Wrexham vs Southampton
Wrexham edge Southampton in tight tussle
A late own goal seals a narrow victory for the home side.
Wrexham secured a 2-1 win over Southampton in the Championship, with K. Moore opening the scoring before J. Ward-Prowse levelled shortly after the break. The decisive moment came late when K. Schlotterbeck's own goal handed Wrexham the victory. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Wrexham and Southampton face off in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both sides have had mixed fortunes this season, but the home side looks poised to take the spoils in this one.
Match factors
Southampton's attacking midfield creativity vs Wrexham's defense
Southampton's Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes provide high assist rates and passing accuracy, likely to unlock Wrexham's defense
Cyle Larin's prolific scoring form
Larin leads with 5 goals in 6 games, showing strong finishing and consistency at home
Wrexham's Jacques Ekomié consistent scoring
Ekomié scored 2 goals in last 5 games, maintaining good form to support home win prediction
Southampton missing key midfielder C. Jander
Jander's absence reduces midfield depth, increasing reliance on Azaz and Downes for creativity
Wrexham's Callum Doyle's passing and defensive contribution
Doyle's high passing volume and defensive stats help control midfield and support attack
The context
Wrexham currently sit 16th in the league with 7 points from 7 games, while Southampton are slightly better placed at 14th with 7 points from 6 games. Southampton boast a superior goal difference, but Wrexham will be keen to leverage their home advantage to climb the table.
Key insights
Cyle Larin
Wrexham
Larin leads with 5 goals in 6 games, showing excellent finishing and consistency at home.
Championship 26/275 goals in 6 games, 72.3 avg mins/game
Jacques Paul Ekomié
Wrexham
Ekomié has been consistent with 2 goals in last 5 games, supporting Wrexham's attack.
Championship 26/272 goals in 5 games, 70 avg mins/game
Finn Azaz
Southampton
Azaz is a key playmaker with 4 assists in 7 games, providing creativity for Southampton.
Championship 26/274 assists in 7 games, 78.3 avg mins/game
- C
Callum Doyle
Wrexham
Doyle’s high passing volume and defensive stats help control midfield and support attack.
Championship 26/2765 passes/game with 78% accuracy, 1.4 tackles/game
Analysis
Southampton's attacking midfield duo, Finn Azaz and Flynn Downes, bring creativity and high assist rates, which could challenge Wrexham's defence. However, Wrexham's Callum Doyle offers solid passing and defensive contributions, helping to control the midfield. Key striker Cyle Larin leads the scoring charts with 5 goals in 6 games, making him a significant threat at home. Meanwhile, Wrexham's Jacques Paul Ekomié has been consistent with 2 goals in his last 5 games, supporting the home side's attacking efforts. Southampton will miss midfielder C. Jander, which may reduce their midfield depth and place more creative responsibility on Azaz and Downes.
Key facts
- 1.Wrexham are 16th with 7 points from 7 games (W1 D4 L2).
- 2.Southampton are 14th with 7 points from 6 games (W3 D2 L1).
- 3.Southampton have a significantly better goal difference than Wrexham this season.
- 4.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Southampton have won both matches against Wrexham.
- 5.Cyle Larin is Wrexham's top scorer with 5 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Jacques Paul Ekomié has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games for Wrexham.
- 7.Finn Azaz leads Southampton with 4 assists in 7 games.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Wrexham home win with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final score of 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around 4 cards likely to be shown. Wrexham's home form and key players' recent performances give them the edge in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Wrexham
Away — Southampton
The verdict
In summary, Wrexham's blend of solid defence and effective attack, combined with Southampton's midfield injury concerns, points towards a narrow home victory. Fans can expect a spirited contest with goals and some robust challenges along the way.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Larin
Yellow Card
Moore
Assist: Whiteman
Léo Scienza
Ward-Prowse
Assist: Edozie
Sheaf
Wood-Gordon
Yellow Card
Moore
Matsuki
Larin
Hyam
Yellow Card
Windass
Schlotterbeck (OG)
Manning
Yellow Card
Bree
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Wrexham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2C. DoyleD
- 3J. EkomiéM
- 5D. HyamD
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 10J. WindassM
- 12I. KaboréM
- 17C. O'HareM
- 18B. SheafM
- 19K. MooreF
- 22A. PattersonG
- 26Z. VynerD
Substitutes
- 6J. WorrallD
- 11B. CadamarteriF
- 15G. DobsonM
- 21D. WardG
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 28S. SmithF
- 34A. JamesD
- 37M. JamesM
- 47R. LongmanM
Southampton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel PeretzG
- 3R. ManningD
- 4F. DownesM
- 7Léo ScienzaM
- 9C. LarinF
- 10F. AzazM
- 13K. SchlotterbeckD
- 14J. BreeD
- 15N. Wood-GordonD
- 27K. MatsukiM
- 30J. Ward-ProwseM
Substitutes
- 5J. StephensD
- 6Z. AbbottD
- 11L. DobbinF
- 18T. FellowsM
- 23S. EdozieM
- 25G. LongG
- 26Cameron BraggM
- 28D. MubamaF
- 34WelingtonD
Wrexham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moore | F | 72 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Patterson | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Vyner | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. O'Hare | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Windass | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. James | M | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. O'Brien | M | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Sheaf | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Ekomié | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Hyam | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cadamarteri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Longman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. James | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Southampton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ward-Prowse | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Downes | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| J. Bree | D | 92 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Daniel Peretz | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Wood-Gordon | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Mubama | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0/1 |
| C. Larin | F | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| T. Fellows | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Matsuki | M | 76 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Stephens | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Long | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dobbin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Welington | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Abbott | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Wrexham vs Southampton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Wrexham to win against Southampton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Wrexham vs Southampton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Wrexham 2–1 Southampton.
- What were the win probabilities for Wrexham vs Southampton?
- Fipster's model gave Wrexham a 50% chance of winning, Southampton a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.