanakimana | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrik Žitný | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Janetzký | M | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaromír Zmrhal | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Hunal | D | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Velich | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Sochurek | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Andy Irving | M | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adam Karabec | M | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | D | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jakub Surovčík | G | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Josimar Alcócer | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Jan Kuchta | F | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lukáš Haraslín(C) | M | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Adam Ševinský | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| John Mercado | D | 95 | 6.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sebastian Zajac | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Pech | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asger Sørensen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krisztián Hegyi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Grimaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Suchomel | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matyáš Vojta | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Hollý | M | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Garang Kuol | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


