Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava
Match recap
Baník Ostrava beat Zbrojovka Brno 3–1 in their Czech Liga fixture. Langer scored for Zbrojovka Brno; Kubala, Kubala, and Kubala replied for Baník Ostrava. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.58 for Zbrojovka Brno versus 1.69 for Baník Ostrava. Zbrojovka Brno sit 9th in the Czech Liga table while Baník Ostrava are 13th.
Outcome probability
Zbrojovka Brno and Baník Ostrava face off in a Regular Season 14 clash where the home side looks poised to extend their advantage in the league standings. With Brno sitting comfortably in 8th and Ostrava struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for a commanding home performance.
Match factors
Home team's attacking midfield creativity
Zbrojovka Brno's midfielders like Vachoušek and Vaníček provide strong creative support, enhancing scoring chances.
Vašulín's scoring form at home
Vašulín has scored 2 goals in last 5 games with better home scoring rate, boosting home team's goal potential.
Zbrojovka Brno's recent home scoring streak
The home team has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive momentum.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or absences, allowing teams to field strongest lineups.
The context
Brno currently holds 20 points from 13 games, outperforming Baník Ostrava who have 11 points from 11 matches. The goal difference tells a similar story, with Brno boasting a +8 compared to Ostrava's -11. This statistical edge highlights the gulf in quality and form between the two sides this season.
Key insights
Daniel Vašulín
Zbrojovka Brno
Vašulín has scored 5 goals this season with a strong home scoring rate, making him a key threat in this match.
Czech Liga 26/275 goals in 12 appearances, 0.42 goals/game
Tadeáš Vachoušek
Zbrojovka Brno
Vachoušek leads the team with 3 assists and contributes both goals and assists, providing creative spark from midfield.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 11 appearances, 0.27 assists/game
Antonín Vaníček
Zbrojovka Brno
Vaníček's 3 goals and consistent minutes add valuable offensive support from midfield.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 12 appearances, 0.25 goals/game
Analysis
Zbrojovka Brno's attacking midfield creativity, led by Tadeáš Vachoušek and Antonín Vaníček, provides a significant threat, supported by Daniel Vašulín's impressive scoring form at home. Brno has scored in four of their last five home games, indicating strong offensive momentum. Meanwhile, Baník Ostrava's defensive frailties and lower points-per-game average suggest they will struggle to contain the home side's advances.
Key facts
- 1.Zbrojovka Brno ranks 8th with 20 points from 13 games.
- 2.Baník Ostrava is 13th with 11 points from 11 games.
- 3.Brno has a goal difference of +8; Ostrava has -11.
- 4.Brno averages 1.54 points per game; Ostrava averages 1.00.
- 5.Vašulín leads Brno's scoring with 5 goals in 12 appearances.
- 6.Vachoušek tops Brno's assists with 3 in 11 games.
- 7.Brno has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-0 victory for Zbrojovka Brno, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. This scoreline reflects Brno's dominance and ability to convert chances, particularly at home. The match is expected to feature a total of four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Zbrojovka Brno
Away — Baník Ostrava
No standout top scorers flagged for Baník Ostrava
The verdict
In summary, Zbrojovka Brno's superior form, goal difference, and home advantage make them clear favourites to secure a comfortable win over Baník Ostrava. Fans can expect a confident performance from the home side, with key players like Vašulín and Vachoušek likely to make decisive contributions.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 15:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kubala
Assist: Kohút
Kubala
Assist: Kohút
Granečný
Ezeh
Ševčík
Langer
Assist: Vaníček
Nogha
Yellow Card
Skrkon
Smith
Kohút
Klíma
Yellow Card
Planka
Yellow Card
Planka
Kubala
Assist: Frydrych
Penxa
Kubala
Yellow Card
Vašulín
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +28 | 34 |
| 8 |  Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 14 |
| 14 |  Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Zbrojovka Brno
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 6Lukáš PenxaD
- 14T. VachoušekM
- 15D. VašulínF
- 18D. GranečnýM
- 23P. ŠevčíkM
- 26F. VedralD
- 38J. PokornýD
- 44A. DantéD
- 68J. JanetzkýM
- 77L. EzehF
Substitutes
- 7Š. LangerM
- 8P. ČavošM
- 10A. VaníčekM
- 11M. RymarenkoF
- 19B. KanakimanaF
- 20L. SaalM
- 24D. SváčekG
- 25T. BřečkaD
- 29P. ŽitnýM
- 39J. KlímaD
- 79S. AfolabiM
Baník Ostrava
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 3Rhodri SmithM
- 5J. BoulaM
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 18D. PlankaM
- 21M. KohútF
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 28F. KubalaF
- 34A. BeweneM
- 42J. MíčekD
- 83R. NoghaD
Substitutes
- 7D. GilbertM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 15V. JurečkaF
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 24M. HrubýG
- 37M. ChalušD
- 44Y. SkybaD
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 81M. KmeťD
- 95D. HolzerM
Zbrojovka Brno
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hrdina | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Š. Langer | M | 44 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vašulín | F | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Ezeh | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Vaníček | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| T. Vachoušek | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 5/6 |
| P. Ševčík | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| J. Janetzký | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Vedral | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Danté | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Pokorný | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Granečný | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Žitný | M | 12 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Klíma | D | 44 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lukáš Penxa | D | 78 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| B. Kanakimana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sváček | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rymarenko | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Saal | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Afolabi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Čavoš | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Břečka | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Baník Ostrava
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kubala | F | 90 | 9.3 | 3 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Kohút | F | 70 | 8.1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| J. Boula | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| J. Míček | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Planka | M | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Holzer | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rhodri Smith | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Frydrych | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Traoré | M | 30 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Jurečka | F | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Skrkon | F | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nogha | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Budinský | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bewene | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| M. Hrubý | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Chaluš | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kmeť | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Šancl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Skyba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Zbrojovka Brno to win against Baník Ostrava.
- What score did Fipster predict for Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Zbrojovka Brno 3–0 Baník Ostrava.
- What were the win probabilities for Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's model gave Zbrojovka Brno a 95% chance of winning, Baník Ostrava a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.