Wrexham vs West Brom
Match recap
West Brom beat Wrexham 2–1 in their Championship fixture. Moore scored for Wrexham; Price and Heggebø replied for West Brom. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.40 for Wrexham versus 1.01 for West Brom. Wrexham sit 18th in the Championship table while West Brom are 7th.
Outcome probability
Wrexham and West Brom face off in the 10th round of the regular season, with both sides eager to climb the league table. Wrexham, currently 14th, look to leverage their home form against a West Brom side sitting 7th.
Match factors
Wrexham missing key attackers and midfielders
Wrexham's attack weakened by confirmed absences including N. Broadhead and midfielders, reducing scoring options.
Kieffer Moore as focal point in attack
Moore's recent goal form and high ratings make him Wrexham's main scoring threat against West Brom's defense.
Callum Styles' dual threat for West Brom
Styles combines defensive solidity with goal scoring, providing West Brom with set-piece and open play threat.
Wrexham's strong home scoring streak
Wrexham has scored in last 4 home games, showing positive attacking momentum at home.
O. Rathbone's recent form if fit
Rathbone's high rating and recent goal suggest he could influence the match if he overcomes injury doubts.
The context
Wrexham have struggled to secure wins recently but maintain a solid home scoring streak, netting in their last four home games. West Brom, with a better league position, have shown resilience but face a tough challenge breaking down Wrexham's defence.
Key insights
- K
K. Moore
Wrexham
Moore's recent goal form and high ratings make him Wrexham's main scoring threat against West Brom's defence.
Championship 26/27Multiple goals and a rating of 8.11 in this competition and season.
- N
N. Broadhead
Wrexham
Broadhead's confirmed absence due to a thigh injury weakens Wrexham's attacking options.
Championship 26/27Previously contributed goals and assists this season but is now ruled out.
- C
C. Styles
West Brom
Styles combines defensive solidity with goal scoring, providing West Brom with set-piece and open play threat.
Championship 26/27High recent rating of 7.96 and goal scorer this season.
Analysis
Wrexham's attack is led by Kieffer Moore, who has been in fine form with multiple goals and high match ratings, making him the focal point against West Brom's defence. However, Wrexham will miss key attacker N. Broadhead due to a thigh injury, which could limit their offensive options. West Brom's Callum Styles offers a dual threat with his defensive solidity and goal-scoring ability, particularly from set pieces. The match is expected to be tight, with Wrexham's home advantage and recent scoring momentum likely to be decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Wrexham are 14th with 10 points from 8 games (W2 D4 L2).
- 2.West Brom sit 7th with 14 points from 9 games (W4 D2 L3).
- 3.Wrexham have scored in their last 4 home matches.
- 4.Kieffer Moore is Wrexham's top performer with multiple recent goals and a high rating of 8.11.
- 5.N. Broadhead is out with a thigh injury, weakening Wrexham's attack.
- 6.Callum Styles provides West Brom with defensive strength and goal threat from set pieces.
- 7.The predicted halftime and fulltime score is 1-0 to Wrexham.
- 8.The match is expected to see around 4 total cards.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Wrexham, with the home side taking an early lead by halftime and holding on through a disciplined defensive display. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Wrexham
Away — West Brom
The verdict
Wrexham's ability to capitalise on home advantage and their key attacking threat in Moore should see them edge out West Brom in a closely fought match. Expect a tight scoreline with Wrexham holding firm to secure the three points.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 15:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nzingoula
Yellow Card
Moore
Assist: Rathbone
Moore
Kaboré
Rathbone
Whitwell
Stewart
Price
Mepham
Vyner
Yellow Card
Tobias Christopher Collyer
Heggebø
Assist: Price
Vyner
Ekomié
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Wrexham
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2C. DoyleD
- 3J. EkomiéD
- 5D. HyamD
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 12I. KaboréD
- 15G. DobsonM
- 17C. O'HareF
- 19K. MooreF
- 20O. RathboneM
- 22A. PattersonG
- 26Z. VynerD
Substitutes
- 6J. WorrallD
- 11B. CadamarteriF
- 21D. WardG
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 28S. SmithF
- 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayD
- 34A. JamesD
- 47R. LongmanM
West Brom
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 2C. MephamD
- 4C. StylesD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 9B. StewartF
- 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
- 18B. PereiraD
- 20R. NzingoulaF
- 21I. PriceM
- 29Harry WhitwellM
Substitutes
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 7F. MyhreM
- 11J. MorganF
- 13M. IngramG
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 22C. TownsendD
- 23T. BanyF
- 35M. CrowtherM
Wrexham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moore | F | 69 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 2/2 |
| O. Rathbone | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| B. Whiteman | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Ekomié | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Hyam | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| I. Kaboré | D | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| S. Smith | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | D | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cadamarteri | F | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. O'Brien | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. O'Hare | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| R. Longman | M | 2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vyner | D | 88 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Patterson | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. James | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
West Brom
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Price | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Heggebø | F | 14 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Campbell | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| B. Pereira | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| C. Mepham | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. O’Leary | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Molumby | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tobias Christopher Collyer | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Morgan | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Phillips | D | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Whitwell | M | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Nzingoula | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Townsend | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Crowther | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bany | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Myhre | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ingram | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Wrexham vs West Brom?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Wrexham to win against West Brom.
- What score did Fipster predict for Wrexham vs West Brom?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Wrexham 1–0 West Brom.
- What were the win probabilities for Wrexham vs West Brom?
- Fipster's model gave Wrexham a 70% chance of winning, West Brom a 15% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 70% confidence — a high-confidence call.