Wolves vs Tottenham
Match recap
Tottenham beat Wolves 1–0 in their Premier League fixture. João Palhinha scored for Tottenham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.62 for Wolves versus 1.05 for Tottenham. Wolves sit 20th in the Premier League table while Tottenham are 17th.
Analysis
As Wolves host Tottenham in this crucial relegation battle, fans can expect a tightly contested affair with Tottenham narrowly coming out on top.
Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the table, with Wolves sitting 20th and Tottenham 18th. Their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, each side having won 7 of their 20 meetings, making this clash all the more intriguing.
Wolves are hampered by injuries to key midfielders and defenders, notably João Gomes and Krejčí, which weakens their defensive structure. Tottenham, despite missing top scorer Richarlison, boast a solid defence and have players like Solanke and Kolo Muani stepping up. Wolves' main threat is T. Arokodare, who leads their scoring chances and has shown good away form. However, Tottenham's defensive resilience and Wolves' poor recent form suggest an away win is on the cards.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Tottenham, with the halftime score likely 0-1. The match should feature around four cards, reflecting the competitive nature of this relegation scrap. Confidence in this outcome stands at 59%, factoring in current form, injuries, and historical data.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Wolves missing key midfielders and defenders
Wolves have multiple injuries including João Gomes (midfield) and Krejčí (defense), weakening structure
Tottenham's top scorer Richarlison out injured
Richarlison's absence reduces Tottenham's attacking threat but others like Solanke and Kolo Muani step up
Tottenham's defensive solidity vs Wolves' struggling attack
Tottenham's defense with Romero and van de Ven (if fit) is strong against Wolves who have low scoring rate
Arokodare leads Wolves scoring chances despite limited starts
Arokodare's goal rate and minutes suggest he is Wolves' main scoring outlet, key to their goal
Wolves' poor recent form and defensive frailty
Wolves have lost most recent matches and concede nearly 2 goals per game, challenging their chance to score
Key Takeaways
In summary, Tottenham's defensive strength and Wolves' injury setbacks tip the scales in favour of the visitors. Expect a close game, but Tottenham should just about secure the three points.
- Wolves and Tottenham have each won 7 of their 20 head-to-head matches, with 6 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals, indicating a lively encounter.
- Wolves are 20th in the league with 17 points from 33 games (3W, 8D, 22L).
- Tottenham sit 18th with 31 points from 33 games (7W, 10D, 16L).
- Wolves have conceded nearly 2 goals per game recently, highlighting defensive frailty.
- Tottenham's Richarlison is injured, reducing their attacking threat.
- T. Arokodare is Wolves' main scoring outlet with 3 goals this season and good away form.
- The predicted total cards count is 4, reflecting a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Wolves
Away — Tottenham
No standout top scorers flagged for Tottenham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Solanke
André
Yellow Card
Kolo Muani
Pedro Porro
Yellow Card
Bueno
Yellow Card
Bissouma
Simons
Bentancur
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Gomes
Gallagher
Yellow Card
João Palhinha
Assist: Richarlison
Doherty
Pedro Lima
Gallagher
Bueno
João Gomes
Yellow Card
Danso
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Wolves
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1José SáG
- 2M. DohertyD
- 3Hugo BuenoM
- 4S. BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 8João GomesM
- 9A. ArmstrongF
- 17Pedro LimaM
- 21Rodrigo GomesF
- 24Toti GomesD
- 36M. ManeF
Substitutes
- 6D. Møller WolfeD
- 11Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 14T. ArokodareF
- 25D. BentleyG
- 27J. BellegardeM
- 38J. TchatchouaD
- 47A. GomesM
- 59S. OlagunjuD
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4K. DansoD
- 7X. SimonsM
- 8Y. BissoumaM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 22C. GallagherM
- 23Pedro PorroD
- 24D. SpenceD
- 30R. BentancurM
- 31A. KinskýG
- 37M. van de VenD
- 39R. Kolo MuaniM
Substitutes
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 6João PalhinhaM
- 9RicharlisonF
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 11M. TelF
- 14A. GrayM
- 15L. BergvallM
- 38SouzaD
- 40B. AustinG
Wolves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Gomes | M | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Pedro Lima | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Adam Armstrong | F | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Jose Sa | G | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Bueno | D | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André | M | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Matt Doherty(C) | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Mané | F | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/10 |
| Toti Gomes | D | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hugo Bueno | M | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Gomes | F | 71 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Angel Gomes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bentley | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Möller Wolfe | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Edozie | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saheed Olagunju | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Tchatchoua | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tolu Arokodare | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hee-Chan Hwang | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tottenham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonín Kinský | G | 99 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Danso | D | 99 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Micky van de Ven(C) | D | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominic Solanke | F | 40 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Yves Bissouma | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Djed Spence | D | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/6 |
| Xavi Simons | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James Maddison | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Austin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Gray | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Palhinha | M | 37 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Radu Drăguşin | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathys Tel | F | 54 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/8 |
| Richarlison | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Lucas Bergvall | M | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |